Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 33.1%140+1437
LAB 29.4%27 22.4%013-1314
LIB 13.2%7 12.8%01-16
Reform 17.5%3 21.9%00+03
Green 6.9%1 8.5%00+01
Other 2.4%0 1.2%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Norwich South' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Welwyn Hatfield (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
106413Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.015.440.67.516.220.00.00.3LABLAB
111408Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.914.939.519.85.118.12.30.4LABLAB
199320Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.124.038.44.322.111.10.00.1LABLAB
206313Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.125.038.19.416.77.92.40.6LABLAB
216303Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.223.735.72.929.85.91.80.2LABLAB
237282Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.125.734.813.718.96.80.00.0LABLAB
244275Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.823.030.84.620.27.911.32.1LABLAB
249270Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.728.936.34.820.19.80.00.1LABLAB
253266Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.921.628.45.919.78.914.01.4LABLAB
257262Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.928.234.47.722.07.70.00.1LABLAB
259260Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.930.836.98.917.06.50.00.1LABLAB
296223Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.129.431.111.021.47.10.00.0LABLAB
302217Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.927.028.316.515.27.06.00.1LABLAB
306213Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.531.231.85.422.88.50.00.3LABLAB
319200Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.432.031.57.319.59.60.00.1LABCON
328191Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.435.334.06.117.17.60.00.0LABCON
333185Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.627.024.72.639.65.80.00.2ReformReform
342177Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.134.030.63.025.76.60.00.1LABCON
346173Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.931.727.911.119.69.60.00.1LABCON
351168Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.331.927.53.428.58.80.00.0LABCON
360159Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.534.028.66.422.18.60.00.3LABCON
361158Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.133.527.99.920.18.70.00.0LABCON
361157Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.429.223.52.637.16.60.01.0ReformReform
368151Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.632.825.85.921.913.10.00.5LABCON
369150Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.431.724.613.519.810.30.00.0LABCON
374145Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.033.325.513.621.66.10.00.0LABCON
376143Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.327.719.75.626.95.714.20.2LABCON
388131Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.535.326.26.823.68.10.00.0LABCON
389130Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.134.125.04.017.17.612.10.2LABCON
392127Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.833.123.55.231.46.60.00.2CONCON
399120Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.435.224.510.621.87.90.00.0CONCON
403116Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.736.524.97.024.37.20.00.0CONCON
408111Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.837.825.18.820.37.60.00.4CONCON
409110Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.137.224.47.822.87.20.00.7CONCON
42891Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.138.523.710.619.47.20.00.5CONCON
42990Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.535.119.712.622.99.60.00.0CONCON
43287Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.038.722.86.524.47.60.00.0CONCON
43386Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.139.123.15.924.67.20.00.1CONCON
44178Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.836.920.28.825.78.10.00.4CONCON
44574Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.038.021.05.627.77.50.00.3CONCON
44672St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.020.53.056.112.57.80.00.1LIBLIB
45069Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.635.116.311.123.413.80.00.2CONCON
45663Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.440.921.210.220.37.30.00.0CONCON
45861Witham Priti Patel79,07264.039.920.06.424.48.80.00.4CONCON
46059Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.938.317.914.023.56.20.00.0CONCON
46454Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.430.39.24.250.55.80.00.2ReformReform
46653Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.739.217.68.029.26.00.00.0CONCON
47247Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.139.015.911.528.45.20.00.1CONCON
47544Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.636.712.924.418.86.90.00.3CONCON
47643Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.234.210.432.216.86.10.00.2LIBCON
47742Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.340.216.23.133.96.60.00.0CONCON
48138Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.847.522.512.17.78.70.01.5CONCON
48434Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.029.84.146.313.26.40.00.1LIBLIB
48434St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.731.86.036.417.37.40.01.1LIBLIB
48534Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.347.121.07.318.16.30.00.2CONCON
49127Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.932.95.039.317.74.70.20.2LIBLIB
49227Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.741.112.611.329.06.00.00.0CONCON
49424Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.232.32.82.319.543.00.00.0GreenGreen
49721Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.232.32.249.711.04.70.00.1LIBLIB
50217Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.844.213.46.628.06.90.50.4CONCON
5117Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.937.31.840.916.13.90.00.0LIBLIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.