Constituency List: England R-S
Rayleigh and Wickford
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Mark Francois (CON)
Electorate: 75,905
Turnout: 68.96%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 30,257 | 57.81% | 52.52% |
| LIB | 7,919 | 15.13% | 4.86% |
| LAB | 7,577 | 14.48% | 25.29% |
| OTH | 6,590 | 12.59% | 17.34% |
| CON Majority | 22,338 | 42.68% | Pred Maj 27.23% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 94.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 5.5% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.3% |
|
Reading East
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Rob Wilson (CON)
Electorate: 74,922
Turnout: 66.72%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 21,269 | 42.55% | 37.26% |
| LIB | 13,664 | 27.34% | 14.38% |
| LAB | 12,729 | 25.47% | 38.15% |
| OTH | 2,323 | 4.65% | 10.21% |
| CON Majority | 7,605 | 15.21% | Pred Maj 0.88% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 45.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 1.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 52.8% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
LAB Gain
Reading West
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Alok Sharma (CON)
Electorate: 72,118
Turnout: 65.91%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 20,523 | 43.18% | 37.89% |
| LAB | 14,519 | 30.55% | 43.23% |
| LIB | 9,546 | 20.08% | 7.12% |
| OTH | 2,942 | 6.19% | 11.76% |
| CON Majority | 6,004 | 12.63% | Pred Maj 5.34% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 36.9% |
|
| LAB |  | 62.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
LAB Gain
Redcar
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Ian Swales (LIB)
Electorate: 67,125
Turnout: 62.51%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 18,955 | 45.17% | 31.23% |
| LAB | 13,741 | 32.75% | 45.13% |
| CON | 5,790 | 13.80% | 9.92% |
| OTH | 3,477 | 8.29% | 13.72% |
| LIB Majority | 5,214 | 12.43% | Pred Maj 13.90% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 14.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 81.9% |
|
| CON |  | 1.6% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.7% |
|
LAB Gain
Redditch
County/Area: Hereford and Worcestershire (Severn)
MP: Karen Lumley (CON)
Electorate: 68,550
Turnout: 64.21%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 19,138 | 43.48% | 38.10% |
| LAB | 13,317 | 30.25% | 42.62% |
| LIB | 7,750 | 17.61% | 5.19% |
| OTH | 3,813 | 8.66% | 14.09% |
| CON Majority | 5,821 | 13.22% | Pred Maj 4.51% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 39.0% |
|
| LAB |  | 60.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
LAB Gain
Reigate
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Crispin Blunt (CON)
Electorate: 71,604
Turnout: 69.80%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 26,688 | 53.40% | 48.11% |
| LIB | 13,097 | 26.21% | 13.24% |
| LAB | 5,672 | 11.35% | 24.03% |
| OTH | 4,521 | 9.05% | 14.61% |
| CON Majority | 13,591 | 27.19% | Pred Maj 24.08% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 91.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 7.7% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.9% |
|
Ribble South
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Lorraine Fullbrook (CON)
Electorate: 75,822
Turnout: 67.87%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 23,396 | 45.47% | 39.67% |
| LAB | 17,842 | 34.67% | 45.65% |
| LIB | 7,271 | 14.13% | 4.12% |
| OTH | 2,949 | 5.73% | 10.55% |
| CON Majority | 5,554 | 10.79% | Pred Maj 5.98% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 36.7% |
|
| LAB |  | 63.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.3% |
|
LAB Gain
Ribble Valley
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Nigel Evans (CON)
Electorate: 78,068
Turnout: 66.98%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 26,298 | 50.30% | 44.50% |
| LAB | 11,529 | 22.05% | 35.92% |
| LIB | 10,732 | 20.53% | 6.36% |
| OTH | 3,728 | 7.13% | 13.22% |
| CON Majority | 14,769 | 28.25% | Pred Maj 8.59% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 67.0% |
|
| LAB |  | 32.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
Richmond
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: William Hague (CON)
Electorate: 79,478
Turnout: 67.20%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 33,541 | 62.80% | 57.33% |
| LIB | 10,205 | 19.11% | 6.24% |
| LAB | 8,150 | 15.26% | 27.99% |
| OTH | 1,516 | 2.84% | 8.43% |
| CON Majority | 23,336 | 43.69% | Pred Maj 29.34% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 95.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 4.9% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.0% |
|
Richmond Park
County/Area: Richmond Upon Thames (South London)
MP: Zac Goldsmith (CON)
Electorate: 77,060
Turnout: 76.91%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 29,461 | 49.71% | 44.13% |
| LIB | 25,370 | 42.81% | 28.03% |
| LAB | 2,979 | 5.03% | 19.17% |
| OTH | 1,458 | 2.46% | 8.67% |
| CON Majority | 4,091 | 6.90% | Pred Maj 16.10% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 79.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 10.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 8.9% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.4% |
|
Rochdale
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Simon Danczuk (LAB)
Electorate: 78,952
Turnout: 58.15%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 16,699 | 36.38% | 49.86% |
| LIB | 15,810 | 34.44% | 20.27% |
| CON | 8,305 | 18.09% | 12.85% |
| OTH | 5,093 | 11.09% | 17.01% |
| LAB Majority | 889 | 1.94% | Pred Maj 29.59% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 93.2% |
|
| LIB |  | 2.3% |
|
| CON |  | 2.8% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.7% |
|
Rochester and Strood
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Mark Reckless (CON)
Electorate: 73,882
Turnout: 64.93%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 23,604 | 49.20% | 43.92% |
| LAB | 13,651 | 28.46% | 39.45% |
| LIB | 7,800 | 16.26% | 5.72% |
| OTH | 2,916 | 6.08% | 10.91% |
| CON Majority | 9,953 | 20.75% | Pred Maj 4.46% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 58.5% |
|
| LAB |  | 41.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.4% |
|
Rochford and Southend East
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: James Duddridge (CON)
Electorate: 71,080
Turnout: 58.57%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 19,509 | 46.86% | 41.58% |
| LAB | 8,459 | 20.32% | 33.15% |
| LIB | 8,084 | 19.42% | 6.24% |
| OTH | 5,579 | 13.40% | 19.04% |
| CON Majority | 11,050 | 26.54% | Pred Maj 8.42% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 65.5% |
|
| LAB |  | 31.8% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 2.6% |
|
Romsey and Southampton North
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Caroline Nokes (CON)
Electorate: 66,901
Turnout: 73.15%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 24,345 | 49.75% | 44.46% |
| LIB | 20,189 | 41.25% | 28.29% |
| LAB | 3,116 | 6.37% | 19.05% |
| OTH | 1,289 | 2.63% | 8.20% |
| CON Majority | 4,156 | 8.49% | Pred Maj 16.17% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 85.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 8.7% |
|
| LAB |  | 5.7% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Rossendale and Darwen
County/Area: Lancashire (Lancashire)
MP: Jake Berry (CON)
Electorate: 73,003
Turnout: 64.56%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 19,691 | 41.78% | 35.99% |
| LAB | 15,198 | 32.25% | 45.19% |
| LIB | 8,541 | 18.12% | 5.29% |
| OTH | 3,698 | 7.85% | 13.53% |
| CON Majority | 4,493 | 9.53% | Pred Maj 9.20% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 29.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 69.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
LAB Gain
Rother Valley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Kevin Barron (LAB)
Electorate: 72,841
Turnout: 64.19%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 19,147 | 40.95% | 52.86% |
| CON | 13,281 | 28.40% | 22.94% |
| LIB | 8,111 | 17.35% | 5.67% |
| OTH | 6,219 | 13.30% | 18.53% |
| LAB Majority | 5,866 | 12.55% | Pred Maj 29.92% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 94.9% |
|
| CON |  | 4.2% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.9% |
|
Rugby
County/Area: Warwickshire (East Midlands)
MP: Mark Pawsey (CON)
Electorate: 68,914
Turnout: 68.88%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 20,901 | 44.03% | 38.72% |
| LAB | 14,901 | 31.39% | 44.56% |
| LIB | 9,434 | 19.87% | 6.24% |
| OTH | 2,232 | 4.70% | 10.48% |
| CON Majority | 6,000 | 12.64% | Pred Maj 5.84% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 36.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 63.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.6% |
|
LAB Gain
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner
County/Area: Hillingdon (South London)
MP: Nick Hurd (CON)
Electorate: 70,873
Turnout: 70.84%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 28,866 | 57.50% | 51.92% |
| LAB | 9,806 | 19.53% | 31.94% |
| LIB | 8,345 | 16.62% | 4.34% |
| OTH | 3,188 | 6.35% | 11.80% |
| CON Majority | 19,060 | 37.96% | Pred Maj 19.98% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 87.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 12.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.1% |
|
Runnymede and Weybridge
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Philip Hammond (CON)
Electorate: 72,566
Turnout: 66.35%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 26,915 | 55.90% | 50.61% |
| LIB | 10,406 | 21.61% | 8.65% |
| LAB | 6,446 | 13.39% | 26.07% |
| OTH | 4,383 | 9.10% | 14.67% |
| CON Majority | 16,509 | 34.29% | Pred Maj 24.54% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 92.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 7.3% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Rushcliffe
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Kenneth Clarke (CON)
Electorate: 72,955
Turnout: 73.59%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 27,470 | 51.17% | 45.85% |
| LIB | 11,659 | 21.72% | 8.00% |
| LAB | 11,128 | 20.73% | 33.96% |
| OTH | 3,430 | 6.39% | 12.20% |
| CON Majority | 15,811 | 29.45% | Pred Maj 11.90% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 74.8% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 24.6% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Rutland and Melton
County/Area: Leicestershire (East Midlands)
MP: Alan Duncan (CON)
Electorate: 77,185
Turnout: 71.54%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 28,228 | 51.12% | 45.80% |
| LIB | 14,228 | 25.77% | 12.05% |
| LAB | 7,893 | 14.29% | 27.52% |
| OTH | 4,871 | 8.82% | 14.63% |
| CON Majority | 14,000 | 25.35% | Pred Maj 18.28% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 84.5% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 14.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.2% |
|
Saffron Walden
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: Sir Alan Haselhurst (CON)
Electorate: 76,035
Turnout: 71.51%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 30,155 | 55.46% | 50.18% |
| LIB | 14,913 | 27.43% | 13.85% |
| LAB | 5,288 | 9.73% | 22.84% |
| OTH | 4,013 | 7.38% | 13.14% |
| CON Majority | 15,242 | 28.03% | Pred Maj 27.34% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 93.5% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 5.7% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Salford and Eccles
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Hazel Blears (LAB)
Electorate: 75,482
Turnout: 55.02%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 16,655 | 40.10% | 53.97% |
| LIB | 10,930 | 26.32% | 12.15% |
| CON | 8,497 | 20.46% | 14.67% |
| OTH | 5,451 | 13.12% | 19.21% |
| LAB Majority | 5,725 | 13.78% | Pred Maj 34.76% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 96.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| CON |  | 2.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.6% |
|
Salisbury
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP: John Glen (CON)
Electorate: 67,429
Turnout: 71.90%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 23,859 | 49.21% | 43.91% |
| LIB | 17,893 | 36.91% | 24.29% |
| LAB | 3,690 | 7.61% | 20.06% |
| OTH | 3,039 | 6.27% | 11.73% |
| CON Majority | 5,966 | 12.31% | Pred Maj 19.62% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 86.7% |
|
| LIB |  | 5.0% |
|
| LAB |  | 7.3% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.0% |
|
Scarborough and Whitby
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Robert Goodwill (CON)
Electorate: 75,443
Turnout: 65.32%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 21,108 | 42.83% | 37.37% |
| LAB | 12,978 | 26.33% | 39.49% |
| LIB | 11,093 | 22.51% | 9.04% |
| OTH | 4,103 | 8.33% | 14.10% |
| CON Majority | 8,130 | 16.50% | Pred Maj 2.12% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 43.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 55.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.4% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.3% |
|
LAB Gain
Scunthorpe
County/Area: Humber area (Humberside)
MP: Nic Dakin (LAB)
Electorate: 63,089
Turnout: 58.70%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 14,640 | 39.53% | 51.89% |
| CON | 12,091 | 32.65% | 27.19% |
| LIB | 6,774 | 18.29% | 5.98% |
| OTH | 3,529 | 9.53% | 14.95% |
| LAB Majority | 2,549 | 6.88% | Pred Maj 24.70% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 92.9% |
|
| CON |  | 6.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
Sedgefield
County/Area: Durham (North)
MP: Phil Wilson (LAB)
Electorate: 64,727
Turnout: 62.14%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 18,141 | 45.10% | 58.69% |
| CON | 9,445 | 23.48% | 17.85% |
| LIB | 8,033 | 19.97% | 6.05% |
| OTH | 4,603 | 11.44% | 17.41% |
| LAB Majority | 8,696 | 21.62% | Pred Maj 40.83% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 98.2% |
|
| CON |  | 1.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.4% |
|
Sefton Central
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Bill Esterson (LAB)
Electorate: 67,512
Turnout: 71.78%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 20,307 | 41.90% | 55.73% |
| CON | 16,445 | 33.93% | 28.14% |
| LIB | 9,656 | 19.92% | 5.81% |
| OTH | 2,055 | 4.24% | 10.31% |
| LAB Majority | 3,862 | 7.97% | Pred Maj 27.59% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 93.8% |
|
| CON |  | 6.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.2% |
|
Selby and Ainsty
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Nigel Adams (CON)
Electorate: 72,789
Turnout: 71.07%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 25,562 | 49.42% | 43.95% |
| LAB | 13,297 | 25.71% | 37.81% |
| LIB | 9,180 | 17.75% | 5.80% |
| OTH | 3,689 | 7.13% | 12.44% |
| CON Majority | 12,265 | 23.71% | Pred Maj 6.15% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 62.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 37.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.6% |
|
Sevenoaks
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Michael Fallon (CON)
Electorate: 69,591
Turnout: 71.00%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 28,076 | 56.82% | 51.54% |
| LIB | 10,561 | 21.38% | 8.41% |
| LAB | 6,541 | 13.24% | 25.92% |
| OTH | 4,230 | 8.56% | 14.13% |
| CON Majority | 17,515 | 35.45% | Pred Maj 25.62% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 92.7% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 6.8% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.4% |
|
Sheffield Central
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Paul Blomfield (LAB)
Electorate: 69,519
Turnout: 59.65%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 17,138 | 41.33% | 52.61% |
| LIB | 16,973 | 40.93% | 27.46% |
| CON | 4,206 | 10.14% | 7.37% |
| OTH | 3,151 | 7.60% | 12.55% |
| LAB Majority | 165 | 0.40% | Pred Maj 25.15% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 96.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 2.8% |
|
| CON |  | 0.3% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Sheffield Hallam
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Nick Clegg (LIB)
Electorate: 69,378
Turnout: 73.70%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 27,324 | 53.44% | 39.97% |
| CON | 12,040 | 23.55% | 18.08% |
| LAB | 8,228 | 16.09% | 29.24% |
| OTH | 3,543 | 6.93% | 12.70% |
| LIB Majority | 15,284 | 29.89% | Pred Maj 10.72% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 68.4% |
|
| CON |  | 4.9% |
|
| LAB |  | 24.3% |
|
| OTH |  | 2.4% |
|
Sheffield Heeley
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Meg Munn (LAB)
Electorate: 65,869
Turnout: 62.05%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 17,409 | 42.59% | 55.24% |
| LIB | 11,602 | 28.39% | 14.92% |
| CON | 7,081 | 17.33% | 12.59% |
| OTH | 4,779 | 11.69% | 17.24% |
| LAB Majority | 5,807 | 14.21% | Pred Maj 38.00% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 98.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.2% |
|
| CON |  | 0.7% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
Sheffield South East
County/Area: South Yorkshire (Humberside)
MP: Clive Betts (LAB)
Electorate: 67,284
Turnout: 61.54%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 20,169 | 48.71% | 61.37% |
| LIB | 9,664 | 23.34% | 9.87% |
| CON | 7,202 | 17.39% | 12.64% |
| OTH | 4,373 | 10.56% | 16.12% |
| LAB Majority | 10,505 | 25.37% | Pred Maj 45.25% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 99.5% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| CON |  | 0.3% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.2% |
|
Sherwood
County/Area: Nottinghamshire (East Midlands)
MP: Mark Spencer (CON)
Electorate: 71,043
Turnout: 68.91%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 19,211 | 39.24% | 33.93% |
| LAB | 18,997 | 38.81% | 49.59% |
| LIB | 7,283 | 14.88% | 4.67% |
| OTH | 3,463 | 7.07% | 11.81% |
| CON Majority | 214 | 0.44% | Pred Maj 15.66% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 14.6% |
|
| LAB |  | 85.2% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.2% |
|
LAB Gain
Shipley
County/Area: West Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Philip Davies (CON)
Electorate: 67,689
Turnout: 73.02%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 24,002 | 48.56% | 43.10% |
| LAB | 14,058 | 28.44% | 41.60% |
| LIB | 9,890 | 20.01% | 6.54% |
| OTH | 1,477 | 2.99% | 8.76% |
| CON Majority | 9,944 | 20.12% | Pred Maj 1.50% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 52.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 46.7% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Shrewsbury and Atcham
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP: Daniel Kawczynski (CON)
Electorate: 75,438
Turnout: 70.32%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 23,313 | 43.95% | 38.58% |
| LIB | 15,369 | 28.97% | 14.87% |
| LAB | 10,915 | 20.58% | 34.11% |
| OTH | 3,448 | 6.50% | 12.44% |
| CON Majority | 7,944 | 14.98% | Pred Maj 4.46% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 55.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 1.9% |
|
| LAB |  | 41.7% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.4% |
|
Shropshire North
County/Area: Shropshire (Severn)
MP: Owen Paterson (CON)
Electorate: 78,926
Turnout: 65.72%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 26,692 | 51.46% | 46.09% |
| LIB | 10,864 | 20.95% | 6.84% |
| LAB | 9,406 | 18.13% | 31.67% |
| OTH | 4,907 | 9.46% | 15.40% |
| CON Majority | 15,828 | 30.52% | Pred Maj 14.42% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 79.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 19.6% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.9% |
|
Sittingbourne and Sheppey
County/Area: Kent (South East)
MP: Gordon Henderson (CON)
Electorate: 75,354
Turnout: 64.47%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 24,313 | 50.05% | 44.76% |
| LAB | 11,930 | 24.56% | 35.60% |
| LIB | 7,943 | 16.35% | 5.75% |
| OTH | 4,392 | 9.04% | 13.89% |
| CON Majority | 12,383 | 25.49% | Pred Maj 9.17% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 69.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 30.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.6% |
|
Skipton and Ripon
County/Area: North Yorkshire (Yorkshire)
MP: Julian Smith (CON)
Electorate: 77,381
Turnout: 70.72%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 27,685 | 50.59% | 45.13% |
| LIB | 17,735 | 32.41% | 18.94% |
| LAB | 5,498 | 10.05% | 23.20% |
| OTH | 3,806 | 6.95% | 12.73% |
| CON Majority | 9,950 | 18.18% | Pred Maj 21.93% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 86.5% |
|
| LIB |  | 1.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 10.5% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.2% |
|
Slough
County/Area: Berkshire (South)
MP: Fiona Mactaggart (LAB)
Electorate: 77,068
Turnout: 61.95%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 21,884 | 45.84% | 56.06% |
| CON | 16,361 | 34.27% | 28.98% |
| LIB | 6,943 | 14.54% | 5.12% |
| OTH | 2,554 | 5.35% | 9.84% |
| LAB Majority | 5,523 | 11.57% | Pred Maj 27.08% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 95.6% |
|
| CON |  | 4.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.0% |
|
Solihull
County/Area: Coventry and Solihull (West Midlands)
MP: Lorely Burt (LIB)
Electorate: 77,863
Turnout: 70.80%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 23,635 | 42.87% | 28.77% |
| CON | 23,460 | 42.55% | 37.18% |
| LAB | 4,891 | 8.87% | 22.41% |
| OTH | 3,143 | 5.70% | 11.64% |
| LIB Majority | 175 | 0.32% | Pred Maj 8.42% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 19.9% |
|
| CON |  | 58.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 18.5% |
|
| OTH |  | 2.8% |
|
CON Gain
Somerset North
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP: Liam Fox (CON)
Electorate: 77,304
Turnout: 74.95%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 28,549 | 49.27% | 43.97% |
| LIB | 20,687 | 35.70% | 23.09% |
| LAB | 6,448 | 11.13% | 23.58% |
| OTH | 2,257 | 3.90% | 9.36% |
| CON Majority | 7,862 | 13.57% | Pred Maj 20.39% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 85.2% |
|
| LIB |  | 3.7% |
|
| LAB |  | 10.5% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.6% |
|
Somerset North East
County/Area: Bristol area (West)
MP: Jacob Rees-Mogg (CON)
Electorate: 67,412
Turnout: 75.96%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 21,130 | 41.27% | 35.97% |
| LAB | 16,216 | 31.67% | 44.12% |
| LIB | 11,433 | 22.33% | 9.71% |
| OTH | 2,424 | 4.73% | 10.20% |
| CON Majority | 4,914 | 9.60% | Pred Maj 8.15% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 30.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 68.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.2% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.6% |
|
LAB Gain
Somerton and Frome
County/Area: Somerset (South West)
MP: David Heath (LIB)
Electorate: 81,548
Turnout: 74.33%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 28,793 | 47.50% | 34.89% |
| CON | 26,976 | 44.51% | 39.21% |
| LAB | 2,675 | 4.41% | 16.86% |
| OTH | 2,168 | 3.58% | 9.04% |
| LIB Majority | 1,817 | 3.00% | Pred Maj 4.32% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 33.8% |
|
| CON |  | 60.7% |
|
| LAB |  | 4.7% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
CON Gain
South Holland and The Deepings
County/Area: Lincolnshire (Humberside)
MP: John Hayes (CON)
Electorate: 76,243
Turnout: 65.83%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 29,639 | 59.06% | 53.59% |
| LIB | 7,759 | 15.46% | 5.05% |
| LAB | 7,024 | 14.00% | 25.03% |
| OTH | 5,766 | 11.49% | 16.33% |
| CON Majority | 21,880 | 43.60% | Pred Maj 28.57% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 94.5% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 5.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.4% |
|
South Shields
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: David Miliband (LAB)
Electorate: 63,294
Turnout: 57.70%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 18,995 | 52.02% | 62.81% |
| CON | 7,886 | 21.59% | 15.97% |
| LIB | 5,189 | 14.21% | 4.30% |
| OTH | 4,448 | 12.18% | 16.92% |
| LAB Majority | 11,109 | 30.42% | Pred Maj 45.89% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 99.7% |
|
| CON |  | 0.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.0% |
|
Southampton Itchen
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: John Denham (LAB)
Electorate: 74,532
Turnout: 59.59%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 16,326 | 36.76% | 49.44% |
| CON | 16,134 | 36.33% | 31.04% |
| LIB | 9,256 | 20.84% | 7.88% |
| OTH | 2,696 | 6.07% | 11.64% |
| LAB Majority | 192 | 0.43% | Pred Maj 18.40% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 85.3% |
|
| CON |  | 13.7% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.9% |
|
Southampton Test
County/Area: Hampshire (South)
MP: Alan Whitehead (LAB)
Electorate: 71,931
Turnout: 61.43%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 17,001 | 38.48% | 51.16% |
| CON | 14,588 | 33.01% | 27.73% |
| LIB | 9,865 | 22.33% | 9.36% |
| OTH | 2,733 | 6.19% | 11.75% |
| LAB Majority | 2,413 | 5.46% | Pred Maj 23.43% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 90.1% |
|
| CON |  | 9.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
Southend West
County/Area: Essex (Essex)
MP: David Amess (CON)
Electorate: 66,527
Turnout: 65.55%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 20,086 | 46.06% | 40.78% |
| LIB | 12,816 | 29.39% | 15.81% |
| LAB | 5,850 | 13.42% | 26.52% |
| OTH | 4,854 | 11.13% | 16.89% |
| CON Majority | 7,270 | 16.67% | Pred Maj 14.25% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 75.5% |
|
| LIB |  | 1.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 19.9% |
|
| OTH |  | 2.8% |
|
Southport
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: John Pugh (LIB)
Electorate: 67,202
Turnout: 65.11%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 21,707 | 49.61% | 35.44% |
| CON | 15,683 | 35.84% | 30.05% |
| LAB | 4,116 | 9.41% | 23.28% |
| OTH | 2,251 | 5.14% | 11.23% |
| LIB Majority | 6,024 | 13.77% | Pred Maj 5.39% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 48.1% |
|
| CON |  | 28.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 20.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 3.1% |
|
Spelthorne
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Kwasi Kwarteng (CON)
Electorate: 70,479
Turnout: 67.12%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 22,261 | 47.06% | 41.77% |
| LIB | 12,242 | 25.88% | 12.92% |
| LAB | 7,789 | 16.47% | 29.15% |
| OTH | 5,012 | 10.60% | 16.16% |
| CON Majority | 10,019 | 21.18% | Pred Maj 12.63% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 73.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 23.8% |
|
| OTH |  | 2.0% |
|
St Albans
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP: Anne Main (CON)
Electorate: 70,058
Turnout: 75.42%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 21,533 | 40.76% | 35.47% |
| LIB | 19,228 | 36.39% | 22.82% |
| LAB | 9,288 | 17.58% | 30.69% |
| OTH | 2,786 | 5.27% | 11.03% |
| CON Majority | 2,305 | 4.36% | Pred Maj 4.78% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 52.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 8.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 37.8% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.4% |
|
St Austell and Newquay
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP: Stephen Gilbert (LIB)
Electorate: 76,346
Turnout: 61.87%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 20,189 | 42.74% | 30.12% |
| CON | 18,877 | 39.96% | 34.66% |
| LAB | 3,386 | 7.17% | 19.62% |
| OTH | 2,779 | 5.88% | 11.35% |
| MIN | 2,007 | 4.25% | 4.25% |
| LIB Majority | 1,312 | 2.78% | Pred Maj 4.54% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 28.3% |
|
| CON |  | 57.5% |
|
| LAB |  | 12.3% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.9% |
|
| MIN |  | 0.0% |
|
CON Gain
St Helens North
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Dave Watts (LAB)
Electorate: 74,985
Turnout: 59.42%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 23,041 | 51.71% | 65.58% |
| CON | 9,940 | 22.31% | 16.52% |
| LIB | 8,992 | 20.18% | 6.02% |
| OTH | 2,583 | 5.80% | 11.89% |
| LAB Majority | 13,101 | 29.40% | Pred Maj 49.06% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 99.7% |
|
| CON |  | 0.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.0% |
|
St Helens South and Whiston
County/Area: Merseyside (Lancashire)
MP: Shaun Woodward (LAB)
Electorate: 77,975
Turnout: 59.10%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 24,364 | 52.87% | 66.30% |
| LIB | 10,242 | 22.23% | 8.06% |
| CON | 8,209 | 17.81% | 12.66% |
| OTH | 3,266 | 7.09% | 12.98% |
| LAB Majority | 14,122 | 30.65% | Pred Maj 53.32% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 99.9% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| CON |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.0% |
|
St Ives
County/Area: Cornwall (South West)
MP: Andrew George (LIB)
Electorate: 66,930
Turnout: 68.61%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 19,619 | 42.72% | 30.11% |
| CON | 17,900 | 38.98% | 33.68% |
| LAB | 3,751 | 8.17% | 20.62% |
| MIN | 2,560 | 5.57% | 5.57% |
| OTH | 2,091 | 4.55% | 10.02% |
| LIB Majority | 1,719 | 3.74% | Pred Maj 3.57% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 30.1% |
|
| CON |  | 54.0% |
|
| LAB |  | 14.7% |
|
| MIN |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.2% |
|
CON Gain
Stafford
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Jeremy Lefroy (CON)
Electorate: 70,587
Turnout: 71.17%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 22,047 | 43.88% | 38.51% |
| LAB | 16,587 | 33.02% | 44.76% |
| LIB | 8,211 | 16.34% | 4.82% |
| OTH | 3,394 | 6.76% | 11.91% |
| CON Majority | 5,460 | 10.87% | Pred Maj 6.25% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 35.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 64.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.6% |
|
LAB Gain
Staffordshire Moorlands
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Karen Bradley (CON)
Electorate: 62,071
Turnout: 70.59%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 19,793 | 45.17% | 39.80% |
| LAB | 13,104 | 29.91% | 41.85% |
| LIB | 7,338 | 16.75% | 4.94% |
| OTH | 3,580 | 8.17% | 13.41% |
| CON Majority | 6,689 | 15.27% | Pred Maj 2.05% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 44.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 54.9% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
LAB Gain
Staffordshire South
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Gavin Williamson (CON)
Electorate: 73,390
Turnout: 68.73%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 26,834 | 53.20% | 47.83% |
| LAB | 10,244 | 20.31% | 32.23% |
| LIB | 8,427 | 16.71% | 4.92% |
| OTH | 4,935 | 9.78% | 15.02% |
| CON Majority | 16,590 | 32.89% | Pred Maj 15.60% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 81.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 17.7% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.4% |
|
Stalybridge and Hyde
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Jonathan Reynolds (LAB)
Electorate: 69,037
Turnout: 59.21%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 16,189 | 39.60% | 52.01% |
| CON | 13,445 | 32.89% | 27.10% |
| LIB | 6,965 | 17.04% | 4.97% |
| OTH | 4,280 | 10.47% | 15.92% |
| LAB Majority | 2,744 | 6.71% | Pred Maj 24.92% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 92.2% |
|
| CON |  | 6.9% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.9% |
|
Stevenage
County/Area: Hertfordshire (Essex)
MP: Stephen McPartland (CON)
Electorate: 68,937
Turnout: 64.77%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 18,491 | 41.41% | 36.13% |
| LAB | 14,913 | 33.40% | 44.93% |
| LIB | 7,432 | 16.64% | 5.35% |
| OTH | 3,815 | 8.54% | 13.60% |
| CON Majority | 3,578 | 8.01% | Pred Maj 8.80% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 28.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 70.9% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
LAB Gain
Stockport
County/Area: Eastern Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Ann Coffey (LAB)
Electorate: 63,525
Turnout: 61.59%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 16,697 | 42.67% | 56.54% |
| CON | 9,913 | 25.33% | 19.54% |
| LIB | 9,778 | 24.99% | 10.82% |
| OTH | 2,740 | 7.00% | 13.09% |
| LAB Majority | 6,784 | 17.34% | Pred Maj 37.00% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 96.9% |
|
| CON |  | 2.6% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Stockton North
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: Alex Cunningham (LAB)
Electorate: 67,363
Turnout: 58.63%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 16,923 | 42.85% | 54.53% |
| CON | 10,247 | 25.94% | 20.32% |
| LIB | 6,342 | 16.06% | 4.86% |
| OTH | 5,986 | 15.16% | 20.29% |
| LAB Majority | 6,676 | 16.90% | Pred Maj 34.22% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 97.1% |
|
| CON |  | 2.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.9% |
|
Stockton South
County/Area: Teeside (North)
MP: James Wharton (CON)
Electorate: 74,552
Turnout: 67.45%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 19,577 | 38.93% | 33.31% |
| LAB | 19,245 | 38.27% | 49.51% |
| LIB | 7,600 | 15.11% | 4.58% |
| OTH | 3,862 | 7.68% | 12.61% |
| CON Majority | 332 | 0.66% | Pred Maj 16.20% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 14.9% |
|
| LAB |  | 84.8% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.3% |
|
LAB Gain
Stoke-on-Trent Central
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Tristram Hunt (LAB)
Electorate: 60,995
Turnout: 53.23%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 12,605 | 38.82% | 52.36% |
| LIB | 7,039 | 21.68% | 7.57% |
| CON | 6,833 | 21.04% | 15.67% |
| OTH | 5,993 | 18.46% | 24.40% |
| LAB Majority | 5,566 | 17.14% | Pred Maj 27.96% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 93.8% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| CON |  | 2.5% |
|
| OTH |  | 3.7% |
|
Stoke-on-Trent North
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: Joan Walley (LAB)
Electorate: 72,052
Turnout: 55.79%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 17,815 | 44.32% | 56.74% |
| CON | 9,580 | 23.83% | 18.46% |
| LIB | 7,120 | 17.71% | 5.22% |
| OTH | 5,681 | 14.13% | 19.58% |
| LAB Majority | 8,235 | 20.49% | Pred Maj 37.15% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 97.9% |
|
| CON |  | 1.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
Stone
County/Area: Staffordshire (Severn)
MP: William Cash (CON)
Electorate: 66,979
Turnout: 70.51%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 23,890 | 50.58% | 45.21% |
| LIB | 10,598 | 22.44% | 8.33% |
| LAB | 9,770 | 20.69% | 34.22% |
| OTH | 2,971 | 6.29% | 12.23% |
| CON Majority | 13,292 | 28.14% | Pred Maj 10.99% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 73.6% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 25.8% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
Stourbridge
County/Area: Black Country (West Midlands)
MP: Margot James (CON)
Electorate: 69,637
Turnout: 67.83%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 20,153 | 42.67% | 37.29% |
| LAB | 14,989 | 31.73% | 43.49% |
| LIB | 7,733 | 16.37% | 4.82% |
| OTH | 4,359 | 9.23% | 14.39% |
| CON Majority | 5,164 | 10.93% | Pred Maj 6.20% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 35.2% |
|
| LAB |  | 64.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
LAB Gain
Streatham
County/Area: Lambeth (South London)
MP: Chuka Umunna (LAB)
Electorate: 74,531
Turnout: 62.84%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 20,037 | 42.78% | 56.60% |
| LIB | 16,778 | 35.82% | 21.04% |
| CON | 8,578 | 18.31% | 13.21% |
| OTH | 1,444 | 3.08% | 9.15% |
| LAB Majority | 3,259 | 6.96% | Pred Maj 35.55% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 97.6% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.6% |
|
| CON |  | 1.4% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.4% |
|
Stretford and Urmston
County/Area: Central Manchester (Greater Manchester)
MP: Kate Green (LAB)
Electorate: 70,091
Turnout: 64.07%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 21,821 | 48.59% | 60.94% |
| CON | 12,886 | 28.69% | 22.90% |
| LIB | 7,601 | 16.92% | 4.94% |
| OTH | 2,602 | 5.79% | 11.22% |
| LAB Majority | 8,935 | 19.90% | Pred Maj 38.04% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 98.6% |
|
| CON |  | 1.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.0% |
|
Stroud
County/Area: Gloucestershire (West)
MP: Neil Carmichael (CON)
Electorate: 78,305
Turnout: 74.03%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 23,679 | 40.84% | 35.55% |
| LAB | 22,380 | 38.60% | 49.06% |
| LIB | 8,955 | 15.45% | 5.70% |
| OTH | 2,959 | 5.10% | 9.69% |
| CON Majority | 1,299 | 2.24% | Pred Maj 13.51% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 19.7% |
|
| LAB |  | 80.1% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.2% |
|
LAB Gain
Suffolk Central and Ipswich North
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP: Daniel Poulter (CON)
Electorate: 75,848
Turnout: 70.43%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 27,125 | 50.78% | 45.49% |
| LIB | 13,339 | 24.97% | 11.39% |
| LAB | 8,636 | 16.17% | 29.28% |
| OTH | 4,320 | 8.09% | 13.84% |
| CON Majority | 13,786 | 25.81% | Pred Maj 16.21% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 82.4% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 16.5% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.8% |
|
Suffolk Coastal
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP: Therese Coffey (CON)
Electorate: 76,687
Turnout: 71.58%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 25,475 | 46.41% | 41.12% |
| LIB | 16,347 | 29.78% | 16.20% |
| LAB | 8,812 | 16.05% | 29.16% |
| OTH | 4,259 | 7.76% | 13.51% |
| CON Majority | 9,128 | 16.63% | Pred Maj 11.96% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 73.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 1.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 24.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.2% |
|
Suffolk South
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP: Tim Yeo (CON)
Electorate: 72,498
Turnout: 70.92%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 24,550 | 47.75% | 42.46% |
| LIB | 15,861 | 30.85% | 17.27% |
| LAB | 7,368 | 14.33% | 27.44% |
| OTH | 3,637 | 7.07% | 12.83% |
| CON Majority | 8,689 | 16.90% | Pred Maj 15.02% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 78.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 1.9% |
|
| LAB |  | 18.6% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.2% |
|
Suffolk West
County/Area: Suffolk (East Anglia)
MP: Matthew Hancock (CON)
Electorate: 74,413
Turnout: 64.62%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 24,312 | 50.56% | 45.27% |
| LIB | 11,262 | 23.42% | 9.84% |
| LAB | 7,089 | 14.74% | 27.85% |
| OTH | 5,426 | 11.28% | 17.04% |
| CON Majority | 13,050 | 27.14% | Pred Maj 17.42% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 83.9% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 14.5% |
|
| OTH |  | 1.3% |
|
Sunderland Central
County/Area: Newcastle area (North)
MP: Julie Elliott (LAB)
Electorate: 74,485
Turnout: 57.01%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LAB | 19,495 | 45.91% | 58.03% |
| CON | 12,770 | 30.07% | 24.45% |
| LIB | 7,191 | 16.93% | 5.13% |
| OTH | 3,007 | 7.08% | 12.40% |
| LAB Majority | 6,725 | 15.84% | Pred Maj 33.58% |
| Chance of winning |
| LAB |  | 97.6% |
|
| CON |  | 2.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.1% |
|
Surrey East
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Sam Gyimah (CON)
Electorate: 76,855
Turnout: 71.09%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 31,007 | 56.75% | 51.46% |
| LIB | 14,133 | 25.87% | 12.90% |
| LAB | 4,925 | 9.01% | 21.69% |
| OTH | 4,575 | 8.37% | 13.94% |
| CON Majority | 16,874 | 30.88% | Pred Maj 29.77% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 95.2% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 4.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.4% |
|
Surrey Heath
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Michael Gove (CON)
Electorate: 77,690
Turnout: 69.95%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 31,326 | 57.64% | 52.35% |
| LIB | 14,037 | 25.83% | 12.87% |
| LAB | 5,552 | 10.22% | 22.90% |
| OTH | 3,432 | 6.31% | 11.88% |
| CON Majority | 17,289 | 31.81% | Pred Maj 29.46% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 95.3% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.2% |
|
| LAB |  | 4.3% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.2% |
|
Surrey South West
County/Area: Surrey (South)
MP: Jeremy Hunt (CON)
Electorate: 77,980
Turnout: 73.43%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 33,605 | 58.69% | 53.40% |
| LIB | 17,287 | 30.19% | 17.23% |
| LAB | 3,419 | 5.97% | 18.65% |
| OTH | 2,948 | 5.15% | 10.72% |
| CON Majority | 16,318 | 28.50% | Pred Maj 34.75% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 96.8% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.3% |
|
| LAB |  | 2.8% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.1% |
|
Sussex Mid
County/Area: West Sussex (South East)
MP: Nicholas Soames (CON)
Electorate: 77,182
Turnout: 72.37%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 28,329 | 50.72% | 45.43% |
| LIB | 20,927 | 37.47% | 24.51% |
| LAB | 3,689 | 6.60% | 19.29% |
| OTH | 2,910 | 5.21% | 10.78% |
| CON Majority | 7,402 | 13.25% | Pred Maj 20.93% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 89.0% |
|
| LIB |  | 4.6% |
|
| LAB |  | 5.7% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
Sutton and Cheam
County/Area: Sutton (South London)
MP: Paul Burstow (LIB)
Electorate: 66,658
Turnout: 72.77%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| LIB | 22,156 | 45.67% | 30.90% |
| CON | 20,548 | 42.36% | 36.78% |
| LAB | 3,376 | 6.96% | 21.11% |
| OTH | 2,428 | 5.01% | 11.22% |
| LIB Majority | 1,608 | 3.31% | Pred Maj 5.88% |
| Chance of winning |
| LIB |  | 26.3% |
|
| CON |  | 54.8% |
|
| LAB |  | 16.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 2.8% |
|
CON Gain
Sutton Coldfield
County/Area: Birmingham (West Midlands)
MP: Andrew Mitchell (CON)
Electorate: 74,489
Turnout: 67.91%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 27,303 | 53.97% | 48.60% |
| LAB | 10,298 | 20.36% | 32.92% |
| LIB | 9,117 | 18.02% | 5.31% |
| OTH | 3,871 | 7.65% | 13.17% |
| CON Majority | 17,005 | 33.61% | Pred Maj 15.67% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 82.1% |
|
| LAB |  | 17.5% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.1% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.3% |
|
Swindon North
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP: Justin Tomlinson (CON)
Electorate: 78,391
Turnout: 64.16%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 22,408 | 44.55% | 39.25% |
| LAB | 15,348 | 30.52% | 41.75% |
| LIB | 8,668 | 17.23% | 6.36% |
| OTH | 3,871 | 7.70% | 12.63% |
| CON Majority | 7,060 | 14.04% | Pred Maj 2.50% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 42.4% |
|
| LAB |  | 56.9% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.7% |
|
LAB Gain
Swindon South
County/Area: Wiltshire (West)
MP: Robert Buckland (CON)
Electorate: 72,622
Turnout: 64.88%
| 2010 Votes | 2010 Share | Predicted Votes |
| CON | 19,687 | 41.78% | 36.48% |
| LAB | 16,143 | 34.26% | 45.67% |
| LIB | 8,305 | 17.63% | 6.51% |
| OTH | 2,984 | 6.33% | 11.34% |
| CON Majority | 3,544 | 7.52% | Pred Maj 9.19% |
| Chance of winning |
| CON |  | 27.7% |
|
| LAB |  | 71.8% |
|
| LIB |  | 0.0% |
|
| OTH |  | 0.5% |
|
LAB Gain