Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	30.6%	23	29.2%	13	2	+11	34
LAB	29.4%	27	22.0%	0	15	-15	12
LIB	13.2%	7	13.3%	0	1	-1	6
Reform	17.5%	3	25.5%	5	0	+5	8
Green	6.9%	1	8.8%	0	0	+0	1
Other	2.4%	0	1.0%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Maldon', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Norfolk North West (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
27	339	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	70,315	59.9	10.9	44.0	15.5	7.8	18.7	0.6	2.4	0.0	LAB	LAB
69	297	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	76,381	59.0	12.8	36.1	12.5	17.4	20.8	0.3	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
138	228	Colchester	Pam Cox	78,662	57.1	20.1	34.6	12.5	23.8	8.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
146	220	Norwich North	Alice Macdonald	73,721	62.1	20.5	34.1	7.3	25.1	12.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
155	211	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	72,478	56.1	21.6	34.0	10.0	21.0	9.8	0.2	3.4	0.0	LAB	LAB
167	199	Hitchin	Alistair Strathern	75,080	69.9	25.3	35.2	10.2	20.4	8.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
180	186	Ipswich	Jack Simon Abbott	76,319	57.7	23.7	32.2	7.5	24.6	11.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
189	177	Watford	Matt Turmaine	73,000	60.9	23.0	28.4	12.8	20.3	8.3	0.1	7.1	0.0	LAB	LAB
195	171	Luton North	Sarah Owen	74,866	51.8	22.9	26.8	9.0	23.5	7.8	0.2	9.8	0.0	LAB	LAB
196	170	Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Rachel Hopkins	76,970	49.9	21.3	25.1	9.0	23.7	8.3	0.2	12.3	0.0	LAB	LAB
204	162	Welwyn Hatfield	Andrew Lewin	75,259	64.4	28.9	30.6	8.0	22.4	9.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
206	159	Thurrock	Jennifer Craft	73,405	51.2	22.4	23.1	7.7	35.6	7.5	0.2	3.5	0.0	LAB	Reform
207	159	Stevenage	Kevin Bonavia	70,086	60.9	26.4	26.9	12.0	24.9	9.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
218	147	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	72,739	71.0	16.9	15.3	44.9	15.1	7.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	LIB	LIB
220	146	Hemel Hempstead	David Taylor	71,038	62.1	27.5	25.4	13.8	24.7	8.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
221	145	Hertford and Stortford	Josh Dean	78,915	68.4	29.1	26.9	11.9	21.5	10.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
222	144	Southend East and Rochford	Bayo Alaba	70,217	56.5	27.7	25.4	10.0	27.2	9.4	0.3	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
224	142	Norfolk South	Ben Goldsborough	74,135	66.9	28.4	25.2	14.5	21.8	10.0	0.3	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
226	139	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Ian Sollom	78,115	67.7	24.7	21.1	26.6	19.2	8.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	LIB	LIB
228	137	Cambridgeshire South	Pippa Heylings	77,327	71.0	23.5	19.0	33.3	16.8	7.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	LIB	LIB
236	130	Southend West and Leigh	David Edmund Burton-Sampson	75,154	62.5	29.7	24.3	10.8	25.8	9.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
239	126	Basildon South and East Thurrock	James McMurdock	72,673	54.4	26.5	20.8	7.1	38.5	6.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	Reform	Reform
241	124	Great Yarmouth	Rupert Lowe	73,317	55.6	26.2	20.1	6.6	40.6	6.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	Reform	Reform
243	123	Hertfordshire North East	Chris Hinchliff	77,090	68.1	30.3	24.2	13.4	22.5	9.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
244	122	Suffolk Coastal	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter	74,522	66.4	28.6	22.2	15.6	23.3	10.0	0.3	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
246	120	Peterborough	Andrew Pakes	73,378	57.1	28.5	22.1	5.1	24.2	7.6	0.1	12.4	0.0	LAB	CON
248	118	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Peter Prinsley	77,599	65.6	30.4	23.8	9.2	23.8	12.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
253	112	Lowestoft	Jessica Asato	74,332	56.3	30.0	21.7	7.4	31.4	9.2	0.3	0.0	0.0	LAB	Reform
254	112	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Alex Mayer	76,742	60.0	30.1	21.8	14.9	26.0	7.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
258	108	Broadland and Fakenham	Jerome Mayhew	76,859	64.4	30.9	21.8	13.5	25.6	8.0	0.3	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
259	107	Bedfordshire Mid	Blake Stephenson	76,218	65.1	32.4	23.3	12.0	24.3	7.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
261	105	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	71,353	67.6	30.1	20.9	18.1	23.2	7.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
263	103	Huntingdon	Benjamin Obese-Jecty	79,074	65.8	32.6	23.3	12.7	23.2	7.9	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
267	99	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	76,579	62.7	31.8	21.6	11.1	27.5	7.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
270	96	Harlow	Christopher John Vince	74,683	58.1	32.5	22.0	6.9	30.6	7.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
275	90	Norfolk South West	Terry Jermy	74,724	59.3	26.3	15.6	6.9	30.5	5.2	0.2	15.1	0.0	LAB	Reform
277	89	Essex North West	Kemi Badenoch	79,824	68.1	34.4	23.5	12.6	21.9	7.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
281	85	Cambridgeshire North West	Sam Carling	75,915	58.5	32.8	21.5	9.0	28.0	8.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
285	81	Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Charlotte Cane	79,112	66.2	28.4	16.9	28.2	20.2	6.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	LIB	CON
287	78	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Victoria Collins	72,242	75.2	27.5	15.4	35.0	15.7	6.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	LIB	LIB
289	76	Basildon and Billericay	Richard John Holden	76,873	54.8	31.4	19.0	8.0	34.3	7.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	Reform
296	70	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	73,385	66.5	32.5	19.2	12.9	25.9	9.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
300	66	Suffolk West	Nick Timothy	77,149	59.8	33.1	19.2	10.2	29.4	7.9	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
300	65	Chelmsford	Marie Goldman	76,972	65.9	27.6	13.3	32.1	21.1	5.1	0.2	0.6	0.0	LIB	LIB
303	63	Suffolk Central and North Ipswich	Patrick Spencer	73,046	63.6	32.3	17.5	11.6	25.8	12.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
310	56	Braintree	James Cleverly	77,781	63.0	34.6	18.9	8.2	30.7	7.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
311	55	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	75,238	61.0	35.0	19.2	8.7	29.3	7.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
313	53	Bedfordshire North	Richard Fuller	78,850	65.4	35.7	19.6	12.7	24.0	7.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
313	52	Clacton	Nigel Farage	78,703	58.4	28.0	11.7	6.1	49.0	5.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	Reform	Reform
316	50	Epping Forest	Neil Hudson	72,229	57.8	39.8	22.9	13.1	15.8	8.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
317	49	Witham	Priti Patel	79,072	64.0	36.1	19.1	8.8	27.3	8.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
319	47	Broxbourne	Lewis Christopher Cocking	75,187	57.1	36.0	18.3	7.9	30.1	7.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
322	43	Norfolk North	Steffan Aquarone	71,438	65.9	28.2	10.1	33.5	24.3	3.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	LIB	LIB
327	39	Norfolk North West	James Wild	74,415	59.9	35.4	16.8	12.4	29.0	6.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
335	30	Waveney Valley	Adrian Ramsay	73,056	67.2	29.4	9.4	5.4	21.6	34.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	Green	Green
336	30	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,352	64.1	36.2	16.2	11.4	30.8	5.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
338	28	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	76,576	62.7	36.0	15.7	8.7	33.4	5.9	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
340	25	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	70,967	57.3	35.3	14.5	5.7	38.2	6.0	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	Reform
351	15	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,518	65.3	41.8	18.6	9.5	22.6	7.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
352	14	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	71,511	54.8	37.6	14.1	7.8	33.2	6.0	0.2	1.1	0.0	CON	CON
357	9	Maldon	John Whittingdale	78,281	63.7	37.7	13.9	10.6	31.9	5.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.