Anglia: Sorted Seats

Anglia Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	30.6%	23	28.0%	13	9	+4	27
LAB	29.4%	27	22.0%	0	15	-15	12
LIB	13.2%	7	13.4%	0	3	-3	4
Reform	17.5%	3	26.5%	14	0	+14	17
Green	6.9%	1	8.7%	0	0	+0	1
Other	2.4%	0	1.3%	0	0	+0	0

This page shows all the seats in Anglia sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Cambridge' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Norfolk North', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hertsmere (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Cambridge (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of Anglia seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
41	315	Cambridge	Daniel Zeichner	70,315	59.9	12.9	37.3	19.6	6.5	20.6	2.2	0.8	LAB	LAB
61	295	Norwich South	Clive Lewis	76,381	59.0	15.1	37.3	11.7	16.4	18.5	0.0	1.0	LAB	LAB
130	226	Norwich North	Alice Macdonald	73,721	62.1	21.6	32.3	8.1	26.2	11.0	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
139	217	Bedford	Mohammad Yasin	72,478	56.1	22.6	32.2	11.7	21.5	9.1	2.1	0.9	LAB	LAB
148	208	Hitchin	Alistair Strathern	75,080	69.9	24.9	33.4	11.6	21.7	7.9	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
150	206	Luton North	Sarah Owen	74,866	51.8	22.5	30.9	9.2	20.1	6.8	8.2	2.3	LAB	LAB
155	201	Luton South and South Bedfordshire	Rachel Hopkins	76,970	49.9	20.7	28.6	9.7	21.3	8.1	9.9	1.7	LAB	LAB
161	195	Colchester	Pam Cox	78,662	57.1	23.0	30.3	13.6	23.8	8.7	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
170	186	Ipswich	Jack Simon Abbott	76,319	57.7	24.0	30.4	8.5	26.1	10.3	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
186	169	Thurrock	Jennifer Craft	73,405	51.2	23.5	26.7	6.2	34.8	6.9	1.7	0.3	LAB	Reform
190	166	Stevenage	Kevin Bonavia	70,086	60.9	26.3	28.6	9.8	26.1	8.8	0.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
192	164	Watford	Matt Turmaine	73,000	60.9	24.7	26.6	15.0	19.5	8.8	5.3	0.1	LAB	LAB
195	161	Welwyn Hatfield	Andrew Lewin	75,259	64.4	28.5	29.8	9.3	23.3	8.6	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
201	155	Hertford and Stortford	Josh Dean	78,915	68.4	28.8	28.7	10.1	21.5	10.5	0.0	0.4	LAB	CON
203	153	Norfolk South	Ben Goldsborough	74,135	66.9	27.0	26.7	12.4	24.3	9.2	0.0	0.4	LAB	CON
205	151	Hemel Hempstead	David Taylor	71,038	62.1	27.4	26.9	11.8	25.2	8.4	0.0	0.3	LAB	CON
212	144	Southend East and Rochford	Bayo Alaba	70,217	56.5	28.1	26.3	8.5	27.4	9.1	0.0	0.6	LAB	CON
221	135	Hertfordshire North East	Chris Hinchliff	77,090	68.1	29.0	25.9	11.7	24.2	9.0	0.0	0.3	LAB	CON
224	131	Great Yarmouth	Rupert Lowe	73,317	55.6	23.7	19.8	6.7	42.7	6.5	0.0	0.6	Reform	Reform
224	131	St Albans	Daisy Cooper	72,739	71.0	19.8	15.7	41.9	13.0	8.9	0.0	0.6	LIB	LIB
225	131	Suffolk Coastal	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter	74,522	66.4	27.8	23.6	13.7	25.2	9.5	0.0	0.3	LAB	CON
226	130	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Peter Prinsley	77,599	65.6	27.5	23.3	9.9	25.7	12.7	0.0	0.8	LAB	CON
232	124	Southend West and Leigh	David Edmund Burton-Sampson	75,154	62.5	30.8	25.8	9.0	24.8	9.0	0.0	0.6	LAB	CON
232	123	Broadland and Fakenham	Jerome Mayhew	76,859	64.4	28.5	23.4	11.5	29.1	7.3	0.0	0.2	CON	Reform
233	123	Peterborough	Andrew Pakes	73,378	57.1	27.8	22.6	6.8	25.8	7.9	8.9	0.2	LAB	CON
234	121	Basildon South and East Thurrock	James McMurdock	72,673	54.4	25.7	20.1	7.1	39.1	6.6	0.0	1.4	Reform	Reform
235	121	Bedfordshire Mid	Blake Stephenson	76,218	65.1	30.4	24.6	10.2	27.0	7.0	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
235	120	Norfolk South West	Terry Jermy	74,724	59.3	23.7	17.9	8.4	34.8	6.3	8.7	0.2	LAB	Reform
236	119	Harlow	Christopher John Vince	74,683	58.1	29.2	23.1	7.1	32.2	8.0	0.0	0.5	LAB	Reform
236	119	Lowestoft	Jessica Asato	74,332	56.3	28.1	21.8	7.4	33.0	9.2	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
238	118	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Alex Mayer	76,742	60.0	30.0	23.6	12.6	26.2	7.2	0.0	0.4	LAB	CON
239	117	Huntingdon	Benjamin Obese-Jecty	79,074	65.8	31.1	24.6	10.9	25.0	7.7	0.0	0.6	CON	CON
241	115	Harwich and North Essex	Bernard Jenkin	76,579	62.7	30.0	23.2	9.4	30.0	7.1	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
243	112	Cambridgeshire North West	Sam Carling	75,915	58.5	29.2	22.0	9.6	29.7	9.2	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
249	107	Essex North West	Kemi Badenoch	79,824	68.1	30.7	23.0	13.3	24.3	7.9	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
263	92	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	Ian Sollom	78,115	67.7	25.5	16.4	29.0	20.1	7.3	0.0	1.6	LIB	LIB
264	91	Suffolk South	James Cartlidge	73,385	66.5	28.6	19.3	13.8	28.6	9.4	0.0	0.3	CON	Reform
267	88	Cambridgeshire South	Pippa Heylings	77,327	71.0	24.3	14.2	35.6	18.1	7.2	0.0	0.5	LIB	LIB
267	88	Suffolk West	Nick Timothy	77,149	59.8	29.2	18.9	11.0	31.9	8.3	0.0	0.7	CON	Reform
267	88	Basildon and Billericay	Richard John Holden	76,873	54.8	29.7	19.3	8.3	34.4	7.5	0.0	0.7	CON	Reform
275	80	Norfolk Mid	George Freeman	75,238	61.0	30.9	20.1	9.3	31.7	7.7	0.0	0.3	CON	Reform
278	78	Bedfordshire North	Richard Fuller	78,850	65.4	33.1	21.8	11.1	26.3	7.4	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
282	74	Suffolk Central and North Ipswich	Patrick Spencer	73,046	63.6	29.1	17.4	12.6	28.1	12.2	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
282	73	Braintree	James Cleverly	77,781	63.0	31.2	19.4	8.8	32.3	7.7	0.0	0.6	CON	Reform
284	72	Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Charlotte Cane	79,112	66.2	28.6	16.6	24.9	22.7	6.7	0.0	0.4	LIB	CON
285	71	Witham	Priti Patel	79,072	64.0	31.6	19.5	9.5	30.3	8.4	0.0	0.7	CON	CON
294	62	Hertfordshire South West	Gagan Mohindra	71,353	67.6	31.4	18.6	20.3	21.7	7.3	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
295	61	Broxbourne	Lewis Christopher Cocking	75,187	57.1	32.8	19.8	8.7	30.2	8.1	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
297	58	Norfolk North West	James Wild	74,415	59.9	30.5	16.9	13.6	32.0	6.7	0.0	0.3	CON	Reform
304	51	Clacton	Nigel Farage	78,703	58.4	26.7	11.8	6.8	48.7	5.3	0.0	0.6	Reform	Reform
306	50	Brentwood and Ongar	Alex Burghart	75,352	64.1	32.4	17.0	12.5	31.5	6.2	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
307	48	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	Victoria Collins	72,242	75.2	27.4	12.0	38.2	15.5	6.4	0.0	0.5	LIB	LIB
309	47	Epping Forest	Neil Hudson	72,229	57.8	37.4	21.8	13.9	16.5	8.6	0.0	1.8	CON	CON
310	45	Waveney Valley	Adrian Ramsay	73,056	67.2	25.5	9.6	6.4	26.0	32.2	0.0	0.3	Green	Green
314	42	Rayleigh and Wickford	Mark Francois	76,576	62.7	33.9	17.3	9.5	32.4	6.5	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
320	36	Chelmsford	Marie Goldman	76,972	65.9	30.9	13.3	28.1	20.6	6.4	0.3	0.4	LIB	CON
324	31	Castle Point	Rebecca Harris	70,967	57.3	34.2	15.7	6.2	37.0	6.4	0.0	0.4	CON	Reform
325	31	Maldon	John Whittingdale	78,281	63.7	33.5	14.9	11.7	33.4	6.2	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
326	30	Hertsmere	Oliver Dowden	73,518	65.3	38.6	20.0	10.3	22.9	7.7	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
330	25	Cambridgeshire North East	Steve Barclay	71,511	54.8	34.2	14.5	8.6	35.1	6.4	0.5	0.7	CON	Reform
341	15	Norfolk North	Steffan Aquarone	71,438	65.9	30.7	9.1	28.6	26.9	4.5	0.0	0.2	LIB	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.