| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 30.6% | 23 | 24.3% | 1 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 21.8% | 0 | 14 | -14 | 13 |
| LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 11.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 27.0% | 20 | 1 | +19 | 22 |
| Green | 6.9% | 1 | 8.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Other | 2.4% | 0 | 7.0% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harpenden and Berkhamsted (prediction: LIB), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 368 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 11.2 | 36.0 | 11.6 | 10.7 | 26.6 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 79 | 320 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 10.7 | 37.2 | 6.1 | 19.2 | 21.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 104 | 295 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 7.3 | 45.6 | 2.1 | 31.3 | 6.2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 128 | 271 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 5.5 | 46.3 | 1.5 | 33.9 | 4.4 | 8.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 164 | 235 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 9.6 | 41.4 | 4.1 | 31.8 | 4.7 | 8.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 199 | 200 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 6.2 | 44.2 | 1.6 | 38.0 | 3.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 200 | 199 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 23.1 | 28.7 | 10.3 | 22.7 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 204 | 194 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 18.2 | 21.8 | 6.2 | 16.3 | 4.7 | 32.9 | 0.0 | Reform | MIN |
| 213 | 186 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 9.9 | 38.8 | 4.8 | 34.1 | 4.3 | 8.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 226 | 173 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 9.3 | 38.5 | 3.0 | 35.2 | 4.1 | 9.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 227 | 172 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 17.0 | 28.3 | 6.1 | 25.0 | 13.4 | 10.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 237 | 162 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 8.2 | 26.4 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 249 | 150 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 25.6 | 26.3 | 6.9 | 24.4 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 262 | 137 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 20.6 | 25.9 | 13.1 | 25.3 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 264 | 134 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 33.0 | 22.5 | 9.1 | 22.3 | 8.4 | 4.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 269 | 129 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 16.9 | 13.8 | 41.2 | 14.2 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 278 | 121 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 24.6 | 25.6 | 8.7 | 26.6 | 7.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 279 | 119 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 28.8 | 24.1 | 8.3 | 25.3 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 282 | 117 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 23.4 | 26.4 | 5.0 | 27.9 | 8.6 | 8.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 295 | 104 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 24.7 | 23.8 | 11.9 | 26.1 | 8.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 296 | 102 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 30.2 | 22.8 | 9.1 | 25.3 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 300 | 99 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 22.3 | 26.1 | 7.2 | 29.3 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 304 | 94 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 28.8 | 22.3 | 8.5 | 25.9 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 305 | 94 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 6.0 | 37.6 | 1.3 | 41.3 | 2.5 | 11.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 306 | 92 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 33.5 | 19.8 | 7.1 | 23.6 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 307 | 92 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 24.8 | 25.1 | 6.5 | 28.8 | 7.7 | 7.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 309 | 89 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 26.4 | 11.2 | 36.2 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 312 | 87 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 23.2 | 23.6 | 11.1 | 27.9 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 313 | 85 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 29.0 | 17.3 | 18.3 | 21.8 | 7.9 | 5.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 320 | 79 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 22.3 | 24.4 | 7.1 | 29.4 | 9.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 320 | 78 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 27.5 | 5.1 | 49.6 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 332 | 66 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 54.0 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 335 | 63 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 31.2 | 10.1 | 33.7 | 16.4 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 337 | 62 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 24.8 | 20.8 | 9.7 | 27.2 | 11.1 | 6.3 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 338 | 61 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 25.2 | 22.0 | 10.6 | 28.4 | 7.9 | 5.9 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 340 | 59 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 26.6 | 21.6 | 10.9 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 5.9 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 343 | 55 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 28.3 | 20.6 | 8.2 | 27.1 | 8.5 | 7.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 350 | 49 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 21.6 | 23.5 | 11.8 | 30.6 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 357 | 42 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 24.0 | 20.4 | 6.7 | 28.4 | 10.4 | 10.1 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 360 | 38 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 25.1 | 10.5 | 34.5 | 18.9 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 364 | 35 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 25.5 | 22.8 | 5.3 | 31.5 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 368 | 31 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 25.0 | 21.4 | 9.5 | 30.8 | 5.7 | 7.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 371 | 28 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 25.9 | 22.4 | 6.2 | 32.0 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 379 | 19 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 36.8 | 16.7 | 6.8 | 27.6 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 382 | 17 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 21.1 | 22.8 | 5.9 | 34.3 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 386 | 13 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 22.8 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 28.3 | 18.8 | 6.5 | 0.0 | Green | Reform |
| 388 | 11 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 18.1 | 22.8 | 5.4 | 35.2 | 4.9 | 13.6 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 388 | 10 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 31.8 | 17.0 | 6.6 | 29.5 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 394 | 5 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 19.8 | 23.8 | 6.0 | 38.1 | 4.6 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 395 | 3 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 28.9 | 8.5 | 28.3 | 26.0 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 0.0 | LIB | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 41.9 | 12.2 | 3.5 | 31.8 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 38.2 | 12.8 | 3.6 | 33.0 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 43.3 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 31.9 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 42.6 | 10.9 | 3.4 | 33.1 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 42.9 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 33.1 | 3.7 | 6.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 40.3 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 34.3 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 42.1 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 35.4 | 3.5 | 6.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 39.4 | 9.5 | 3.2 | 37.1 | 3.6 | 7.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 3 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 42.2 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 36.9 | 3.4 | 6.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 396 | 3 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 36.3 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 41.3 | 3.4 | 8.5 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 398 | 1 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 30.5 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 45.7 | 2.2 | 10.9 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.