Anglia: Majority Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	57.2%	52	29.7%	0	33	-33	19
LAB	24.4%	5	36.3%	30	0	+30	35
LIB	13.4%	1	12.6%	3	0	+3	4
Reform	0.4%	0	13.4%	0	0	+0	0
Green	3.0%	0	6.5%	0	0	+0	0
Other	1.7%	0	1.6%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Luton North, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Norfolk North, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Colchester (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Ipswich (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2019	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2019 Win	Pred Win
82	493	Luton North	Sarah Owen	68,185	62.5	14.5	65.4	3.3	10.7	4.5	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
95	480	Luton South	Rachel Hopkins	69,338	60.7	14.5	62.5	3.4	11.9	5.3	0.0	2.4	LAB	LAB
124	451	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	79,951	67.2	8.0	52.6	18.7	10.1	9.5	0.0	1.1	LAB	LAB
125	450	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	77,845	66.4	11.2	55.8	6.8	12.1	12.3	0.0	1.8	LAB	LAB
214	361	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	71,581	66.1	19.5	52.9	6.3	13.0	6.7	0.0	1.7	LAB	LAB
232	343	Peterborough	Paul Bristow	72,560	65.9	22.6	53.1	4.8	13.0	4.7	0.0	1.8	CON	LAB
235	340	Ipswich	Tom Hunt	75,525	65.6	23.3	53.3	4.1	11.7	6.0	0.0	1.6	CON	LAB
285	290	Norwich North	Chloe Smith	67,172	68.9	25.3	50.1	4.9	11.8	6.5	0.0	1.4	CON	LAB
305	270	Watford	Dean Russell	83,359	69.7	22.1	44.9	14.0	12.5	5.0	0.0	1.5	CON	LAB
307	268	Stevenage	Stephen McPartland	71,562	66.6	26.0	48.6	5.7	12.3	6.2	0.0	1.2	CON	LAB
313	262	Thurrock	Jackie Doyle-Price	79,659	59.6	27.2	48.6	4.1	12.9	5.4	0.0	1.8	CON	LAB
332	243	Colchester	Will Quince	82,625	64.6	24.4	42.2	12.4	12.5	7.2	0.0	1.3	CON	LAB
343	232	Welwyn Hatfield	Grant Shapps	74,892	69.5	27.6	43.6	9.1	12.1	6.4	0.0	1.3	CON	LAB
345	230	Rochford and Southend East	James Duddridge	75,624	61.0	29.1	44.9	5.5	13.4	5.0	0.0	2.2	CON	LAB
358	217	Hemel Hempstead	Mike Penning	74,035	69.3	27.5	40.4	11.3	13.2	6.2	0.0	1.5	CON	LAB
359	216	Harlow	Robert Halfon	68,078	63.7	32.0	44.7	4.8	12.5	4.5	0.0	1.6	CON	LAB
374	201	Bedfordshire South West	Andrew Selous	79,926	66.7	28.5	39.5	9.6	13.9	6.7	0.0	1.8	CON	LAB
380	195	Waveney	Peter Aldous	82,791	61.8	31.1	40.2	5.5	13.9	7.8	0.0	1.5	CON	LAB
390	185	Huntingdon	Jonathan Djanogly	84,657	69.9	27.5	35.3	15.4	13.6	6.6	0.0	1.7	CON	LAB
409	166	Bedfordshire North East	Richard Fuller	90,678	71.7	30.2	36.4	11.8	14.0	6.0	0.0	1.6	CON	LAB
413	162	Basildon South and East Thurrock	Stephen Metcalfe	74,441	60.8	33.3	38.9	5.4	15.0	4.5	0.0	2.8	CON	LAB
415	160	Great Yarmouth	Brandon Lewis	71,957	60.4	35.0	40.4	5.0	13.4	4.9	0.0	1.3	CON	LAB
426	149	Hitchin and Harpenden	Bim Afolami	76,323	77.1	26.4	30.4	25.4	11.5	5.4	0.0	0.9	CON	LAB
428	147	Hertfordshire North East	Oliver Heald	76,123	72.7	31.4	35.4	12.1	12.8	7.4	0.0	0.9	CON	LAB
430	145	Suffolk West	Matt Hancock	80,193	64.1	32.2	36.1	8.1	15.0	6.9	0.0	1.7	CON	LAB
433	142	Chelmsford	Vicky Ford	80,394	71.1	26.8	30.5	23.1	13.0	5.2	0.0	1.4	CON	LAB
434	141	Norfolk South	Richard Bacon	86,214	72.5	30.4	33.9	14.3	13.5	7.2	0.0	0.8	CON	LAB
435	140	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	74,153	70.1	32.4	35.7	11.5	13.6	6.0	0.0	0.9	CON	LAB
436	139	Bedfordshire Mid	Nadine Dorries	87,795	73.7	30.3	33.6	15.7	12.5	4.2	2.3	1.5	CON	LAB
437	138	Cambridgeshire North West	Shailesh Vara	94,909	68.0	32.2	35.4	10.9	13.7	6.6	0.0	1.2	CON	LAB
453	121	Cambridgeshire South	Anthony Browne	87,288	76.7	22.7	24.4	35.7	11.9	4.7	0.0	0.5	CON	LIB
454	121	Norfolk North West	James Wild	72,080	64.7	34.4	36.1	7.3	14.9	5.9	0.0	1.4	CON	LAB
454	120	Cambridgeshire South East	Lucy Frazer	86,769	74.2	25.7	27.1	29.8	12.2	4.4	0.0	0.7	CON	LIB
455	120	Suffolk Coastal	Therese Coffey	81,910	71.2	28.4	29.8	15.7	15.4	9.4	0.0	1.3	CON	LAB
455	119	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	73,727	78.1	20.3	21.5	39.7	11.6	6.0	0.0	1.0	LIB	LIB
457	118	Hertford and Stortford	Julie Marson	81,765	73.5	29.7	30.7	11.7	13.9	11.9	0.0	2.0	CON	LAB
462	113	Broadland	Jerome Mayhew	78,151	72.9	30.0	30.5	18.5	14.1	6.0	0.0	0.7	CON	LAB
464	111	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	82,203	68.4	34.5	34.9	11.8	13.4	4.4	0.0	1.0	CON	LAB
474	101	Bury St Edmunds	Jo Churchill	89,644	69.1	31.4	30.6	6.2	14.7	15.3	0.0	1.7	CON	CON
476	99	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,971	70.6	36.3	35.4	8.7	12.2	6.2	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
479	96	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	76,201	70.2	30.2	28.7	13.7	15.9	10.1	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
481	94	Braintree	James Cleverly	75,208	67.1	36.3	34.6	8.0	14.5	4.8	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
482	93	Epping Forest	Eleanor Laing	74,304	67.7	34.4	32.7	9.2	14.5	6.9	0.0	2.3	CON	CON
484	91	Broxbourne	Charles Walker	73,182	63.8	37.6	35.8	6.5	12.9	5.6	0.0	1.5	CON	CON
492	83	Basildon and Billericay	John Baron	69,906	63.1	38.6	36.2	5.6	12.5	5.7	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
499	76	Norfolk South West	Liz Truss	78,455	65.6	36.5	33.4	8.2	15.1	5.6	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
501	74	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	80,449	76.1	31.4	28.3	16.5	14.5	6.1	0.0	3.2	CON	CON
508	67	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	Dan Poulter	80,037	70.3	33.4	29.9	11.1	14.6	9.7	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
509	66	Southend West	David Amess	69,043	67.4	38.5	34.8	7.5	12.1	4.6	0.0	2.7	CON	CON
512	63	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	69,608	63.6	36.1	32.0	5.9	17.1	5.0	0.0	4.0	CON	CON
518	57	Witham	Priti Patel	70,402	70.1	36.2	31.0	9.9	14.1	7.6	0.0	1.2	CON	CON
519	56	Saffron Walden	Kemi Badenoch	87,017	72.5	33.1	27.9	17.1	14.1	6.8	0.0	1.1	CON	CON
528	47	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	78,930	69.6	37.7	30.3	7.8	15.2	6.6	0.0	2.4	CON	CON
532	43	Clacton	Giles Watling	70,930	61.3	38.2	30.8	6.5	16.7	5.1	0.0	2.7	CON	CON
538	37	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	83,699	63.3	39.0	31.1	9.3	14.2	5.0	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
552	23	Maldon	John Whittingdale	72,438	69.6	38.6	28.0	11.3	14.6	6.1	0.0	1.4	CON	CON
563	12	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,255	70.4	39.9	26.9	13.2	13.4	5.6	0.0	1.0	CON	CON
566	8	Norfolk North	Duncan Baker	70,729	71.9	29.7	15.4	36.3	14.9	3.2	0.0	0.5	CON	LIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.