The implied results are now calculated using the local election results for the wards which make up each old seat. This should be more accurate than the earlier implied results which assumed each constituency was homogeneous.
The main change is that the old seat of Eccles (Labour) disappears. The new seat of Rochdale is now predicted to be a Lib Dem hold.
New seat | Primary component | Secondary component | ||
Altrincham and Sale West | 97.9% of Altrincham and Sale West | |||
Blackley and Broughton | 82.3% of Manchester Blackley | 30.1% of Salford | ||
Manchester Central | 85.0% of Manchester Central | 17.7% of Manchester Blackley
4.4% of Manchester Gorton | ||
Manchester Gorton | 95.6% of Manchester Gorton | 12.9% of Manchester Central | ||
Manchester Withington | 100% of Manchester Withington | 2.1% of Manchester Central | ||
Salford and Eccles | 69.9% of Salford | 51.1% of Eccles | ||
Stretford and Urmston | 100% of Stretford and Urmston | 2.1% of Altrincham and Sale West | ||
Worsley and Eccles South | 55.1% of Worsley | 48.9% of Eccles | ||
Wythenshawe and Sale East | Unchanged |
New seat | Primary component | Secondary component | ||
Ashton under Lyne | 91.7% of Ashton under Lyne | 1.6% of Denton and Reddish | ||
Cheadle | 95.9% of Cheadle | 6.7% of Stockport
3.7% of Hazel Grove | ||
Denton and Reddish | 92.3% of Denton and Reddish | 3.3% of Stockport | ||
Hazel Grove | 93.6% of Hazel Grove | 4.1% of Cheadle | ||
Heywood and Middleton | 100% of Heywood and Middleton | 6.6% of Rochdale | ||
Oldham East and Saddleworth | 88.4% of Oldham East and Saddleworth | 7.3% of Oldham West and Royton | ||
Oldham West and Royton | 92.7% of Oldham West and Royton | 8.3% of Ashton under Lyne | ||
Rochdale | 93.4% of Rochdale | 11.6% of Oldham East and Saddleworth | ||
Stalybridge and Hyde | 100% of Stalybridge and Hyde | 1.2% of Denton and Reddish
0.0% of Ashton under Lyne | ||
Stockport | 90.1% of Stockport | 4.9% of Denton and Reddish
2.7% of Hazel Grove |
New seat | Primary component | Secondary component | ||
Bolton North East | 99.6% of Bolton North East | 3.4% of Bolton South East | ||
Bolton South East | 96.6% of Bolton South East | 9.6% of Bolton West
0.1% of Bolton North East | ||
Bolton West | 90.4% of Bolton West | 8.4% of Worsley
7.1% of Leigh 0.3% of Bolton North East | ||
Bury North | 92.0% of Bury North | |||
Bury South | 100% of Bury South | 8.0% of Bury North | ||
Leigh | 65.8% of Leigh | 36.5% of Worsley
4.1% of Makerfield | ||
Makerfield | 79.1% of Makerfield | 27.1% of Leigh | ||
Wigan | 100% of Wigan | 16.8% of Makerfield |