Vulnerable Seats

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	24.4%	121	25.1%	50	1	+49	170
LAB	34.7%	412	29.1%	0	67	-67	345
LIB	12.6%	72	13.2%	0	0	+0	72
Reform	14.7%	5	19.5%	11	0	+11	16
Green	6.9%	4	7.3%	0	0	+0	4
SNP	2.6%	9	2.7%	1	0	+1	10
PlaidC	0.7%	4	0.7%	0	0	+0	4
Other	3.5%	5	2.4%	6	0	+6	11
SF		7		0	0	+0	7
DUP		5		0	0	+0	5
SDLP		2		0	0	+0	2
NI Other		2		0	0	+0	2
UUP		1		0	0	+0	1
Alliance		1		0	0	+0	1

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2024
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Linsey Farnsworth
Ashford	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Sojan Joseph
Aylesbury	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Elizabeth Kyrke-Smith
Basildon and Billericay	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Richard John Holden
Bethnal Green and Stepney	Tower Hamlets	MIN	gain from	LAB	Rushanara Ali
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Bexley	CON	gain from	LAB	Daniel Francis
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Birmingham	MIN	gain from	LAB	Liam Byrne
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	MIN	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Bracknell	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Swallow
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bradford West	West Yorkshire	MIN	gain from	LAB	Naz Shah
Buckingham and Bletchley	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Callum Anderson
Burton and Uttoxeter	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jacob Collier
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Prinsley
Cambridgeshire North West	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sam Carling
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh Newbury
Chatham and Aylesford	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Tristan Osborne
Chelsea and Fulham	Hammersmith and Fulham	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Coleman
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	CON	gain from	LAB	Dan Tomlinson
Clwyd North	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Gill German
Cornwall South East	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna Gelderd
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Lola McEvoy
Dartford	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Jim Dickson
Derbyshire Dales	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Michael Whitby
Derbyshire Mid	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Peter Tom Davies
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Louise Elizabeth Jones
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lee Pitcher
Dorset South	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Lloyd Hatton
Dudley	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sonia Kumar
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Mayer
Earley and Woodley	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Yuan Yang
Folkestone and Hythe	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tony Vaughan
Forest of Dean	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Bishop
Gravesham	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Lauren Sullivan
Harlow	Essex	CON	gain from	LAB	Christopher John Vince
Hendon	Barnet	CON	gain from	LAB	David Pinto-Duschinsky
Hertfordshire North East	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Hinchliff
Hyndburn	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Smith
Ilford North	Redbridge	MIN	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Leicestershire North West	Leicestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Amanda Hack
Lichfield	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dave Robertson
Llanelli	Dyfed	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Lowestoft	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Jessica Asato
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Luke Myer
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Powys	Reform	gain from	LAB	Steve Witherden
Norfolk South	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Goldsborough
Norfolk South West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Terry Jermy
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	CON	gain from	LAB	Henry Tufnell
Pendle and Clitheroe	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan James Hinder
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Andrew Pakes
Poole	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Neil John Duncan-Jordan
Portsmouth North	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Amanda Martin
Reading West and Mid Berkshire	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Olivia Bailey
Redditch	Hereford and Worcestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Christopher James Bloore
Ribble Valley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Maya Ellis
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	MIN	gain from	LAB	Paul Waugh
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jake Richards
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kevin McKenna
Somerset North	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Sadik Al-Hassan
Southend West and Leigh	Essex	CON	gain from	LAB	David Edmund Burton-Sampson
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LAB	Noah Law
Stirling and Strathallan	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Kane
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Allison Gardner
Suffolk Coastal	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter
Tamworth	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Edwards
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Antonia Bance
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Hillingdon	CON	gain from	LAB	Danny Boy Beales
Warwickshire North and Bedworth	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rachel Margaret Taylor

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

Vulnerable Seats

Current Prediction: Labour majority 40

List of predicted seat changes