London: Sorted Seats

London Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	20.5%	9	21.2%	5	0	+5	14
LAB	43.0%	59	37.4%	0	7	-7	52
LIB	11.0%	6	11.9%	0	0	+0	6
Reform	8.7%	0	13.6%	0	0	+0	0
Green	10.1%	0	10.5%	0	0	+0	0
Other	6.7%	1	5.4%	2	0	+2	3

This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Hackney South and Shoreditch' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Harrow East', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Kensington and Bayswater (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Putney (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of London seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
7	509	Hackney South and Shoreditch	Meg Hillier	78,262	53.3	5.6	53.7	5.5	8.2	24.3	2.4	0.3	LAB	LAB
8	508	Walthamstow	Stella Creasy	76,338	60.1	6.0	53.6	4.8	10.0	20.5	3.3	1.6	LAB	LAB
10	506	Peckham	Miatta Fahnbulleh	72,123	53.8	6.7	53.2	8.0	10.5	20.1	0.0	1.5	LAB	LAB
12	504	Dulwich and West Norwood	Helen Hayes	74,265	61.1	9.1	54.7	8.4	8.3	19.3	0.0	0.2	LAB	LAB
13	503	Lewisham West and East Dulwich	Ellie Reeves	70,099	66.2	8.1	53.4	8.4	9.1	19.8	0.9	0.2	LAB	LAB
14	502	Lewisham North	Vicky Foxcroft	74,204	59.5	6.7	52.1	8.2	9.1	22.3	1.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
15	501	Tottenham	David Lammy	75,906	52.9	6.8	51.8	6.1	11.3	19.7	1.6	2.7	LAB	LAB
16	500	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	Diane Abbott	77,797	52.6	9.1	53.9	4.7	8.3	23.1	0.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
18	498	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	Catherine West	69,885	69.6	8.8	53.1	13.3	8.3	14.9	1.6	0.1	LAB	LAB
19	497	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	Florence Eshalomi	69,658	53.9	8.1	51.7	12.9	9.7	17.5	0.0	0.2	LAB	LAB
21	495	Lewisham East	Janet Daby	73,376	55.4	11.5	52.6	6.9	13.1	14.1	1.4	0.5	LAB	LAB
22	494	Clapham and Brixton Hill	Bell Ribeiro-Addy	74,435	57.4	10.8	50.9	15.2	8.7	13.9	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
27	489	Islington South and Finsbury	Emily Thornberry	74,122	57.7	9.1	48.1	10.4	13.3	18.0	0.0	1.1	LAB	LAB
30	486	Greenwich and Woolwich	Matthew Pennycook	73,573	58.1	12.0	50.6	9.8	12.3	13.6	1.3	0.4	LAB	LAB
50	466	Holborn and St Pancras	Keir Starmer	71,300	54.1	7.9	43.3	6.7	11.3	10.9	18.9	0.9	LAB	LAB
51	465	Mitcham and Morden	Siobhain McDonagh	77,272	58.6	14.6	49.8	8.8	13.5	10.6	2.4	0.3	LAB	LAB
54	462	Erith and Thamesmead	Abena Oppong-Asare	78,886	51.2	14.4	49.5	5.4	19.0	9.0	2.7	0.2	LAB	LAB
55	461	East Ham	Stephen Timms	79,086	47.9	10.9	46.0	4.1	8.7	11.6	17.7	0.9	LAB	LAB
62	454	Streatham and Croydon North	Steve Reed	82,829	53.8	12.6	46.5	12.1	8.9	17.5	2.0	0.4	LAB	LAB
66	450	Queen's Park and Maida Vale	Georgia Gould	75,558	50.7	13.9	46.9	9.7	10.2	14.0	4.7	0.6	LAB	LAB
81	435	Croydon West	Sarah Jones	77,942	48.9	17.4	48.5	10.5	10.5	10.5	1.9	0.7	LAB	LAB
83	433	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Neil Coyle	69,473	54.1	8.4	39.2	25.0	14.2	12.4	0.0	0.9	LAB	LAB
86	430	Tooting	Rosena Allin-Khan	76,082	69.6	19.0	49.6	9.2	9.3	11.1	1.5	0.4	LAB	LAB
93	423	Stratford and Bow	Uma Kumaran	80,560	53.9	8.3	38.5	5.9	13.4	18.0	7.5	8.4	LAB	LAB
97	419	Leyton and Wanstead	Calvin Bailey	73,366	59.6	12.2	41.9	7.9	14.2	16.3	3.7	3.8	LAB	LAB
107	409	West Ham and Beckton	James Edward Asser	78,790	46.1	11.1	39.6	5.3	12.5	11.1	19.8	0.7	LAB	LAB
118	398	Brent East	Dawn Butler	77,257	48.9	17.7	45.6	8.2	12.6	10.5	2.8	2.6	LAB	LAB
123	393	Southgate and Wood Green	Bambos Charalambous	77,542	58.9	18.3	45.5	9.4	11.7	12.7	1.8	0.6	LAB	LAB
124	392	Ealing Southall	Deirdre Costigan	78,669	59.5	16.3	43.5	7.2	12.0	9.9	9.1	2.0	LAB	LAB
128	388	Hammersmith and Chiswick	Andy Slaughter	75,860	60.7	19.8	46.7	10.2	11.4	10.2	1.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
131	385	Barking	Nesil Caliskan	79,825	45.7	12.5	38.9	3.7	19.7	14.2	9.8	1.2	LAB	LAB
138	378	Poplar and Limehouse	Apsana Begum	84,469	51.0	11.8	37.4	10.7	13.7	14.4	10.6	1.4	LAB	LAB
144	372	Hayes and Harlington	John McDonnell	74,405	51.5	22.4	47.6	4.1	14.8	5.9	5.2	0.0	LAB	LAB
148	368	Hampstead and Highgate	Tulip Siddiq	80,029	60.7	18.1	42.7	13.6	10.9	14.1	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
151	365	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	Kate Osamor	75,792	54.2	20.1	44.4	7.7	14.8	9.5	1.6	1.9	LAB	LAB
151	364	Islington North	Jeremy Corbyn	72,582	67.5	4.5	28.8	4.1	7.5	5.8	49.2	0.0	MIN	MIN
155	360	Bethnal Green and Stepney	Rushanara Ali	81,922	56.9	4.9	28.5	11.2	9.7	14.2	30.5	1.2	LAB	MIN
161	355	Ealing Central and Acton	Rupa Huq	78,436	60.9	18.1	41.2	13.5	11.2	11.8	3.7	0.5	LAB	LAB
163	353	Enfield North	Feryal Clark	78,770	55.2	20.6	43.5	6.7	17.4	9.0	1.5	1.2	LAB	LAB
165	351	Ealing North	James Murray	74,820	57.8	19.5	42.2	6.7	13.9	9.8	7.3	0.6	LAB	LAB
184	332	Battersea	Marsha de Cordova	72,767	64.7	23.9	43.2	11.1	10.8	9.4	1.1	0.6	LAB	LAB
187	329	Putney	Fleur Anderson	72,614	67.9	24.2	43.3	12.8	10.5	7.9	1.0	0.2	LAB	LAB
192	324	Ilford South	Jas Athwal	80,993	50.8	15.7	34.6	4.3	11.6	8.9	23.4	1.6	LAB	LAB
194	322	Beckenham and Penge	Liam Conlon	76,876	67.9	25.1	43.7	9.2	14.3	7.7	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
195	321	Dagenham and Rainham	Margaret Mullane	76,478	50.8	18.5	37.0	3.5	29.1	11.2	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
221	295	Brentford and Isleworth	Ruth Cadbury	79,283	57.1	23.1	38.6	9.3	13.2	9.3	6.1	0.4	LAB	LAB
234	282	Feltham and Heston	Seema Malhotra	76,983	50.5	22.1	35.9	6.0	20.5	7.2	5.7	2.7	LAB	LAB
242	274	Eltham and Chislehurst	Clive Efford	74,224	61.4	26.2	38.4	6.1	20.9	7.2	0.8	0.5	LAB	LAB
262	254	Croydon East	Natasha Dawn Irons	76,660	57.1	27.3	36.7	8.8	17.4	9.7	0.0	0.0	LAB	LAB
277	239	Harrow West	Gareth Thomas	79,902	56.6	30.3	38.2	6.8	14.4	6.1	0.0	4.2	LAB	LAB
280	235	Ilford North	Wes Streeting	77,835	60.2	21.1	27.8	3.0	11.7	4.2	32.2	0.0	LAB	MIN
320	196	Brent West	Barry Gardiner	79,937	51.8	33.1	36.1	8.0	9.0	7.1	6.7	0.0	LAB	LAB
321	195	Finchley and Golders Green	Sarah Sackman	77,500	63.6	35.7	38.7	7.7	10.3	6.7	0.0	0.8	LAB	LAB
339	177	Kensington and Bayswater	Joe Powell	77,306	54.2	34.4	35.0	7.8	10.9	6.9	4.4	0.7	LAB	LAB
340	176	Cities of London and Westminster	Rachel Blake	73,369	53.4	32.8	33.4	11.9	11.8	7.7	1.9	0.6	LAB	LAB
349	167	Chipping Barnet	Dan Tomlinson	78,038	65.2	37.3	36.8	5.9	12.4	7.2	0.0	0.4	LAB	CON
353	163	Bexleyheath and Crayford	Daniel Francis	69,470	62.6	31.8	30.6	5.8	26.7	5.1	0.0	0.0	LAB	CON
384	132	Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Danny Boy Beales	74,746	61.4	35.5	30.5	4.6	19.0	9.9	0.0	0.5	LAB	CON
389	127	Chelsea and Fulham	Ben Coleman	78,468	60.0	39.6	33.8	8.4	10.7	6.3	1.1	0.1	LAB	CON
393	123	Hendon	David Pinto-Duschinsky	74,865	55.1	39.0	32.8	5.5	11.8	6.9	3.7	0.3	LAB	CON
397	119	Bromley and Biggin Hill	Peter Fortune	70,713	66.2	34.6	27.8	10.0	21.6	5.9	0.0	0.1	CON	CON
399	116	Wimbledon	Paul Christopher Kohler	76,352	72.0	22.7	15.7	45.8	10.1	4.8	0.6	0.2	LIB	LIB
412	104	Romford	Andrew Rosindell	72,978	60.4	35.4	25.9	5.0	26.1	5.4	2.0	0.2	CON	CON
413	102	Twickenham	Munira Wilson	74,980	71.5	16.8	6.9	57.0	11.6	7.0	0.6	0.0	LIB	LIB
418	97	Kingston and Surbiton	Ed Davey	77,340	65.5	17.8	7.3	52.0	14.7	6.4	0.8	1.0	LIB	LIB
421	95	Croydon South	Chris Philp	74,968	65.9	40.6	29.7	9.6	12.6	6.2	1.2	0.1	CON	CON
424	92	Hornchurch and Upminster	Julia Lopez	75,438	62.2	33.1	22.0	5.8	32.8	6.0	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
443	73	Old Bexley and Sidcup	Louie French	72,290	65.9	38.2	24.5	4.8	26.2	5.9	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
452	64	Chingford and Woodford Green	Iain Duncan Smith	75,178	64.5	36.2	20.2	3.3	11.5	3.1	25.7	0.0	CON	CON
463	53	Orpington	Gareth Bacon	71,203	64.7	38.6	21.3	11.0	23.6	5.4	0.0	0.2	CON	CON
464	51	Sutton and Cheam	Luke Taylor	72,302	65.8	29.5	12.1	37.7	16.5	4.0	0.0	0.2	LIB	LIB
465	50	Richmond Park	Sarah Olney	68,103	76.7	22.4	4.2	55.4	10.6	6.9	0.0	0.4	LIB	LIB
471	44	Carshalton and Wallington	Bobby Dean	74,362	62.8	26.8	7.5	43.9	17.1	3.6	0.9	0.2	LIB	LIB
483	33	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	David Simmonds	71,683	65.7	45.9	23.7	9.9	13.9	6.6	0.0	0.0	CON	CON
509	7	Harrow East	Bob Blackman	76,386	62.5	54.1	23.2	4.2	10.6	4.7	1.5	1.6	CON	CON

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.