North East: Majority Sorted Seats

North East Prediction

Party	2019 Votes	2019 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	38.3%	10	17.4%	0	10	-10	0
LAB	42.6%	19	54.2%	10	0	+10	29
LIB	6.8%	0	5.2%	0	0	+0	0
Reform	8.1%	0	14.9%	0	0	+0	0
Green	2.4%	0	5.8%	0	0	+0	0
Other	1.9%	0	2.5%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The safest Labour seat, Newcastle upon Tyne East, is at the top, and the strongest Conservative seat, Berwick-upon-Tweed, is at the bottom. The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Redcar (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of North East seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2019	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2019 Win	Pred Win
45	530	Newcastle upon Tyne East	Nick Brown	63,796	68.0	8.1	67.3	4.9	10.1	8.2	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
54	521	Newcastle upon Tyne Central	Chi Onwurah	57,845	64.8	9.0	66.3	3.8	12.4	6.2	0.0	2.2	LAB	LAB
67	508	Middlesbrough	Andy McDonald	60,764	56.1	10.3	63.7	2.6	14.1	5.0	0.0	4.4	LAB	LAB
80	495	Gateshead	Ian Mearns	64,449	59.2	11.6	63.0	4.5	12.4	6.7	0.0	1.7	LAB	LAB
87	488	Easington	Grahame Morris	61,182	56.5	10.7	60.5	3.5	17.5	4.5	0.0	3.3	LAB	LAB
92	483	Tyneside North	Mary Glindon	78,902	63.9	12.4	60.8	4.3	14.5	5.9	0.0	2.0	LAB	LAB
104	471	Jarrow	Kate Osborne	65,103	62.6	12.2	59.0	3.8	15.7	6.0	0.0	3.3	LAB	LAB
120	455	South Shields	Emma Lewell-Buck	62,793	60.3	9.5	55.0	3.5	18.8	8.5	0.0	4.7	LAB	LAB
128	447	Durham North	Kevan Jones	66,796	63.2	12.9	57.1	4.7	16.4	5.8	0.0	3.1	LAB	LAB
129	446	Washington and Sunderland West	Sharon Hodgson	66,278	56.6	14.3	58.6	3.4	15.4	5.8	0.0	2.5	LAB	LAB
150	425	Houghton and Sunderland South	Bridget Phillipson	68,835	57.8	14.4	56.2	4.4	16.6	5.7	0.0	2.6	LAB	LAB
158	417	Newcastle upon Tyne North	Catherine McKinnell	68,486	68.6	14.5	55.2	6.1	15.6	6.6	0.0	2.1	LAB	LAB
159	416	Durham, City of	Mary Foy	71,271	68.6	12.3	52.9	11.8	14.5	7.2	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
161	414	Blaydon	Liz Twist	67,853	67.3	14.3	54.9	5.6	16.9	6.2	0.0	2.1	LAB	LAB
164	411	Sunderland Central	Julie Elliott	72,680	59.8	15.6	55.8	5.3	15.3	5.4	0.0	2.6	LAB	LAB
168	407	Tynemouth	Alan Campbell	77,261	72.5	18.3	57.9	3.8	12.1	6.2	0.0	1.7	LAB	LAB
183	392	Stockton North	Alex Cunningham	66,649	61.8	19.0	56.4	3.2	14.4	4.5	0.0	2.4	LAB	LAB
193	382	Durham North West	Richard Holden	72,166	66.0	17.5	53.0	5.7	16.7	5.5	0.0	1.6	CON	LAB
195	380	Wansbeck	Ian Lavery	63,339	64.0	18.3	53.8	5.2	15.2	5.7	0.0	1.8	LAB	LAB
199	376	Blyth Valley	Ian Levy	64,429	63.4	18.9	54.1	4.4	15.0	5.7	0.0	1.9	CON	LAB
226	349	Sedgefield	Paul Howell	64,325	64.6	19.2	50.9	5.3	17.2	5.3	0.0	2.0	CON	LAB
242	333	Darlington	Peter Gibson	66,397	65.5	21.9	51.3	3.9	13.7	6.8	0.0	2.3	CON	LAB
247	328	Redcar	Jacob Young	65,864	62.0	20.2	49.0	5.8	17.6	5.0	0.0	2.5	CON	LAB
259	316	Stockton South	Matt Vickers	76,870	71.3	23.8	51.5	4.1	13.5	4.3	0.0	2.7	CON	LAB
269	306	Bishop Auckland	Dehenna Davison	68,170	65.7	23.5	49.9	4.7	15.9	4.1	0.0	1.9	CON	LAB
286	289	Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	Simon Clarke	72,348	66.1	23.6	48.3	4.3	15.6	5.6	0.0	2.5	CON	LAB
362	213	Hexham	Guy Opperman	61,324	75.3	28.7	41.2	8.4	14.2	6.4	0.0	1.1	CON	LAB
406	169	Hartlepool	Mike Hill	70,855	57.9	33.2	39.5	2.3	12.2	2.8	4.8	5.1	LAB	LAB
445	130	Berwick-upon-Tweed	Anne-Marie Trevelyan	59,939	70.3	30.1	32.5	15.9	15.3	5.5	0.0	0.7	CON	LAB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.