Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 30.6%101+932
LAB 29.4%27 21.5%012-1215
LIB 13.2%7 12.6%00+07
Reform 17.5%3 24.7%30+36
Green 6.9%1 8.8%00+01
Other 2.4%0 1.8%00+00

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Norwich South' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harlow (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
CON
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
98389Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.012.839.77.318.920.30.01.0LABLAB
101386Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.912.038.619.57.718.32.31.6LABLAB
193294Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.121.737.54.224.811.40.00.5LABLAB
199288Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.121.937.19.119.28.02.42.2LABLAB
212275Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.221.334.82.832.46.21.80.7LABLAB
223264Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.818.429.94.521.77.611.36.5LABLAB
229258Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.123.533.913.421.97.30.00.1LABLAB
234253Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.917.527.55.721.68.714.05.0LABLAB
237250Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.726.535.44.722.810.10.00.5LABLAB
247240Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.925.933.57.524.98.10.00.2LABLAB
249238Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.928.436.08.619.96.90.00.2LABLAB
284203Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.127.130.210.724.47.50.00.0LABLAB
287200Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.924.727.416.218.27.46.00.2LABLAB
290197Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.528.630.95.325.48.80.01.1LABLAB
306181Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.429.730.67.122.410.00.00.3LABLAB
311176Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.433.133.15.919.98.00.00.0LABCON
316170Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.624.623.82.542.26.10.00.8ReformReform
326161Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.131.829.72.928.57.00.00.2LABCON
327160Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.929.327.010.822.510.00.00.5LABCON
330156Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.425.622.62.539.16.60.03.6ReformReform
330156Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.329.726.63.331.29.20.00.0LABReform
334153Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.531.427.76.224.88.90.01.0LABCON
338149Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.131.227.09.623.19.10.00.0LABCON
341146Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.630.024.95.724.413.30.01.6LABCON
346141Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.429.523.713.222.810.70.00.0LABCON
354133Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.031.024.613.324.56.50.00.1LABCON
354132Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.325.318.85.429.66.014.20.8LABReform
363124Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.131.724.13.819.77.912.10.6LABCON
365122Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.533.125.36.626.58.50.00.0LABCON
365121Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.830.622.65.034.06.90.00.8CONReform
374113Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.432.923.510.324.98.30.00.0CONCON
378109Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.734.324.06.827.27.60.00.0CONCON
379108Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.134.023.57.525.37.30.02.3CONCON
382105Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.835.024.28.523.07.90.01.3CONCON
39592Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.135.522.810.322.07.40.01.9CONCON
40384Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.532.918.712.325.910.10.00.0CONCON
40681Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.136.822.25.727.47.60.00.4CONCON
40780Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.036.521.96.327.38.00.00.0CONCON
41077Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.834.219.38.528.48.30.01.3CONCON
41671Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.035.520.15.430.37.80.01.0CONCON
41868St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.018.12.155.815.58.20.00.2LIBLIB
42265Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.632.615.410.826.314.10.00.7CONCON
42760Witham Priti Patel79,07264.037.219.16.227.09.00.01.5CONCON
42958Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.438.720.310.023.37.70.00.0CONCON
43453Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.936.117.013.726.56.70.00.0CONCON
43650Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.427.88.24.053.16.10.00.7ReformReform
43750Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.737.016.77.832.26.40.00.0CONCON
44344Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.843.221.611.89.68.50.05.3CONCON
44443Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.136.615.011.231.45.60.00.2CONCON
44740Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.634.112.024.121.67.30.01.1CONCON
44739Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.231.79.531.919.66.50.00.8LIBLIB
45037Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.338.115.33.036.67.00.00.0CONCON
45135St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.728.15.136.119.57.40.03.7LIBLIB
45432Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.027.43.246.016.16.80.00.5LIBLIB
45532Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.344.620.17.120.96.60.00.7CONCON
46323Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.930.44.139.020.65.10.20.6LIBLIB
46522Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.738.811.711.032.06.50.00.0CONCON
46620Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.230.31.92.322.043.40.00.1GreenGreen
47016Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.230.51.549.413.35.10.00.3LIBLIB
47116Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.841.412.56.430.67.10.51.5CONCON
4815Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.935.91.240.618.14.20.00.0LIBLIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.