| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 30.6% | 23 | 24.1% | 7 | 9 | -2 | 21 |
| LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 17.8% | 0 | 23 | -23 | 4 |
| LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 13.3% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 30.5% | 25 | 0 | +25 | 28 |
| Green | 6.9% | 1 | 9.9% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| Other | 2.4% | 0 | 4.4% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Cambridgeshire North East (prediction: Reform), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: Green).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 322 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 9.9 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 11.7 | 32.2 | 3.4 | 1.8 | LAB | Green |
| 67 | 272 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 6.6 | 44.3 | 2.2 | 37.8 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 104 | 234 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 9.5 | 25.6 | 7.9 | 22.8 | 30.2 | 0.0 | 4.0 | LAB | Green |
| 110 | 228 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 24.4 | 18.8 | 15.8 | 16.8 | 14.4 | 9.5 | 0.3 | LAB | CON |
| 111 | 228 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 10.8 | 22.4 | 15.5 | 4.2 | 2.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 118 | 221 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 22.5 | 25.1 | 13.9 | 23.6 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 2.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 122 | 217 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 19.5 | 24.8 | 13.3 | 24.0 | 14.7 | 0.0 | 3.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 134 | 205 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 16.4 | 20.4 | 6.3 | 20.9 | 15.7 | 20.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 165 | 174 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 23.1 | 21.3 | 15.6 | 25.2 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 166 | 172 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 30.1 | 22.5 | 8.2 | 26.5 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | CON |
| 167 | 172 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 16.1 | 19.9 | 7.3 | 24.0 | 16.3 | 12.9 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 168 | 171 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 22.3 | 24.2 | 9.8 | 28.3 | 11.6 | 0.0 | 3.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 172 | 166 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 16.9 | 11.9 | 37.9 | 16.5 | 13.6 | 0.0 | 3.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 180 | 159 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 20.5 | 21.4 | 12.0 | 27.2 | 16.2 | 0.0 | 2.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 190 | 149 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 22.1 | 20.7 | 15.1 | 27.3 | 12.2 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 194 | 144 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 23.1 | 9.8 | 38.8 | 17.1 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 201 | 137 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 28.7 | 4.6 | 48.3 | 12.4 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 216 | 123 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 17.0 | 24.6 | 5.8 | 34.0 | 9.8 | 6.7 | 2.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 217 | 122 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 19.5 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 31.8 | 14.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 217 | 121 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 28.7 | 14.3 | 23.0 | 23.9 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LIB | CON |
| 219 | 119 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 30.2 | 19.6 | 9.3 | 29.4 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | CON |
| 222 | 116 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 33.8 | 14.2 | 17.1 | 24.3 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 3.8 | CON | CON |
| 224 | 115 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 26.9 | 21.1 | 8.1 | 31.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 225 | 113 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 22.5 | 11.3 | 31.0 | 22.0 | 10.1 | 0.0 | 3.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 228 | 111 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 20.1 | 19.6 | 10.7 | 30.5 | 15.6 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 243 | 96 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 20.8 | 20.7 | 10.4 | 33.0 | 11.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 246 | 92 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 25.6 | 9.4 | 32.2 | 21.8 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 2.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 251 | 88 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 20.9 | 17.7 | 16.1 | 30.7 | 12.2 | 0.0 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 268 | 71 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 28.3 | 20.3 | 6.0 | 34.6 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 4.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 268 | 70 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 40.8 | 12.9 | 8.9 | 27.7 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 4.3 | CON | CON |
| 271 | 68 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 20.4 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 16.1 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 285 | 53 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 36.3 | 14.4 | 9.1 | 32.3 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | CON |
| 290 | 48 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 40.0 | 13.2 | 5.7 | 32.3 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 3.9 | CON | CON |
| 290 | 48 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 35.1 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 30.2 | 6.6 | 13.3 | 0.5 | LAB | CON |
| 292 | 47 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 20.0 | 19.7 | 7.0 | 39.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 7.7 | Reform | Reform |
| 294 | 45 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 19.5 | 19.0 | 8.6 | 39.1 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 294 | 44 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 39.3 | 12.6 | 7.0 | 32.9 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | CON | CON |
| 296 | 42 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 38.3 | 12.9 | 6.9 | 33.5 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 3.4 | CON | CON |
| 297 | 41 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 46.9 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 30.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.4 | CON | CON |
| 306 | 33 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 31.9 | 14.8 | 7.3 | 38.0 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 3.4 | CON | Reform |
| 307 | 32 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 25.8 | 7.5 | 29.7 | 30.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 2.5 | LIB | Reform |
| 308 | 30 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 37.3 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 36.1 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 3.4 | LAB | CON |
| 309 | 30 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 20.6 | 18.1 | 6.9 | 41.8 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 5.9 | Reform | Reform |
| 309 | 29 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 36.9 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 36.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | CON | CON |
| 309 | 29 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 41.2 | 11.3 | 4.5 | 35.5 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 3.4 | CON | CON |
| 310 | 29 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 34.3 | 12.2 | 7.6 | 36.4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | CON | Reform |
| 310 | 28 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 41.8 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 34.6 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 3.2 | LAB | CON |
| 312 | 26 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 36.3 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 35.6 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 4.1 | CON | CON |
| 312 | 26 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 43.0 | 9.7 | 5.9 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | CON | CON |
| 317 | 21 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 37.6 | 10.9 | 5.4 | 37.6 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 3.8 | CON | CON |
| 320 | 19 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 34.7 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 40.0 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | CON | Reform |
| 321 | 17 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 42.2 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 37.1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | CON | CON |
| 321 | 17 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 40.0 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 38.9 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.8 | CON | CON |
| 324 | 15 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 36.7 | 10.1 | 4.7 | 41.5 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 3.4 | CON | Reform |
| 328 | 11 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 38.3 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 41.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 3.9 | CON | Reform |
| 329 | 10 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 40.1 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 41.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 2.8 | CON | Reform |
| 331 | 8 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 36.9 | 7.8 | 6.1 | 43.6 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 2.7 | CON | Reform |
| 334 | 5 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 38.2 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 44.6 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | CON | Reform |
| 335 | 3 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 42.3 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | Green | Green |
| 337 | 2 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 32.8 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 54.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | CON | Reform |
| 338 | 1 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 28.6 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 55.2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 3.4 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.