Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 26.0%35-221
LAB 29.4%27 23.5%06-621
LIB 13.2%7 10.2%02-25
Reform 17.5%3 23.4%111+1013
Green 6.9%1 8.3%01-10
Other 2.4%0 8.5%10+11

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hemel Hempstead (prediction: LAB), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
Reform
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
27396Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.911.245.05.17.126.55.10.0LABLAB
100323Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.010.939.13.614.223.98.30.0LABLAB
117306Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.929.937.05.314.68.24.90.0LABLAB
217206Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.822.331.64.218.414.19.40.0LABLAB
219204Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.120.933.47.220.111.47.00.0LABLAB
222201Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.721.733.94.520.712.56.60.0LABLAB
230193Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.115.737.43.524.710.68.10.0LABLAB
236187Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.929.730.87.518.68.15.30.0LABLAB
258165Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.425.231.36.820.710.55.50.0LABLAB
268154Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.622.024.33.214.15.031.50.0ReformMIN
280143Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.922.229.04.519.614.610.10.0LABLAB
281142Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.120.331.28.421.910.57.60.0LABLAB
284139Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.927.227.411.818.39.16.20.0LABLAB
290133Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.428.729.35.920.87.97.40.0LABLAB
292131Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.26.544.60.636.41.310.60.0LABLAB
294129Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.920.731.85.523.910.18.10.0LABLAB
320103Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.625.129.05.522.911.46.10.0LABLAB
32895Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.125.128.69.623.27.56.00.0LABLAB
33984Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.524.829.25.625.08.27.20.0LABLAB
33983Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.132.223.39.019.26.49.90.0CONCON
34181Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.730.523.87.520.17.310.80.0CONCON
34379Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.832.822.89.319.28.27.70.0CONCON
34478Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.331.823.56.620.09.09.00.0CONCON
34875Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.126.326.87.823.67.77.70.0LABLAB
35171Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.430.122.810.220.16.99.90.0CONCON
35369Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.632.717.918.115.77.08.60.0CONCON
35468Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.827.624.97.922.88.58.30.0CONCON
35568Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.425.926.110.224.08.45.40.0LABLAB
35765Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.628.421.08.419.411.711.10.0CONCON
35765Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.128.624.09.422.96.98.10.0CONCON
36062Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.826.923.15.122.38.314.30.0CONCON
36161Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.529.021.210.520.68.110.50.0CONCON
36558Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.525.526.16.026.07.68.80.0LABLAB
36657Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.321.829.23.629.38.28.00.0LABReform
37052Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.127.624.34.724.79.19.60.0LABCON
37844St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.024.69.645.011.05.54.30.0LIBLIB
38241Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.125.923.75.025.98.610.80.0CONReform
38339Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.428.722.08.724.67.38.70.0CONCON
38537Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.830.320.08.222.66.712.10.0CONCON
38835Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.124.326.04.028.86.710.20.0LABReform
39033Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.025.324.05.327.37.810.30.0CONReform
39329Witham Priti Patel79,07264.026.922.65.726.28.79.80.0CONCON
39428Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.035.53.050.47.01.62.60.0LIBLIB
39428Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.236.92.450.46.71.22.40.0LIBLIB
40022Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.227.917.24.722.321.56.30.0GreenCON
40022St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.738.53.244.98.61.63.20.0LIBLIB
40121Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.229.615.324.620.94.74.90.0LIBCON
40518Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.025.722.05.428.67.610.70.0CONReform
40517Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.939.22.744.29.31.43.30.0LIBLIB
40617Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.026.021.510.328.55.28.50.0LABReform
40914Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.525.922.26.829.76.19.30.0LABReform
41310Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.325.222.84.732.35.39.60.0LABReform
4167Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.928.717.47.630.05.910.40.0CONReform
4176Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.424.721.34.034.74.411.00.0ReformReform
4175Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.140.512.24.628.54.69.60.0CONCON
4194Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.925.79.725.131.63.64.40.0LIBReform
4193Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.744.47.72.831.63.410.10.0CONCON
4193Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.841.78.21.732.63.911.90.0CONCON
4193Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.741.18.62.933.63.510.30.0CONCON
4203Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.337.46.71.739.72.811.70.0CONReform
4221Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.438.36.21.542.21.610.20.0ReformReform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.