Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party2024 Votes2024 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesNet ChangePred Seats
CON 30.6%23 24.8%75+225
LAB 29.4%27 22.7%011-1116
LIB 13.2%7 10.5%01-16
Reform 17.5%3 25.4%111+1013
Green 6.9%1 8.9%01-10
Other 2.4%0 7.7%10+11

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Huntingdon (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB
Seats
Reform
Seats
SeatMP at 2024ElectorateTurn
Out%
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
Reform
%
Green
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2024
Win
Pred
Win
24385Cambridge Daniel Zeichner70,31559.99.338.713.99.424.34.40.0LABLAB
50359Norwich South Clive Lewis76,38159.010.038.96.214.322.48.20.0LABLAB
136273Bedford Mohammad Yasin72,47856.116.636.96.322.611.06.60.0LABLAB
145264Luton North Sarah Owen74,86651.85.447.71.033.93.48.40.0LABLAB
155254Hertford and Stortford Josh Dean78,91568.424.530.410.317.611.55.70.0LABLAB
161248Watford Matt Turmaine73,00060.919.232.513.020.010.15.20.0LABLAB
163246Luton South and South Bedfordshire Rachel Hopkins76,97049.95.746.31.234.13.69.00.0LABLAB
165244Hitchin Alistair Strathern75,08069.923.731.510.619.39.55.50.0LABLAB
170239Norwich North Alice Macdonald73,72162.110.241.92.230.16.88.80.0LABLAB
190219Colchester Pam Cox78,66257.117.832.09.722.310.97.20.0LABLAB
229179Welwyn Hatfield Andrew Lewin75,25964.430.128.54.621.710.74.40.0LABCON
232177Norfolk South Ben Goldsborough74,13566.924.327.712.720.99.05.40.0LABLAB
235174Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket Peter Prinsley77,59965.624.827.48.220.811.96.90.0LABLAB
243166Suffolk Coastal Jenny Riddell-Carpenter74,52266.424.926.014.120.39.15.50.0LABLAB
249159Hertfordshire North East Chris Hinchliff77,09068.129.926.86.921.610.14.80.0LABCON
251157Great Yarmouth Rupert Lowe73,31755.618.222.92.817.95.332.80.0ReformMIN
258151Stevenage Kevin Bonavia70,08660.916.234.33.829.87.68.20.0LABLAB
266142St Albans Daisy Cooper72,73971.015.715.645.411.57.93.80.0LIBLIB
275134Ipswich Jack Simon Abbott76,31957.720.728.64.825.413.27.30.0LABLAB
279130Hemel Hempstead David Taylor71,03862.122.127.011.524.18.86.40.0LABLAB
308100Broadland and Fakenham Jerome Mayhew76,85964.429.924.97.924.67.84.90.0CONCON
31989Epping Forest Neil Hudson72,22957.830.722.58.223.28.27.30.0CONCON
31989Southend West and Leigh David Edmund Burton-Sampson75,15462.528.125.34.626.09.96.00.0LABCON
32088Hertfordshire South West Gagan Mohindra71,35367.632.019.415.820.58.43.90.0CONCON
33771Huntingdon Benjamin Obese-Jecty79,07465.827.223.67.426.18.37.50.0CONCON
33871Southend East and Rochford Bayo Alaba70,21756.523.024.96.227.59.58.80.0LABReform
33870Cambridgeshire South Pippa Heylings77,32771.025.17.251.09.94.22.60.0LIBLIB
33870Hertsmere Oliver Dowden73,51865.333.620.75.923.48.28.00.0CONCON
33870Ely and East Cambridgeshire Charlotte Cane79,11266.228.917.821.420.67.63.70.0LIBCON
33870St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire Ian Sollom78,11567.723.015.431.218.27.74.40.0LIBLIB
33969Suffolk Central and North Ipswich Patrick Spencer73,04663.630.120.97.224.011.95.90.0CONCON
34068Suffolk South James Cartlidge73,38566.530.421.58.424.79.16.00.0CONCON
34464Bedfordshire Mid Blake Stephenson76,21865.130.622.76.026.77.86.20.0CONCON
34860Chelmsford Marie Goldman76,97265.926.810.339.714.94.93.40.0LIBLIB
34959Harwich and North Essex Bernard Jenkin76,57962.730.822.95.227.67.85.70.0CONCON
34959Harpenden and Berkhamsted Victoria Collins72,24275.229.92.356.47.01.82.70.0LIBLIB
34959Waveney Valley Adrian Ramsay73,05667.226.115.56.820.224.66.80.0GreenCON
35059Lowestoft Jessica Asato74,33256.322.525.04.629.88.99.20.0LABReform
35058Essex North West Kemi Badenoch79,82468.127.621.68.626.47.48.40.0CONCON
35356Peterborough Andrew Pakes73,37857.126.124.32.829.311.56.00.0LABReform
36444Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard Alex Mayer76,74260.029.721.57.128.07.85.80.0LABCON
36544Thurrock Jennifer Craft73,40551.25.736.60.843.42.511.10.0LABReform
36841Harlow Christopher John Vince74,68358.127.223.82.830.98.27.00.0LABReform
37534Norfolk South West Terry Jermy74,72459.320.324.95.033.55.311.00.0LABReform
38326Broxbourne Lewis Christopher Cocking75,18757.128.418.95.030.76.99.90.0CONReform
38523Cambridgeshire North West Sam Carling75,91558.535.017.23.630.07.27.00.0LABCON
38821Norfolk Mid George Freeman75,23861.028.118.75.031.86.310.10.0CONReform
38919Witham Priti Patel79,07264.033.316.54.329.76.69.60.0CONCON
39513Norfolk North Steffan Aquarone71,43865.925.89.628.426.04.85.40.0LIBLIB
39711Bedfordshire North Richard Fuller78,85065.439.212.34.329.95.39.00.0CONCON
39811Basildon South and East Thurrock James McMurdock72,67354.417.620.62.740.45.713.00.0ReformReform
3999Basildon and Billericay Richard John Holden76,87354.835.314.32.234.55.97.80.0CONCON
4018Braintree James Cleverly77,78163.032.813.73.134.15.410.90.0CONReform
4017Brentwood and Ongar Alex Burghart75,35264.142.010.34.431.63.68.10.0CONCON
4017Suffolk West Nick Timothy77,14959.841.410.02.433.94.77.60.0CONCON
4017Maldon John Whittingdale78,28163.740.48.23.634.43.410.10.0CONCON
4017Norfolk North West James Wild74,41559.937.98.73.435.13.811.00.0CONCON
4026Rayleigh and Wickford Mark Francois76,57662.738.58.82.735.83.510.70.0CONCON
4036Cambridgeshire North East Steve Barclay71,51154.837.08.52.437.63.211.30.0CONReform
4063Castle Point Rebecca Harris70,96757.332.86.21.242.22.914.80.0CONReform
4072Clacton Nigel Farage78,70358.431.96.42.743.62.313.10.0ReformReform

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.