| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 12.7% | 5 | 14.0% | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| LAB | 35.3% | 37 | 21.5% | 0 | 31 | -31 | 6 |
| LIB | 9.7% | 6 | 9.0% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| Reform | 7.0% | 0 | 15.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 3.8% | 0 | 5.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| SNP | 30.0% | 9 | 33.6% | 34 | 0 | +34 | 43 |
| Other | 1.5% | 0 | 1.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Scotland sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Coatbridge and Bellshill' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Perth and Kinross-shire (prediction: SNP), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Coatbridge and Bellshill (prediction: SNP).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | SNP % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 316 | Coatbridge and Bellshill | Frank McNally | 72,667 | 53.3 | 6.2 | 33.5 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 4.6 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | SNP |
| 51 | 315 | Airdrie and Shotts | Kenneth Stevenson | 70,199 | 52.2 | 7.6 | 34.9 | 2.3 | 16.9 | 1.6 | 34.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 53 | 312 | Dunbartonshire West | Douglas McAllister | 69,074 | 57.3 | 6.1 | 32.6 | 2.2 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 37.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 57 | 309 | Edinburgh South | Ian Murray | 70,839 | 66.1 | 10.9 | 36.5 | 5.3 | 13.6 | 10.7 | 20.8 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 58 | 308 | Rutherglen | Michael Shanks | 72,674 | 58.5 | 8.8 | 34.1 | 3.9 | 15.4 | 1.6 | 33.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 58 | 307 | Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | Pamela Nash | 71,777 | 54.4 | 8.0 | 32.9 | 2.2 | 16.1 | 4.6 | 34.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 62 | 304 | Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles) | Torcuil Crichton | 21,235 | 63.7 | 8.6 | 33.2 | 3.1 | 14.2 | 1.5 | 25.2 | 0.0 | 14.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 63 | 302 | Glasgow West | Patricia Ferguson | 69,028 | 57.8 | 6.5 | 30.8 | 3.1 | 13.5 | 10.6 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | SNP |
| 65 | 300 | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Johanna Baxter | 71,574 | 57.7 | 7.4 | 31.5 | 3.1 | 15.6 | 5.7 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 67 | 298 | Midlothian | Kirsty McNeill | 73,916 | 59.8 | 8.9 | 32.5 | 5.1 | 16.3 | 1.6 | 34.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 67 | 298 | Glasgow North East | Maureen Burke | 72,610 | 47.0 | 6.6 | 30.1 | 2.1 | 14.9 | 8.6 | 35.9 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | SNP |
| 68 | 297 | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Alison Suzanne Watt Taylor | 71,103 | 58.4 | 7.8 | 31.2 | 3.1 | 16.1 | 5.0 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LAB | SNP |
| 70 | 295 | East Kilbride and Strathaven | Joani Reid | 76,415 | 61.1 | 9.3 | 32.4 | 2.4 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | SNP |
| 70 | 295 | Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | Katrina Murray | 70,350 | 58.2 | 6.4 | 29.5 | 3.0 | 15.7 | 5.6 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | SNP |
| 79 | 287 | Hamilton and Clyde Valley | Imogen Walker | 75,480 | 55.8 | 11.7 | 33.6 | 3.4 | 16.8 | 1.7 | 31.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 79 | 286 | Glasgow South West | Zubir Ahmed | 68,871 | 51.8 | 6.4 | 28.2 | 2.7 | 14.3 | 9.0 | 37.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | SNP |
| 79 | 286 | Bathgate and Linlithgow | Kirsteen Sullivan | 72,185 | 58.3 | 9.3 | 31.1 | 4.7 | 17.2 | 4.9 | 31.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | SNP |
| 80 | 285 | Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Richard Baker | 70,655 | 51.1 | 7.0 | 28.7 | 4.0 | 17.9 | 1.5 | 39.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | SNP |
| 80 | 285 | Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | Martin McCluskey | 70,124 | 57.5 | 9.5 | 31.0 | 3.2 | 14.9 | 4.4 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | SNP |
| 83 | 282 | Glasgow East | John Grady | 68,988 | 51.4 | 7.0 | 28.4 | 2.5 | 14.8 | 9.1 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 91 | 274 | Dunfermline and Dollar | Graeme Downie | 72,824 | 61.2 | 9.3 | 29.9 | 6.2 | 15.5 | 6.2 | 31.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | SNP |
| 91 | 274 | Glasgow North | Martin Rhodes | 67,579 | 51.4 | 6.4 | 27.0 | 3.2 | 12.8 | 13.5 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | SNP |
| 93 | 272 | Glasgow South | Gordon McKee | 70,219 | 60.4 | 6.6 | 26.6 | 3.1 | 12.1 | 14.4 | 35.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | SNP |
| 94 | 272 | Lothian East | Douglas Alexander | 75,456 | 63.7 | 12.8 | 32.8 | 4.9 | 15.6 | 6.8 | 25.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 96 | 269 | Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | Melanie Ward | 71,845 | 56.8 | 10.2 | 30.0 | 3.8 | 16.6 | 5.3 | 31.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 96 | 269 | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Lillian Jones | 74,628 | 56.9 | 9.6 | 29.3 | 2.1 | 16.6 | 4.4 | 36.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 101 | 264 | Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | Chris Murray | 76,188 | 59.8 | 7.5 | 26.1 | 3.9 | 12.8 | 11.6 | 36.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | SNP |
| 101 | 264 | Alloa and Grangemouth | Brian Leishman | 70,680 | 58.3 | 9.9 | 28.3 | 2.9 | 17.9 | 4.9 | 32.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | LAB | SNP |
| 102 | 263 | Edinburgh North and Leith | Tracy Gilbert | 78,411 | 63.1 | 8.7 | 26.8 | 6.8 | 12.4 | 12.4 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | SNP |
| 112 | 253 | Falkirk | Euan Stainbank | 73,584 | 57.9 | 10.5 | 27.7 | 2.7 | 16.6 | 5.5 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | SNP |
| 119 | 246 | Livingston | Gregor Poynton | 78,043 | 57.5 | 9.3 | 25.8 | 4.1 | 17.2 | 5.3 | 36.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 123 | 242 | Dundee Central | Chris Law | 74,221 | 52.3 | 7.7 | 23.6 | 5.6 | 14.6 | 1.5 | 43.8 | 0.9 | 2.3 | SNP | SNP |
| 153 | 212 | Edinburgh South West | Scott Arthur | 73,784 | 61.9 | 13.3 | 25.8 | 5.8 | 13.4 | 9.1 | 31.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | SNP |
| 157 | 208 | Ayrshire Central | Alan Gemmell | 69,413 | 59.7 | 15.9 | 28.2 | 2.5 | 16.8 | 4.0 | 30.9 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | SNP |
| 167 | 198 | Ayrshire North and Arran | Irene Campbell | 72,176 | 58.6 | 15.1 | 24.9 | 2.4 | 16.4 | 4.6 | 35.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 171 | 194 | Renfrewshire East | Blair McDougall | 73,380 | 68.4 | 18.5 | 28.2 | 2.5 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | SNP |
| 201 | 164 | Arbroath and Broughty Ferry | Stephen Patrick Gethins | 76,149 | 57.9 | 16.8 | 19.4 | 4.6 | 16.9 | 1.5 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 202 | 163 | Dunbartonshire Mid | Susan Murray | 73,596 | 71.7 | 6.4 | 8.7 | 40.7 | 11.2 | 4.5 | 27.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 205 | 160 | Aberdeen North | Kirsty Blackman | 75,925 | 55.4 | 15.7 | 16.8 | 5.5 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 38.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 | SNP | SNP |
| 208 | 157 | Stirling and Strathallan | Chris Kane | 76,284 | 65.3 | 19.5 | 19.8 | 4.5 | 14.3 | 6.1 | 34.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | SNP |
| 217 | 148 | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Elaine Stewart | 70,340 | 58.2 | 23.5 | 22.0 | 2.6 | 16.8 | 3.6 | 29.9 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | SNP |
| 223 | 142 | Edinburgh West | Christine Anne Jardine | 76,490 | 68.6 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 49.0 | 11.0 | 5.2 | 22.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 224 | 141 | Orkney and Shetland | Alistair Carmichael | 34,236 | 60.4 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 53.1 | 12.3 | 10.7 | 19.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LIB | LIB |
| 226 | 139 | Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire | Angus MacDonald | 77,927 | 61.7 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 36.0 | 12.6 | 5.4 | 36.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LIB | SNP |
| 228 | 137 | Fife North East | Wendy Chamberlain | 69,762 | 61.2 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 52.8 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 25.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LIB | LIB |
| 231 | 134 | Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Jamie Stone | 74,627 | 61.7 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 47.6 | 12.4 | 4.5 | 28.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LIB | LIB |
| 296 | 69 | Aberdeen South | Stephen Flynn | 77,328 | 59.9 | 25.3 | 12.0 | 5.5 | 14.7 | 4.8 | 36.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | SNP | SNP |
| 302 | 63 | Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber | Brendan O'Hara | 71,756 | 62.5 | 21.9 | 7.4 | 14.8 | 14.6 | 1.4 | 38.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | SNP | SNP |
| 317 | 48 | Dumfries and Galloway | John Cooper | 78,541 | 58.3 | 30.1 | 12.8 | 4.1 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | SNP |
| 355 | 10 | Perth and Kinross-shire | Pete Wishart | 77,261 | 64.8 | 30.2 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 13.3 | 1.3 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | SNP | SNP |
| 359 | 7 | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | David Mundell | 71,900 | 61.5 | 34.4 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 16.1 | 4.7 | 27.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | CON |
| 360 | 5 | Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey | Graham Leadbitter | 77,072 | 60.4 | 30.5 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 14.8 | 4.9 | 35.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | SNP | SNP |
| 361 | 4 | Angus and Perthshire Glens | Dave Doogan | 76,668 | 61.8 | 30.6 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 13.8 | 1.3 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | SNP | SNP |
| 362 | 3 | Gordon and Buchan | Harriet Cross | 69,605 | 63.0 | 32.5 | 0.9 | 14.8 | 15.6 | 1.3 | 33.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | CON | SNP |
| 363 | 2 | Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | Seamus Logan | 70,058 | 54.5 | 32.3 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 1.2 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | SNP | SNP |
| 364 | 2 | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Andrew Campbell Bowie | 72,994 | 67.1 | 35.6 | 2.7 | 11.2 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 31.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | CON | CON |
| 365 | 1 | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | John Lamont | 76,438 | 60.9 | 40.8 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 14.2 | 4.5 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.