| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 30.6% | 23 | 22.8% | 7 | 12 | -5 | 18 |
| LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 15.8% | 0 | 26 | -26 | 1 |
| LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 13.3% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 31.1% | 31 | 0 | +31 | 34 |
| Green | 6.9% | 1 | 12.2% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| Other | 2.4% | 0 | 4.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Castle Point (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: Green).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 318 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 8.8 | 26.3 | 12.9 | 12.0 | 34.5 | 3.4 | 2.1 | LAB | Green |
| 72 | 257 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 10.6 | 34.8 | 5.1 | 33.5 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 5.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 77 | 251 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 23.4 | 17.6 | 15.7 | 16.8 | 16.8 | 9.5 | 0.3 | LAB | CON |
| 83 | 245 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 8.2 | 23.3 | 7.9 | 23.5 | 32.6 | 0.0 | 4.5 | LAB | Green |
| 86 | 243 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 18.4 | 22.5 | 10.8 | 22.9 | 17.8 | 4.2 | 3.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 87 | 242 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 21.2 | 23.3 | 13.9 | 24.0 | 14.9 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 94 | 235 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 15.4 | 19.2 | 6.2 | 20.8 | 18.0 | 20.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 99 | 230 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 18.1 | 22.6 | 13.3 | 24.7 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 139 | 190 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 21.7 | 19.4 | 15.6 | 25.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 142 | 187 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 14.7 | 17.8 | 7.4 | 24.7 | 18.6 | 12.8 | 4.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 145 | 184 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 20.8 | 22.1 | 9.8 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 4.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 180 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 15.5 | 9.8 | 37.9 | 17.1 | 15.9 | 0.0 | 3.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 159 | 170 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 19.2 | 19.5 | 12.0 | 27.7 | 18.6 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 169 | 160 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 20.8 | 18.8 | 15.1 | 27.7 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 172 | 156 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 21.5 | 8.5 | 38.0 | 17.9 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 175 | 153 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 25.6 | 5.3 | 44.7 | 14.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 179 | 149 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 33.5 | 17.7 | 6.8 | 27.8 | 10.8 | 0.0 | 3.4 | LAB | CON |
| 198 | 131 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 18.2 | 20.4 | 9.0 | 32.3 | 16.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 204 | 124 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 27.3 | 12.2 | 23.0 | 24.6 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 4.1 | LIB | CON |
| 206 | 123 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 17.9 | 20.7 | 6.1 | 33.3 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 209 | 119 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 21.2 | 9.3 | 31.0 | 22.6 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 3.6 | LIB | LIB |
| 213 | 116 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 18.7 | 17.5 | 10.7 | 31.1 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 4.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 215 | 113 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 34.4 | 11.4 | 15.9 | 25.3 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 4.3 | CON | CON |
| 215 | 113 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 31.1 | 16.4 | 8.5 | 30.4 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 3.7 | LAB | CON |
| 220 | 108 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 24.3 | 7.7 | 32.1 | 22.1 | 10.6 | 0.9 | 2.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 224 | 105 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 19.5 | 18.7 | 10.4 | 33.5 | 14.2 | 0.0 | 3.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 227 | 102 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 27.6 | 17.6 | 7.5 | 32.6 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 4.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 229 | 100 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 19.6 | 15.9 | 16.0 | 31.1 | 14.5 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 245 | 84 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 19.3 | 15.1 | 8.4 | 32.1 | 8.3 | 16.1 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 257 | 72 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 29.1 | 16.6 | 5.4 | 35.8 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 4.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 266 | 62 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 35.0 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 30.4 | 7.9 | 13.3 | 0.6 | LAB | CON |
| 266 | 62 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 44.7 | 8.7 | 6.4 | 29.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 4.9 | CON | CON |
| 269 | 59 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 36.9 | 11.9 | 8.2 | 33.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 3.5 | CON | CON |
| 273 | 55 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 45.6 | 8.8 | 5.2 | 31.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 | CON | CON |
| 274 | 55 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 18.1 | 17.0 | 8.6 | 39.7 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 4.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 275 | 53 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 41.1 | 10.3 | 4.8 | 33.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 4.5 | CON | CON |
| 278 | 51 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 18.5 | 17.3 | 7.1 | 40.5 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 8.4 | Reform | Reform |
| 278 | 50 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 39.9 | 10.4 | 6.2 | 33.8 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 3.6 | CON | CON |
| 279 | 49 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 38.8 | 10.5 | 6.1 | 34.4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | CON | CON |
| 283 | 46 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 24.5 | 6.0 | 29.9 | 31.4 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LIB | Reform |
| 288 | 40 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 40.7 | 9.1 | 5.7 | 35.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | LAB | CON |
| 290 | 38 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 40.6 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 36.2 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 3.9 | CON | CON |
| 290 | 38 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 41.7 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 35.4 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 2.9 | CON | CON |
| 291 | 38 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 32.3 | 12.2 | 6.7 | 38.9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | CON | Reform |
| 291 | 37 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 37.8 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 37.0 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 3.9 | LAB | CON |
| 292 | 37 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 19.9 | 15.2 | 7.0 | 42.2 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 6.8 | Reform | Reform |
| 293 | 36 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 34.8 | 9.9 | 6.8 | 37.2 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 3.7 | CON | Reform |
| 294 | 35 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 37.3 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 37.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 4.5 | CON | Reform |
| 299 | 29 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 37.0 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 36.7 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 4.7 | CON | CON |
| 303 | 26 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 38.1 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 38.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 4.4 | CON | Reform |
| 304 | 24 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 40.8 | 7.2 | 6.2 | 37.7 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 3.8 | CON | CON |
| 307 | 22 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 38.6 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 39.6 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 4.4 | CON | Reform |
| 309 | 20 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 35.1 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 41.1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 5.3 | CON | Reform |
| 315 | 14 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 36.6 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 42.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 3.9 | CON | Reform |
| 319 | 10 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 38.9 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 42.1 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 3.3 | CON | Reform |
| 320 | 9 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 36.9 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 42.4 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 4.5 | CON | Reform |
| 321 | 8 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 35.7 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 44.2 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | CON | Reform |
| 323 | 6 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 37.0 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 45.1 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 2.8 | CON | Reform |
| 325 | 3 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 42.0 | 43.9 | 0.0 | 3.4 | Green | Green |
| 327 | 2 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 31.7 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 54.5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | CON | Reform |
| 328 | 1 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 27.6 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 55.9 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.9 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.