Opinion Polls

Recent opinion polls

Opinion Polls From 2005

Some of the most recent opinion polls are listed here

PollsterSample dates  Sample sizeCON%LAB%LIB%
ELECTION 20055 May 200533.236.222.6
The Times/Populus4 Jul 08 - 6 Jul 081,507412819
Sunday Times/YouGov10 Jul 08 - 11 Jul 081,832472516
Independent on Sunday/ComRes16 Jul 08 - 17 Jul 081,016452416
The Guardian/ICM18 Jul 08 - 20 Jul 081,007432819
Ipsos-MORI18 Jul 08 - 20 Jul 081,016472715
AVERAGE4 Jul 08 - 20 Jul 086,37844.626.317.0

Labour maintained its lead over the other parties between the election in May 2005 and the election of David Cameron as the new Conservative leader in December 2005. The Conservatives then held the lead until the appointment of Gordon Brown as the new Labour leader in June 2007, and the "Brown bounce" kept Labour back in the lead until September 2007. Following the party conferences and the "non-election", the Conservatives have regained their lead.

 

Opinion poll topics

Recent national opinion polls
Current state of party support nationally as measured by the opinion pollsters. Data are shown in both graphical and tabular form for national polls taken over the last month or so.

Live updates

All national opinion polls since 2005
Complete record of national opinion polls since the last general election in May 2005.

Live updates

Scottish opinion polls record
Current state of party support in Scotland, along with a record of Scottish opinion polls since May 2005.

Updated when Scottish polls published

Making predictions
Links to prediction tools available on this website.

2 May 1997

Science of opinion polling
Introductory article to the science of opinion polls, describing the importance of sample size and quotas.

31 July 2004

Final campaign polls June 2001
Historical record of polls published in the run-up to the June 2001 election.

8 June 2001

Final campaign polls May 2005
Historical record of polls published in the run-up to the May 2005 election.

6 May 2005

Links to pollsters
Links to the major pollsters, political and electoral blogs, and electoral data sources.

Updated periodically

Making Predictions

You can make predictions in three ways:

(C) Martin Baxter.