Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 30.6% | 23 | 28.6% | 11 | 2 | +9 | 32 |
LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 21.0% | 0 | 17 | -17 | 10 |
LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 14.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 7 |
Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 26.8% | 8 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
Green | 6.9% | 1 | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
Other | 2.4% | 0 | 1.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Cambridgeshire North East', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cambridgeshire North East (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | 295 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 10.4 | 43.6 | 16.6 | 8.9 | 18.1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
65 | 256 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 12.2 | 34.6 | 14.2 | 19.2 | 19.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
120 | 201 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 19.5 | 33.5 | 13.8 | 25.2 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
130 | 191 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 20.0 | 32.9 | 8.8 | 26.7 | 11.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
136 | 185 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 21.0 | 32.8 | 11.4 | 22.5 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
146 | 175 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 24.8 | 34.5 | 11.3 | 21.5 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
158 | 163 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 23.2 | 30.9 | 9.0 | 26.2 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
163 | 158 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 22.4 | 28.5 | 13.3 | 20.7 | 7.9 | 7.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
169 | 151 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 20.7 | 23.3 | 10.8 | 25.7 | 7.1 | 12.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
170 | 150 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 22.4 | 24.4 | 11.1 | 25.9 | 6.4 | 9.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
172 | 149 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 28.4 | 30.0 | 9.1 | 23.5 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
174 | 146 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 21.9 | 22.7 | 8.5 | 36.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
177 | 144 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 25.8 | 26.2 | 13.1 | 26.1 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
184 | 136 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 16.4 | 14.7 | 45.9 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
188 | 133 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 27.0 | 24.8 | 14.8 | 25.7 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
189 | 132 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 28.5 | 26.3 | 12.9 | 22.5 | 9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
189 | 131 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 27.2 | 24.1 | 11.5 | 28.8 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
190 | 131 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 27.8 | 24.5 | 15.6 | 22.9 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
194 | 126 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 22.9 | 18.2 | 34.4 | 17.9 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
198 | 122 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 24.2 | 19.1 | 28.5 | 21.4 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
202 | 119 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 29.1 | 23.3 | 12.1 | 27.2 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
203 | 118 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 27.9 | 22.0 | 5.7 | 24.8 | 7.2 | 12.4 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
205 | 116 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 29.8 | 23.7 | 14.3 | 23.4 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
208 | 113 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 28.1 | 21.7 | 16.6 | 24.3 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
212 | 108 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 25.6 | 18.5 | 8.2 | 42.5 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
214 | 107 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 29.8 | 22.4 | 10.7 | 25.5 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
214 | 106 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 26.0 | 18.3 | 9.2 | 41.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
217 | 104 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 29.5 | 21.1 | 15.9 | 27.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
218 | 102 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 29.5 | 20.4 | 8.8 | 33.0 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
220 | 101 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 30.4 | 21.1 | 14.5 | 26.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
222 | 99 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 29.5 | 20.0 | 19.3 | 24.4 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
223 | 98 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 32.0 | 22.4 | 14.0 | 24.5 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
224 | 97 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 31.9 | 22.0 | 13.4 | 25.9 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
225 | 96 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 31.3 | 20.9 | 12.1 | 28.6 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
225 | 95 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 25.8 | 15.4 | 7.6 | 31.2 | 4.8 | 15.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
233 | 88 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 32.0 | 21.0 | 8.1 | 31.9 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
239 | 82 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 32.3 | 20.6 | 10.2 | 29.2 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
241 | 80 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 33.8 | 22.1 | 14.1 | 23.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
242 | 78 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 27.9 | 16.0 | 29.3 | 21.3 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
242 | 78 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 27.0 | 14.9 | 35.9 | 16.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
248 | 72 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 30.8 | 17.7 | 9.4 | 35.9 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
252 | 69 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 32.0 | 18.4 | 14.0 | 27.1 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
255 | 65 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 27.1 | 12.7 | 33.0 | 22.0 | 4.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
256 | 65 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 32.6 | 17.9 | 11.6 | 31.0 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
258 | 63 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 31.8 | 16.5 | 12.9 | 27.2 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
262 | 59 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 35.2 | 19.1 | 13.6 | 24.9 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
265 | 56 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 34.5 | 18.3 | 9.9 | 30.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
267 | 54 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 34.1 | 17.6 | 9.5 | 32.2 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
271 | 49 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 27.5 | 10.4 | 7.4 | 50.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
272 | 49 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 35.5 | 17.8 | 10.3 | 28.9 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
276 | 45 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 35.5 | 17.3 | 9.1 | 31.4 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
276 | 44 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 27.6 | 9.4 | 34.5 | 25.3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
283 | 38 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 39.3 | 20.3 | 15.3 | 18.3 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
284 | 37 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 34.9 | 15.8 | 13.6 | 30.3 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
288 | 32 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 28.8 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 22.7 | 33.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Green | Green |
289 | 32 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 35.7 | 15.4 | 12.4 | 31.9 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
291 | 30 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 35.5 | 14.9 | 9.8 | 34.5 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
294 | 26 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 34.8 | 13.5 | 6.9 | 39.5 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
307 | 14 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 41.3 | 17.8 | 10.5 | 23.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
311 | 10 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 37.2 | 13.1 | 11.6 | 33.0 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
314 | 7 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 37.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | 34.8 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.