| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 30.6% | 23 | 24.0% | 2 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| LAB | 29.4% | 27 | 22.2% | 0 | 8 | -8 | 19 |
| LIB | 13.2% | 7 | 10.9% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| Reform | 17.5% | 3 | 25.1% | 15 | 1 | +14 | 17 |
| Green | 6.9% | 1 | 9.2% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Other | 2.4% | 0 | 8.6% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Clacton', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Harwich and North Essex (prediction: CON), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Norwich South (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 411 | Cambridge | Daniel Zeichner | 70,315 | 59.9 | 7.5 | 46.9 | 2.5 | 8.3 | 29.7 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 88 | 338 | Norwich South | Clive Lewis | 76,381 | 59.0 | 9.7 | 37.2 | 4.3 | 15.8 | 24.6 | 8.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 131 | 295 | Norwich North | Alice Macdonald | 73,721 | 62.1 | 7.9 | 47.4 | 1.6 | 30.3 | 4.5 | 8.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 173 | 253 | Hitchin | Alistair Strathern | 75,080 | 69.9 | 23.7 | 33.5 | 8.8 | 19.9 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 215 | 211 | Ipswich | Jack Simon Abbott | 76,319 | 57.7 | 19.9 | 32.7 | 4.9 | 22.2 | 13.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 216 | 210 | Luton North | Sarah Owen | 74,866 | 51.8 | 11.5 | 39.1 | 2.6 | 28.7 | 8.5 | 9.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 229 | 197 | Luton South and South Bedfordshire | Rachel Hopkins | 76,970 | 49.9 | 9.4 | 40.8 | 2.1 | 31.2 | 6.3 | 10.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 243 | 183 | Bedford | Mohammad Yasin | 72,478 | 56.1 | 18.0 | 31.7 | 7.9 | 23.0 | 12.5 | 7.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 253 | 173 | Hertford and Stortford | Josh Dean | 78,915 | 68.4 | 23.3 | 30.1 | 7.4 | 22.1 | 11.5 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 258 | 168 | Stevenage | Kevin Bonavia | 70,086 | 60.9 | 16.1 | 34.9 | 4.8 | 27.2 | 8.9 | 8.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 258 | 167 | Great Yarmouth | Rupert Lowe | 73,317 | 55.6 | 20.6 | 23.2 | 3.5 | 15.6 | 5.5 | 31.6 | 0.0 | Reform | MIN |
| 268 | 158 | Colchester | Pam Cox | 78,662 | 57.1 | 18.4 | 30.0 | 9.2 | 23.2 | 11.5 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 276 | 150 | Thurrock | Jennifer Craft | 73,405 | 51.2 | 5.8 | 43.9 | 0.6 | 37.4 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 288 | 138 | Norfolk South | Ben Goldsborough | 74,135 | 66.9 | 25.0 | 28.2 | 9.9 | 22.5 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 296 | 130 | Welwyn Hatfield | Andrew Lewin | 75,259 | 64.4 | 26.0 | 27.8 | 7.1 | 22.8 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 316 | 110 | Hemel Hempstead | David Taylor | 71,038 | 62.1 | 23.2 | 27.4 | 10.4 | 24.6 | 8.4 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 319 | 107 | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | Peter Prinsley | 77,599 | 65.6 | 22.9 | 27.6 | 6.0 | 24.9 | 12.5 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 327 | 98 | Harwich and North Essex | Bernard Jenkin | 76,579 | 62.7 | 28.9 | 22.7 | 8.2 | 21.2 | 8.1 | 10.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 330 | 96 | Hertfordshire North East | Chris Hinchliff | 77,090 | 68.1 | 24.8 | 25.8 | 8.5 | 24.5 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 331 | 95 | Watford | Matt Turmaine | 73,000 | 60.9 | 22.1 | 24.3 | 14.2 | 23.0 | 10.2 | 6.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 334 | 92 | Southend East and Rochford | Bayo Alaba | 70,217 | 56.5 | 22.6 | 27.8 | 6.1 | 26.9 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 335 | 90 | Hertsmere | Oliver Dowden | 73,518 | 65.3 | 29.9 | 22.3 | 7.2 | 21.4 | 10.0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 335 | 90 | Bedfordshire Mid | Blake Stephenson | 76,218 | 65.1 | 29.9 | 21.9 | 9.8 | 21.3 | 7.1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 335 | 90 | Broadland and Fakenham | Jerome Mayhew | 76,859 | 64.4 | 28.5 | 21.7 | 11.0 | 21.2 | 7.7 | 10.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 344 | 82 | Suffolk Coastal | Jenny Riddell-Carpenter | 74,522 | 66.4 | 23.9 | 24.9 | 11.0 | 25.3 | 9.3 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 345 | 80 | Hertfordshire South West | Gagan Mohindra | 71,353 | 67.6 | 30.7 | 16.6 | 18.9 | 17.2 | 7.9 | 8.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 346 | 79 | Huntingdon | Benjamin Obese-Jecty | 79,074 | 65.8 | 25.5 | 23.6 | 8.6 | 24.4 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 346 | 79 | Suffolk Central and North Ipswich | Patrick Spencer | 73,046 | 63.6 | 26.4 | 19.7 | 9.2 | 20.7 | 12.8 | 11.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 347 | 78 | Epping Forest | Neil Hudson | 72,229 | 57.8 | 29.6 | 20.9 | 10.1 | 22.4 | 9.2 | 7.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 348 | 77 | Basildon and Billericay | Richard John Holden | 76,873 | 54.8 | 25.2 | 22.0 | 5.5 | 23.6 | 9.3 | 14.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 348 | 77 | Suffolk South | James Cartlidge | 73,385 | 66.5 | 27.2 | 20.1 | 11.3 | 21.7 | 9.1 | 10.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 349 | 77 | Lowestoft | Jessica Asato | 74,332 | 56.3 | 19.0 | 29.7 | 3.6 | 31.4 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 351 | 74 | St Albans | Daisy Cooper | 72,739 | 71.0 | 19.6 | 13.1 | 39.0 | 15.1 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 353 | 72 | Essex North West | Kemi Badenoch | 79,824 | 68.1 | 26.4 | 22.6 | 10.2 | 24.8 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 354 | 72 | Southend West and Leigh | David Edmund Burton-Sampson | 75,154 | 62.5 | 23.9 | 25.0 | 6.5 | 27.3 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 375 | 51 | Broxbourne | Lewis Christopher Cocking | 75,187 | 57.1 | 24.3 | 22.6 | 5.5 | 27.1 | 9.6 | 10.9 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 379 | 47 | Harlow | Christopher John Vince | 74,683 | 58.1 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 4.3 | 29.8 | 7.5 | 10.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 380 | 45 | Bedfordshire North | Richard Fuller | 78,850 | 65.4 | 27.0 | 20.9 | 9.5 | 25.7 | 8.2 | 8.8 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 381 | 44 | Cambridgeshire South | Pippa Heylings | 77,327 | 71.0 | 34.2 | 2.7 | 50.9 | 7.7 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 382 | 43 | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | Victoria Collins | 72,242 | 75.2 | 35.9 | 2.2 | 50.9 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 384 | 42 | Norfolk Mid | George Freeman | 75,238 | 61.0 | 23.9 | 22.9 | 5.8 | 28.4 | 8.7 | 10.4 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 387 | 39 | Peterborough | Andrew Pakes | 73,378 | 57.1 | 24.4 | 22.4 | 5.1 | 28.2 | 10.2 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 390 | 36 | Witham | Priti Patel | 79,072 | 64.0 | 24.9 | 21.4 | 6.2 | 27.8 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 391 | 34 | Suffolk West | Nick Timothy | 77,149 | 59.8 | 30.1 | 17.7 | 8.3 | 24.3 | 7.3 | 12.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 396 | 29 | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | Ian Sollom | 78,115 | 67.7 | 30.0 | 9.5 | 35.6 | 16.9 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 396 | 29 | Ely and East Cambridgeshire | Charlotte Cane | 79,112 | 66.2 | 28.1 | 14.3 | 25.4 | 22.0 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LIB | CON |
| 397 | 28 | Chelmsford | Marie Goldman | 76,972 | 65.9 | 34.7 | 5.3 | 40.5 | 13.4 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 397 | 28 | Waveney Valley | Adrian Ramsay | 73,056 | 67.2 | 25.9 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 24.1 | 22.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 | Green | CON |
| 402 | 24 | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | Alex Mayer | 76,742 | 60.0 | 24.6 | 20.4 | 11.0 | 29.5 | 5.8 | 8.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 403 | 23 | Braintree | James Cleverly | 77,781 | 63.0 | 23.9 | 20.8 | 5.9 | 30.0 | 8.5 | 10.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 405 | 21 | Cambridgeshire North West | Sam Carling | 75,915 | 58.5 | 24.6 | 21.2 | 7.4 | 30.6 | 6.8 | 9.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 413 | 13 | Norfolk North West | James Wild | 74,415 | 59.9 | 25.3 | 17.4 | 8.9 | 31.0 | 6.9 | 10.5 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 418 | 8 | Norfolk South West | Terry Jermy | 74,724 | 59.3 | 20.9 | 20.4 | 5.1 | 37.8 | 6.1 | 9.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 419 | 7 | Basildon South and East Thurrock | James McMurdock | 72,673 | 54.4 | 22.4 | 19.8 | 4.4 | 37.4 | 4.9 | 11.1 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 419 | 6 | Brentwood and Ongar | Alex Burghart | 75,352 | 64.1 | 39.7 | 11.1 | 4.8 | 29.7 | 5.0 | 9.7 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 420 | 6 | Norfolk North | Steffan Aquarone | 71,438 | 65.9 | 24.5 | 8.7 | 25.9 | 32.4 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LIB | Reform |
| 422 | 3 | Maldon | John Whittingdale | 78,281 | 63.7 | 43.0 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 32.7 | 3.8 | 10.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 422 | 3 | Cambridgeshire North East | Steve Barclay | 71,511 | 54.8 | 38.3 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 34.1 | 4.7 | 12.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 422 | 3 | Rayleigh and Wickford | Mark Francois | 76,576 | 62.7 | 38.4 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 34.7 | 4.1 | 10.5 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 423 | 3 | Castle Point | Rebecca Harris | 70,967 | 57.3 | 36.1 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 40.8 | 3.1 | 11.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 425 | 1 | Clacton | Nigel Farage | 78,703 | 58.4 | 36.7 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 43.8 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.