| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 20.2% | 1 | 21.8% | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| LAB | 45.4% | 26 | 36.6% | 0 | 7 | -7 | 19 |
| LIB | 5.9% | 0 | 5.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Reform | 19.9% | 0 | 27.1% | 2 | 0 | +2 | 2 |
| Green | 6.0% | 0 | 7.5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 2.6% | 0 | 1.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Jarrow and Gateshead East' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Stockton West', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Darlington (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Sunderland Central (prediction: Reform).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 447 | Jarrow and Gateshead East | Kate Osborne | 70,272 | 52.3 | 10.7 | 42.6 | 4.2 | 33.9 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 48 | 443 | Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend | Mary Glindon | 76,421 | 55.4 | 9.9 | 41.3 | 6.2 | 26.9 | 13.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 76 | 415 | Easington | Grahame Morris | 69,411 | 49.5 | 12.6 | 40.1 | 2.1 | 37.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 87 | 404 | Newcastle upon Tyne North | Catherine McKinnell | 75,146 | 64.7 | 15.4 | 41.5 | 11.0 | 19.5 | 11.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 93 | 398 | Blaydon and Consett | Liz Twist | 70,487 | 59.9 | 15.8 | 41.4 | 4.7 | 30.4 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 99 | 392 | Washington and Gateshead South | Sharon Hodgson | 70,972 | 52.2 | 14.1 | 39.0 | 3.8 | 36.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 101 | 390 | Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West | Chi Onwurah | 76,969 | 53.7 | 12.3 | 36.9 | 4.1 | 28.4 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 8.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 104 | 387 | Blyth and Ashington | Ian Lavery | 76,263 | 53.0 | 16.6 | 40.8 | 3.1 | 33.3 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 110 | 381 | Durham, City of | Mary Foy | 70,582 | 57.6 | 14.4 | 38.3 | 13.4 | 25.2 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 115 | 376 | Gateshead Central and Whickham | Mark Ferguson | 69,823 | 57.6 | 13.1 | 36.6 | 11.2 | 28.7 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 117 | 374 | Houghton and Sunderland South | Bridget Phillipson | 78,448 | 51.0 | 15.2 | 38.3 | 5.0 | 35.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 130 | 361 | Tynemouth | Alan Campbell | 73,469 | 65.9 | 20.3 | 41.8 | 4.9 | 22.6 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 145 | 346 | Cramlington and Killingworth | Emma Foody | 76,228 | 59.6 | 20.5 | 40.3 | 3.7 | 28.0 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 147 | 344 | South Shields | Emma Lewell-Buck | 68,366 | 53.9 | 13.0 | 32.3 | 3.4 | 31.3 | 16.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 152 | 339 | Middlesbrough and Thornaby East | Andy McDonald | 75,123 | 45.8 | 19.4 | 38.4 | 2.7 | 27.2 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 161 | 329 | Sunderland Central | Lewis Atkinson | 76,145 | 52.5 | 15.9 | 33.4 | 7.9 | 33.8 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 173 | 318 | Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor | Alan Strickland | 72,224 | 55.2 | 22.0 | 37.4 | 3.3 | 30.6 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 189 | 302 | Stockton North | Chris McDonald | 70,242 | 53.2 | 22.9 | 37.0 | 2.7 | 30.9 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 191 | 300 | Hartlepool | Jonathan Brash | 71,437 | 49.7 | 23.4 | 37.5 | 1.4 | 31.6 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 191 | 299 | Durham North | Luke Akehurst | 73,235 | 56.8 | 17.2 | 31.1 | 8.9 | 32.9 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 240 | 251 | Bishop Auckland | Sam Rushworth | 70,745 | 57.1 | 27.1 | 33.4 | 3.0 | 30.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 288 | 203 | Northumberland North | David Smith | 74,132 | 65.9 | 28.2 | 27.8 | 9.4 | 24.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 4.2 | LAB | CON |
| 302 | 189 | Redcar | Anna Turley | 70,241 | 54.4 | 33.8 | 32.3 | 3.6 | 25.5 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LAB | CON |
| 313 | 178 | Hexham | Joe Morris | 76,431 | 67.8 | 40.9 | 37.5 | 4.0 | 8.1 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | LAB | CON |
| 326 | 165 | Darlington | Lola McEvoy | 70,763 | 59.9 | 35.2 | 30.5 | 3.6 | 22.6 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 361 | 130 | Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland | Luke Myer | 70,328 | 54.1 | 44.5 | 34.5 | 4.7 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 2.7 | LAB | CON |
| 391 | 100 | Stockton West | Matt Vickers | 71,868 | 67.7 | 43.4 | 28.7 | 2.2 | 20.7 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.