| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 29.4% | 15 | 30.9% | 8 | 0 | +8 | 23 |
| LAB | 35.3% | 29 | 26.6% | 0 | 10 | -10 | 19 |
| LIB | 6.4% | 0 | 5.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Reform | 18.9% | 2 | 26.1% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| Green | 6.3% | 0 | 7.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 3.7% | 1 | 2.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in East Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Nottingham East' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Rutland and Stamford', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Derbyshire Mid (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Nottingham North and Kimberley (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 449 | Nottingham East | Nadia Whittome | 69,395 | 52.5 | 12.4 | 44.8 | 4.2 | 17.1 | 13.4 | 6.8 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 138 | 353 | Nottingham South | Lilian Greenwood | 64,255 | 51.2 | 17.7 | 38.6 | 5.5 | 22.2 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 162 | 329 | Nottingham North and Kimberley | Alex Norris | 73,768 | 47.5 | 20.8 | 38.3 | 3.3 | 26.6 | 10.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 171 | 320 | Chesterfield | Toby Perkins | 71,654 | 58.0 | 22.0 | 37.7 | 5.4 | 25.9 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 184 | 307 | Derby South | Baggy Shanker | 72,952 | 51.3 | 15.4 | 30.0 | 4.2 | 29.5 | 6.5 | 13.9 | 0.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 186 | 305 | Leicester West | Liz Kendall | 74,102 | 47.8 | 21.4 | 35.9 | 5.4 | 23.2 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 190 | 301 | Gedling | Michael Payne | 77,006 | 63.3 | 24.9 | 39.0 | 4.4 | 23.6 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 204 | 287 | Derby North | Catherine Atkinson | 71,900 | 56.9 | 25.1 | 36.8 | 3.9 | 24.8 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 210 | 281 | Northampton North | Lucy Rigby | 75,575 | 55.3 | 23.6 | 34.8 | 4.7 | 24.1 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 211 | 279 | Leicester South | Shockat Adam | 70,867 | 59.0 | 13.1 | 24.1 | 3.0 | 12.9 | 10.6 | 35.2 | 1.1 | MIN | MIN |
| 214 | 276 | Ashfield | Lee Anderson | 68,929 | 57.9 | 9.6 | 20.2 | 1.4 | 49.0 | 4.1 | 15.7 | 0.0 | Reform | Reform |
| 216 | 275 | Lincoln | Hamish Falconer | 72,313 | 58.3 | 24.5 | 35.1 | 5.4 | 25.1 | 8.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 236 | 255 | Broxtowe | Juliet Campbell | 71,923 | 66.5 | 25.0 | 32.1 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 8.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 241 | 250 | High Peak | Jonathan Brian Pearce | 74,385 | 66.2 | 31.1 | 37.0 | 3.0 | 20.6 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 250 | 241 | Bolsover | Natalie Fleet | 77,207 | 55.0 | 27.0 | 31.8 | 3.0 | 27.9 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 259 | 232 | Erewash | Adam Thompson | 71,497 | 60.2 | 27.9 | 31.3 | 4.9 | 28.2 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 260 | 231 | Bassetlaw | Jo White | 78,173 | 57.4 | 29.8 | 32.4 | 3.9 | 28.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 261 | 230 | Rushcliffe | James William Naish | 79,160 | 72.9 | 32.5 | 35.0 | 4.7 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 262 | 229 | Corby and East Northamptonshire | Lee Barron | 78,787 | 62.9 | 31.1 | 33.6 | 3.9 | 24.4 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 268 | 223 | Wellingborough and Rushden | Gen Kitchen | 77,559 | 56.7 | 29.3 | 31.6 | 3.1 | 28.1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 271 | 219 | Amber Valley | Linsey Farnsworth | 71,546 | 59.4 | 26.6 | 28.3 | 3.3 | 35.1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 273 | 218 | Loughborough | Jeevun Sandher | 68,996 | 61.2 | 30.5 | 32.1 | 5.3 | 23.7 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 274 | 216 | Sherwood Forest | Michelle Welsh | 78,894 | 61.7 | 29.1 | 30.0 | 3.3 | 30.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 292 | 199 | Northampton South | Mike Reader | 70,393 | 62.4 | 30.7 | 29.7 | 6.4 | 25.7 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | CON |
| 299 | 192 | Derbyshire South | Samantha Niblett | 73,714 | 62.0 | 31.3 | 30.0 | 4.1 | 27.1 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | CON |
| 305 | 186 | Mansfield | Steve Yemm | 73,817 | 55.7 | 32.1 | 30.3 | 1.7 | 29.8 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | CON |
| 310 | 181 | Kettering | Rosie Wrighting | 79,390 | 63.3 | 29.8 | 27.1 | 2.4 | 23.9 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | CON |
| 333 | 158 | Derbyshire Mid | Jonathan Peter Tom Davies | 69,281 | 68.6 | 34.0 | 27.7 | 4.3 | 24.3 | 8.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | LAB | CON |
| 336 | 155 | Derbyshire North East | Louise Elizabeth Jones | 73,139 | 62.7 | 36.0 | 29.6 | 4.1 | 23.8 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | LAB | CON |
| 347 | 144 | Leicestershire North West | Amanda Hack | 77,757 | 62.5 | 34.3 | 26.0 | 2.9 | 27.4 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | LAB | CON |
| 360 | 131 | Derbyshire Dales | John Michael Whitby | 73,317 | 69.9 | 35.6 | 25.9 | 8.3 | 22.4 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | CON |
| 393 | 98 | Leicestershire Mid | Peter Bedford | 75,933 | 63.3 | 38.4 | 23.6 | 4.5 | 25.1 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 395 | 96 | Harborough, Oadby and Wigston | Neil O'Brien | 77,407 | 65.1 | 38.5 | 23.5 | 8.2 | 19.6 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | CON | CON |
| 401 | 90 | Daventry | Stuart Andrew | 80,879 | 65.6 | 35.2 | 19.2 | 11.5 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 408 | 83 | Newark | Robert Jenrick | 80,028 | 66.8 | 40.8 | 23.8 | 5.0 | 22.8 | 5.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | CON | CON |
| 410 | 81 | Northamptonshire South | Sarah Bool | 78,233 | 68.6 | 37.5 | 20.1 | 8.1 | 24.6 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 1.9 | CON | CON |
| 417 | 74 | Gainsborough | Sir Edward Leigh | 75,836 | 61.6 | 37.2 | 19.3 | 9.5 | 28.3 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | CON | CON |
| 421 | 70 | Sleaford and North Hykeham | Caroline Johnson | 75,807 | 64.1 | 37.6 | 18.0 | 4.1 | 30.0 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 3.6 | CON | CON |
| 425 | 66 | Grantham and Bourne | Gareth Davies | 73,280 | 62.9 | 38.2 | 17.9 | 3.8 | 28.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 3.8 | CON | CON |
| 427 | 64 | Leicester East | Shivani Raja | 76,560 | 61.0 | 33.3 | 12.9 | 12.3 | 15.6 | 6.7 | 11.8 | 7.4 | CON | CON |
| 432 | 59 | Leicestershire South | Alberto Costa | 78,543 | 65.4 | 37.1 | 16.1 | 13.6 | 26.9 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 438 | 53 | Melton and Syston | Edward Argar | 74,316 | 61.9 | 39.7 | 17.6 | 4.8 | 26.8 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | CON |
| 450 | 40 | Boston and Skegness | Richard Tice | 75,811 | 53.4 | 35.0 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 45.4 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | Reform | Reform |
| 453 | 38 | Louth and Horncastle | Victoria Atkins | 76,882 | 60.5 | 39.2 | 13.8 | 4.5 | 33.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | CON | CON |
| 459 | 32 | Hinckley and Bosworth | Luke Evans | 76,431 | 62.5 | 37.2 | 9.2 | 23.1 | 25.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | CON | CON |
| 464 | 27 | South Holland and The Deepings | John Hayes | 78,473 | 58.5 | 40.1 | 11.0 | 3.7 | 32.6 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 6.7 | CON | CON |
| 474 | 17 | Rutland and Stamford | Alicia Kearns | 71,711 | 67.7 | 45.3 | 13.6 | 11.6 | 21.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.