Scotland: New Constituency Boundaries 2023

Each new seat can be described as a combination of parts of old seats. These tables show this decomposition. The winner of the old seat at the 2019 election is shown by party colour, as is the implied winner of the new seat.

The implied results are calculated using the local election results for the wards which make up each old seat. This should give the most accurate projection, since it reflects varying political behaviour across the seat.

Scotland Change Table

PartyOld SeatsNew SeatsChangeDisappearSwitch OutSwitch InFresh
CON6600-110
LAB1100000
LIB42-20-200
Brexit0000000
Green0000000
SNP48480-2-130
MIN0000000
Total5957-2-2-440

The table shows how the various changes affect each party in this area. The total old and new seats are shown for each party, as well as their difference ('Change'). The change in seats is also explained through the four explanations:

The old seats which are disappearing are: Glasgow Central; Ross Skye and Lochaber.

The old seats which are lost to another party are: Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross; Fife North East; Gordon; Moray.

The new seats which are gained from another party are: Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross; Fife North East; Gordon and Buchan; Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey.

Argyll and Bute

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber 100% of Argyll and Bute 7.6% of Ross Skye and Lochaber

Ayrshire and Lanark

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock 100% of Ayr Carrick and Cumnock
Ayrshire Central Unchanged
Ayrshire North and Arran Unchanged
East Kilbride and Strathaven 90.5% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 1.2% of Lanark and Hamilton East
Hamilton and Clyde Valley 58.1% of Lanark and Hamilton East 26.0% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West
9.3% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
Kilmarnock and Loudoun Unchanged
Rutherglen 74.0% of Rutherglen and Hamilton West 13.6% of Lanark and Hamilton East
0.1% of East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow

Borders

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Unchanged

Central

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Alloa and Grangemouth 45.1% of Ochil and South Perthshire 27.5% of Falkirk
14.1% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk
Falkirk 72.5% of Falkirk 14.5% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk
Stirling and Strathallan 100% of Stirling 8.6% of Ochil and South Perthshire

Dumfries and Galloway

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Dumfries and Galloway 98.2% of Dumfries and Galloway 4.2% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 95.8% of Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 4.6% of Lanark and Hamilton East
1.8% of Dumfries and Galloway

Edinburgh area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Bathgate and Linlithgow 71.4% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk 9.9% of Livingston
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh 91.5% of Edinburgh East 13.6% of East Lothian
0.0% of Edinburgh South
Edinburgh North and Leith 91.4% of Edinburgh North and Leith 4.8% of Edinburgh West
Edinburgh South 100% of Edinburgh South 8.5% of Edinburgh East
Edinburgh South West Unchanged
Edinburgh West 95.2% of Edinburgh West 8.6% of Edinburgh North and Leith
Livingston 90.1% of Livingston 0.0% of Linlithgow and East Falkirk
Lothian East 86.4% of East Lothian
Midlothian Unchanged

Fife

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy 80.2% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath 12.9% of Dunfermline and West Fife
2.5% of Glenrothes
Dunfermline and Dollar 87.1% of Dunfermline and West Fife 4.0% of Ochil and South Perthshire
0.1% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Fife North East 100% of Fife North East 14.3% of Glenrothes
Glenrothes and Mid Fife 83.1% of Glenrothes 19.7% of Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath

Glasgow area

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Airdrie and Shotts 98.8% of Airdrie and Shotts 9.6% of Motherwell and Wishaw
Coatbridge and Bellshill 85.7% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill 12.2% of Motherwell and Wishaw
1.2% of Airdrie and Shotts
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch 88.9% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East 14.3% of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
1.1% of Glasgow East
0.0% of Dunbartonshire East
Dunbartonshire Mid 100% of Dunbartonshire East 11.1% of Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
0.1% of Glasgow North East
Dunbartonshire West 100% of Dunbartonshire West 3.9% of Glasgow North West
Glasgow East 59.3% of Glasgow East 41.4% of Glasgow Central
1.9% of Glasgow South
Glasgow North 77.3% of Glasgow North 23.2% of Glasgow Central
22.7% of Glasgow North East
1.3% of Glasgow North West
Glasgow North East 77.3% of Glasgow North East 39.6% of Glasgow East
3.8% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow South 91.3% of Glasgow South 12.3% of Glasgow Central
Glasgow South West 81.9% of Glasgow South West 19.4% of Glasgow Central
6.8% of Glasgow South
Glasgow West 94.8% of Glasgow North West 22.7% of Glasgow North
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West 100% of Inverclyde 12.9% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North
0.0% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke 78.2% of Motherwell and Wishaw 22.5% of Lanark and Hamilton East
Paisley and Renfrewshire North 76.1% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North 18.1% of Glasgow South West
5.2% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Paisley and Renfrewshire South 94.8% of Paisley and Renfrewshire South 11.0% of Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Renfrewshire East Unchanged

Grampian

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Aberdeen North 80.8% of Aberdeen North 30.3% of Gordon
3.3% of Aberdeen South
Aberdeen South 96.7% of Aberdeen South 19.2% of Aberdeen North
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East 78.8% of Banff and Buchan 26.0% of Moray
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Unchanged
Gordon and Buchan 69.7% of Gordon 21.2% of Banff and Buchan
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey 74.0% of Moray 29.8% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey

Highland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross 100% of Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross 47.4% of Ross Skye and Lochaber
3.2% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire 67.1% of Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey 45.0% of Ross Skye and Lochaber

Orkney and Shetland

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Orkney and Shetland Unchanged

Tayside

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Angus and Perthshire Glens 63.3% of Angus 38.3% of Perth and North Perthshire
6.2% of Dundee West
3.8% of Ochil and South Perthshire
0.7% of Dundee East
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry 78.4% of Dundee East 36.7% of Angus
Dundee Central 93.8% of Dundee West 20.9% of Dundee East
Perth and Kinross-shire 61.7% of Perth and North Perthshire 38.5% of Ochil and South Perthshire

Western Isles

New seatPrimary componentSecondary component(s)
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) Unchanged