| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27.6% | 15 | 19.2% | 0 | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| LAB | 34.0% | 38 | 19.4% | 0 | 35 | -35 | 3 |
| LIB | 8.8% | 2 | 9.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| Reform | 18.1% | 0 | 33.9% | 41 | 0 | +41 | 41 |
| Green | 6.6% | 1 | 13.1% | 2 | 1 | +1 | 2 |
| Other | 4.9% | 1 | 4.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Shrewsbury' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Shropshire North', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Worcestershire West (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Coventry South (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 364 | Shrewsbury | Julia Buckley | 76,633 | 67.3 | 6.1 | 46.4 | 3.5 | 37.4 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 31 | 353 | Warwick and Leamington | Matt Western | 76,294 | 64.5 | 18.1 | 27.8 | 10.4 | 21.4 | 18.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 38 | 346 | Coventry South | Zarah Sultana | 76,262 | 56.0 | 12.2 | 33.6 | 7.0 | 28.4 | 13.9 | 2.5 | 2.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 60 | 323 | Birmingham Ladywood | Shabana Mahmood | 83,693 | 43.7 | 5.7 | 18.8 | 5.8 | 15.8 | 32.2 | 21.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 74 | 309 | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Tahir Ali | 76,936 | 54.1 | 7.5 | 17.6 | 10.5 | 17.3 | 23.8 | 23.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Green |
| 79 | 305 | Birmingham Edgbaston | Preet Kaur Gill | 71,787 | 52.1 | 16.5 | 23.7 | 10.2 | 24.1 | 18.8 | 2.8 | 3.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 84 | 300 | Coventry North West | Taiwo Owatemi | 75,057 | 56.0 | 8.9 | 35.7 | 5.1 | 36.5 | 9.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 99 | 285 | West Bromwich | Sarah Coombes | 74,026 | 49.3 | 4.8 | 40.1 | 1.6 | 43.9 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 100 | 283 | Kenilworth and Southam | Jeremy Wright | 74,923 | 71.2 | 27.9 | 19.4 | 17.5 | 23.3 | 9.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | CON | CON |
| 104 | 279 | Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Gavin Williamson | 71,561 | 59.8 | 33.6 | 20.8 | 8.6 | 25.0 | 9.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | CON | CON |
| 109 | 275 | Worcester | Tom Collins | 74,931 | 61.4 | 15.8 | 26.1 | 8.1 | 30.6 | 15.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 116 | 268 | Wolverhampton West | Warinder Juss | 77,851 | 56.1 | 18.3 | 24.8 | 7.2 | 29.9 | 14.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 125 | 258 | Birmingham Perry Barr | Ayoub Khan | 76,350 | 49.1 | 9.9 | 17.1 | 6.3 | 23.1 | 18.7 | 24.9 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 141 | 243 | Birmingham Selly Oak | Alistair Carns | 75,678 | 50.8 | 10.7 | 21.6 | 6.8 | 28.8 | 26.1 | 2.2 | 3.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 151 | 232 | Sutton Coldfield | Andrew Mitchell | 74,080 | 65.2 | 29.8 | 20.5 | 9.8 | 28.4 | 9.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
| 154 | 230 | Stafford | Leigh Ingham | 70,608 | 65.2 | 23.3 | 22.0 | 8.4 | 30.3 | 13.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 173 | 211 | Rugby | John Anthony Slinger | 74,901 | 65.4 | 19.5 | 23.3 | 9.6 | 33.4 | 11.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 178 | 206 | Telford | Shaun Davies | 73,808 | 55.2 | 4.8 | 38.5 | 1.3 | 48.8 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 184 | 200 | Birmingham Yardley | Jess Phillips | 73,203 | 49.4 | 8.2 | 17.8 | 10.6 | 28.8 | 13.4 | 18.9 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 203 | 180 | Solihull West and Shirley | Neil Shastri-Hurst | 71,813 | 65.3 | 33.4 | 14.9 | 12.4 | 27.2 | 9.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
| 210 | 174 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Adam Jogee | 67,839 | 58.4 | 19.8 | 21.6 | 9.4 | 34.4 | 12.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 214 | 170 | Smethwick | Gurinder Singh Josan | 72,863 | 48.2 | 9.9 | 22.3 | 5.0 | 35.6 | 19.9 | 3.4 | 3.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 232 | 152 | Halesowen | Alex Ballinger | 68,549 | 56.3 | 20.0 | 20.5 | 10.1 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 235 | 149 | Coventry East | Mary Creagh | 75,801 | 48.8 | 11.8 | 22.7 | 5.0 | 37.4 | 18.8 | 1.9 | 2.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 246 | 138 | Birmingham Northfield | Laurence Turner | 74,048 | 50.8 | 16.9 | 20.7 | 7.7 | 36.0 | 14.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 251 | 133 | Lichfield | Dave Robertson | 76,118 | 64.5 | 21.8 | 20.6 | 9.8 | 36.5 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 252 | 132 | Nuneaton | Jodie Gosling | 71,662 | 57.5 | 20.2 | 20.2 | 6.5 | 36.4 | 13.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 260 | 123 | Stratford-on-Avon | Manuela Perteghella | 75,714 | 69.9 | 21.9 | 10.0 | 31.1 | 26.8 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 269 | 115 | Bromsgrove | Bradley Anthony Thomas | 76,468 | 65.9 | 24.0 | 17.1 | 12.9 | 34.3 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 2.3 | CON | Reform |
| 278 | 106 | Wrekin, The | Mark Pritchard | 78,942 | 63.4 | 21.1 | 19.0 | 9.3 | 36.9 | 10.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
| 281 | 103 | Hereford and South Herefordshire | Jesse Norman | 72,203 | 63.1 | 22.1 | 17.9 | 11.5 | 36.0 | 9.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
| 283 | 101 | Stourbridge | Cat Eccles | 68,311 | 58.4 | 19.2 | 20.3 | 8.2 | 38.6 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 285 | 99 | Wolverhampton North East | Sureena Brackenridge | 70,715 | 47.1 | 17.8 | 21.0 | 6.6 | 39.4 | 12.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 298 | 86 | Staffordshire Moorlands | Karen Bradley | 69,892 | 62.0 | 23.6 | 21.2 | 4.7 | 40.7 | 8.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
| 299 | 84 | Meriden and Solihull East | Saqib Bhatti | 73,659 | 59.8 | 35.9 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 33.0 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | CON | CON |
| 305 | 79 | Redditch | Christopher James Bloore | 71,038 | 59.7 | 19.9 | 19.8 | 6.4 | 40.1 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 314 | 70 | Shropshire South | Stuart Anderson | 76,723 | 67.3 | 23.7 | 12.9 | 18.7 | 33.7 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | CON | Reform |
| 317 | 67 | Burton and Uttoxeter | Jacob Collier | 77,994 | 58.5 | 18.1 | 19.9 | 6.5 | 40.9 | 10.2 | 3.1 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 321 | 63 | Stoke-on-Trent North | David Williams | 69,790 | 51.8 | 12.6 | 24.3 | 5.2 | 45.7 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 325 | 59 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Allison Gardner | 68,263 | 60.0 | 20.9 | 18.1 | 8.9 | 40.0 | 8.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 326 | 57 | Worcestershire West | Harriett Baldwin | 79,242 | 69.0 | 45.4 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 30.0 | 7.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
| 329 | 55 | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Liam Byrne | 77,737 | 43.9 | 9.8 | 15.2 | 5.4 | 37.6 | 16.8 | 12.5 | 2.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 332 | 52 | Birmingham Erdington | Paulette Hamilton | 77,463 | 43.6 | 12.0 | 18.4 | 6.5 | 41.1 | 16.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 339 | 45 | Cannock Chase | Josh Newbury | 76,974 | 55.8 | 19.9 | 18.9 | 6.0 | 42.0 | 11.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 340 | 44 | Herefordshire North | Ellie Chowns | 72,797 | 69.2 | 24.6 | 7.2 | 6.9 | 30.3 | 27.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | Green | Reform |
| 348 | 36 | Dudley | Sonia Kumar | 70,151 | 51.0 | 20.4 | 17.7 | 5.8 | 42.5 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 351 | 33 | Tamworth | Sarah Edwards | 75,059 | 58.3 | 19.3 | 19.2 | 5.8 | 44.1 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 353 | 31 | Wolverhampton South East | Pat McFadden | 77,473 | 43.1 | 11.2 | 20.3 | 3.8 | 45.4 | 15.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 359 | 25 | Aldridge-Brownhills | Wendy Morton | 70,871 | 57.7 | 32.5 | 13.1 | 6.9 | 38.9 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
| 360 | 24 | Tipton and Wednesbury | Antonia Bance | 74,100 | 43.0 | 14.9 | 19.4 | 4.5 | 45.2 | 11.7 | 2.0 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 361 | 23 | Wyre Forest | Mark Garnier | 77,394 | 58.3 | 23.5 | 14.8 | 8.8 | 40.8 | 8.8 | 1.2 | 2.2 | CON | Reform |
| 362 | 22 | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | Rachel Margaret Taylor | 69,752 | 58.7 | 18.6 | 18.5 | 6.9 | 44.5 | 9.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 363 | 21 | Walsall and Bloxwich | Valerie Vaz | 75,968 | 49.0 | 16.4 | 13.3 | 6.9 | 39.3 | 14.3 | 9.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 364 | 20 | Stoke-on-Trent Central | Gareth Snell | 73,693 | 47.9 | 11.1 | 18.9 | 4.5 | 45.6 | 14.9 | 1.7 | 3.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 364 | 19 | Droitwich and Evesham | Nigel Huddleston | 76,624 | 64.7 | 42.6 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 35.3 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 368 | 15 | Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Mike Wood | 71,662 | 63.0 | 40.8 | 9.5 | 4.3 | 39.1 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | CON | CON |
| 374 | 9 | Shropshire North | Helen Morgan | 77,594 | 63.9 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 49.7 | 37.7 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.