| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27.6% | 15 | 20.5% | 0 | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| LAB | 34.0% | 38 | 17.8% | 0 | 35 | -35 | 3 |
| LIB | 8.8% | 2 | 10.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| Reform | 18.1% | 0 | 34.6% | 41 | 0 | +41 | 41 |
| Green | 6.6% | 1 | 12.2% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
| Other | 4.9% | 1 | 4.1% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 |
This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Shrewsbury' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Shropshire North', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Birmingham Erdington (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Coventry South (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 353 | Shrewsbury | Julia Buckley | 76,633 | 67.3 | 7.2 | 43.9 | 4.5 | 38.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 39 | 349 | Warwick and Leamington | Matt Western | 76,294 | 64.5 | 18.7 | 27.3 | 11.1 | 22.4 | 17.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 41 | 347 | Coventry South | Zarah Sultana | 76,262 | 56.0 | 11.5 | 35.6 | 6.6 | 30.9 | 11.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 68 | 319 | Birmingham Ladywood | Shabana Mahmood | 83,693 | 43.7 | 6.4 | 16.3 | 6.1 | 16.3 | 31.2 | 23.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 72 | 316 | Birmingham Edgbaston | Preet Kaur Gill | 71,787 | 52.1 | 16.1 | 25.7 | 10.9 | 26.2 | 16.4 | 2.9 | 1.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 84 | 303 | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Tahir Ali | 76,936 | 54.1 | 8.3 | 15.7 | 10.8 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 24.2 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 108 | 280 | Coventry North West | Taiwo Owatemi | 75,057 | 56.0 | 12.3 | 29.2 | 7.5 | 35.1 | 12.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 131 | 257 | Wolverhampton West | Warinder Juss | 77,851 | 56.1 | 20.2 | 22.8 | 8.9 | 30.1 | 13.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 137 | 251 | Worcester | Tom Collins | 74,931 | 61.4 | 18.7 | 21.8 | 10.0 | 29.8 | 16.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 137 | 250 | Kenilworth and Southam | Jeremy Wright | 74,923 | 71.2 | 32.1 | 16.8 | 16.4 | 24.8 | 8.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
| 145 | 242 | Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Gavin Williamson | 71,561 | 59.8 | 38.8 | 17.3 | 8.4 | 25.9 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | CON | CON |
| 146 | 242 | Birmingham Selly Oak | Alistair Carns | 75,678 | 50.8 | 11.8 | 20.8 | 8.4 | 29.6 | 25.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 146 | 241 | Birmingham Perry Barr | Ayoub Khan | 76,350 | 49.1 | 11.0 | 14.6 | 6.4 | 23.5 | 17.5 | 27.0 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 156 | 232 | West Bromwich | Sarah Coombes | 74,026 | 49.3 | 6.9 | 35.1 | 2.8 | 44.6 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 169 | 219 | Stafford | Leigh Ingham | 70,608 | 65.2 | 24.6 | 20.4 | 9.2 | 31.1 | 12.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 186 | 202 | Rugby | John Anthony Slinger | 74,901 | 65.4 | 20.7 | 22.0 | 10.5 | 34.3 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 196 | 192 | Birmingham Yardley | Jess Phillips | 73,203 | 49.4 | 9.1 | 16.4 | 11.6 | 29.6 | 12.2 | 20.0 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 213 | 174 | Sutton Coldfield | Andrew Mitchell | 74,080 | 65.2 | 37.3 | 15.6 | 7.9 | 30.5 | 7.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | CON | CON |
| 216 | 172 | Smethwick | Gurinder Singh Josan | 72,863 | 48.2 | 10.5 | 21.5 | 6.4 | 36.6 | 18.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 218 | 170 | Telford | Shaun Davies | 73,808 | 55.2 | 8.2 | 32.3 | 2.7 | 47.7 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 221 | 167 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Adam Jogee | 67,839 | 58.4 | 21.3 | 19.7 | 10.0 | 35.2 | 12.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 246 | 142 | Coventry East | Mary Creagh | 75,801 | 48.8 | 13.6 | 20.5 | 6.3 | 37.5 | 18.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 249 | 139 | Halesowen | Alex Ballinger | 68,549 | 56.3 | 21.3 | 18.9 | 10.7 | 36.0 | 11.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 256 | 132 | Birmingham Northfield | Laurence Turner | 74,048 | 50.8 | 18.1 | 19.3 | 8.6 | 36.8 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 258 | 130 | Lichfield | Dave Robertson | 76,118 | 64.5 | 23.0 | 19.3 | 10.5 | 37.2 | 8.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 258 | 129 | Solihull West and Shirley | Neil Shastri-Hurst | 71,813 | 65.3 | 38.9 | 11.7 | 10.2 | 29.6 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | CON | CON |
| 264 | 124 | Nuneaton | Jodie Gosling | 71,662 | 57.5 | 21.8 | 18.4 | 7.1 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 2.2 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 266 | 121 | Stratford-on-Avon | Manuela Perteghella | 75,714 | 69.9 | 22.3 | 9.1 | 32.5 | 28.1 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 0.9 | LIB | LIB |
| 283 | 105 | Wrekin, The | Mark Pritchard | 78,942 | 63.4 | 22.5 | 17.5 | 10.1 | 37.7 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
| 291 | 97 | Stourbridge | Cat Eccles | 68,311 | 58.4 | 20.5 | 18.7 | 9.0 | 39.4 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 300 | 88 | Wolverhampton North East | Sureena Brackenridge | 70,715 | 47.1 | 19.6 | 18.7 | 7.3 | 40.5 | 11.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 304 | 84 | Bromsgrove | Bradley Anthony Thomas | 76,468 | 65.9 | 29.9 | 13.9 | 11.4 | 36.2 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | CON | Reform |
| 306 | 82 | Redditch | Christopher James Bloore | 71,038 | 59.7 | 21.3 | 18.2 | 7.2 | 40.7 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 318 | 70 | Burton and Uttoxeter | Jacob Collier | 77,994 | 58.5 | 19.6 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 41.4 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 319 | 69 | Shropshire South | Stuart Anderson | 76,723 | 67.3 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 18.2 | 34.6 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | CON | Reform |
| 319 | 68 | Worcestershire West | Harriett Baldwin | 79,242 | 69.0 | 46.3 | 6.9 | 8.2 | 30.6 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | CON | CON |
| 323 | 65 | Hereford and South Herefordshire | Jesse Norman | 72,203 | 63.1 | 28.8 | 13.8 | 9.9 | 37.8 | 7.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
| 325 | 63 | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Liam Byrne | 77,737 | 43.9 | 11.1 | 13.8 | 6.7 | 38.0 | 15.7 | 13.4 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 328 | 60 | Birmingham Erdington | Paulette Hamilton | 77,463 | 43.6 | 13.5 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 41.6 | 15.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 330 | 58 | Herefordshire North | Ellie Chowns | 72,797 | 69.2 | 25.8 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 30.8 | 27.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | Green | Reform |
| 333 | 55 | Stoke-on-Trent North | David Williams | 69,790 | 51.8 | 16.7 | 18.9 | 7.4 | 44.0 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 335 | 52 | Meriden and Solihull East | Saqib Bhatti | 73,659 | 59.8 | 41.2 | 9.9 | 6.0 | 35.3 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | CON | CON |
| 341 | 47 | Cannock Chase | Josh Newbury | 76,974 | 55.8 | 21.4 | 17.2 | 6.6 | 42.7 | 10.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 344 | 44 | Staffordshire Moorlands | Karen Bradley | 69,892 | 62.0 | 29.9 | 15.9 | 4.3 | 42.0 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | CON | Reform |
| 345 | 43 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Allison Gardner | 68,263 | 60.0 | 25.1 | 15.0 | 8.9 | 41.1 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 350 | 38 | Tamworth | Sarah Edwards | 75,059 | 58.3 | 20.6 | 17.7 | 6.6 | 44.8 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 353 | 35 | Dudley | Sonia Kumar | 70,151 | 51.0 | 23.1 | 15.5 | 6.4 | 43.5 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 354 | 33 | Droitwich and Evesham | Nigel Huddleston | 76,624 | 64.7 | 43.4 | 7.7 | 6.2 | 35.9 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | CON | CON |
| 356 | 32 | Wolverhampton South East | Pat McFadden | 77,473 | 43.1 | 12.6 | 18.1 | 4.6 | 46.5 | 14.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 357 | 31 | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | Rachel Margaret Taylor | 69,752 | 58.7 | 19.9 | 17.0 | 7.6 | 45.4 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 360 | 28 | Stoke-on-Trent Central | Gareth Snell | 73,693 | 47.9 | 13.0 | 16.9 | 6.0 | 45.9 | 14.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 365 | 23 | Walsall and Bloxwich | Valerie Vaz | 75,968 | 49.0 | 17.7 | 11.0 | 6.6 | 40.5 | 12.9 | 11.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 366 | 22 | Tipton and Wednesbury | Antonia Bance | 74,100 | 43.0 | 16.1 | 17.4 | 5.3 | 47.1 | 10.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 367 | 20 | Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Mike Wood | 71,662 | 63.0 | 41.8 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 39.6 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
| 370 | 18 | Wyre Forest | Mark Garnier | 77,394 | 58.3 | 30.1 | 11.0 | 7.4 | 42.6 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | CON | Reform |
| 372 | 16 | Aldridge-Brownhills | Wendy Morton | 70,871 | 57.7 | 39.9 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 41.4 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | CON | Reform |
| 377 | 10 | Shropshire North | Helen Morgan | 77,594 | 63.9 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 49.3 | 38.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | LIB | LIB |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.