West Midlands: Sorted Seats

West Midlands Prediction

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	27.6%	15	26.6%	5	2	+3	18
LAB	34.0%	38	24.2%	1	23	-22	16
LIB	8.8%	2	10.8%	0	0	+0	2
Reform	18.1%	0	27.0%	20	0	+20	20
Green	6.6%	1	8.6%	0	0	+0	1
Other	4.9%	1	2.8%	0	1	-1	0

This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Birmingham Ladywood' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Stratford-on-Avon', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.

The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Stratford-on-Avon (prediction: LIB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Birmingham Ladywood (prediction: LAB).

The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.

More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.

List of West Midlands seats with predictions

LAB Seats	CON Seats	Seat	MP at 2024	Electorate	Turn Out%	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	Reform %	Green %	MIN %	OTH %	2024 Win	Pred Win
80	276	Birmingham Ladywood	Shabana Mahmood	83,693	43.7	11.9	31.1	7.8	13.2	14.1	21.9	0.0	LAB	LAB
96	260	Birmingham Selly Oak	Alistair Carns	75,678	50.8	18.2	35.9	11.2	20.2	12.3	0.0	2.1	LAB	LAB
101	255	Smethwick	Gurinder Singh Josan	72,863	48.2	17.8	34.6	7.6	24.2	9.0	5.5	1.2	LAB	LAB
108	248	Coventry East	Mary Creagh	75,801	48.8	19.4	35.0	7.4	25.6	8.8	3.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
114	242	Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	Tahir Ali	76,936	54.1	16.3	30.1	14.3	11.9	12.5	11.2	3.8	LAB	LAB
119	237	Warwick and Leamington	Matt Western	76,294	64.5	22.8	36.0	11.2	17.5	11.9	0.0	0.5	LAB	LAB
120	236	Birmingham Erdington	Paulette Hamilton	77,463	43.6	19.2	32.0	8.4	30.0	8.3	0.0	2.1	LAB	LAB
122	234	Birmingham Edgbaston	Preet Kaur Gill	71,787	52.1	22.8	35.5	10.8	19.0	9.6	0.0	2.3	LAB	LAB
126	230	Shrewsbury	Julia Buckley	76,633	67.3	21.2	32.9	14.2	23.6	7.5	0.0	0.6	LAB	LAB
128	228	Coventry North West	Taiwo Owatemi	75,057	56.0	21.4	32.7	8.3	26.8	10.1	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
133	223	Birmingham Perry Barr	Ayoub Khan	76,350	49.1	17.1	27.4	6.8	15.5	9.5	23.0	0.5	MIN	LAB
133	222	Wolverhampton South East	Pat McFadden	77,473	43.1	19.5	29.3	6.0	34.6	7.3	3.3	0.0	LAB	Reform
140	215	Stoke-on-Trent Central	Gareth Snell	73,693	47.9	19.7	29.0	8.0	34.0	7.3	0.0	2.0	LAB	Reform
143	213	Coventry South	Zarah Sultana	76,262	56.0	24.3	33.4	9.4	21.7	8.7	1.9	0.6	LAB	LAB
153	203	West Bromwich	Sarah Coombes	74,026	49.3	22.4	30.7	7.7	30.2	7.6	0.0	1.4	LAB	LAB
162	194	Birmingham Yardley	Jess Phillips	73,203	49.4	17.0	24.3	9.9	21.3	7.3	20.1	0.0	LAB	LAB
171	185	Worcester	Tom Collins	74,931	61.4	23.8	29.9	10.8	23.0	11.9	0.0	0.7	LAB	LAB
174	181	Telford	Shaun Davies	73,808	55.2	23.2	28.9	7.2	32.4	8.0	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
177	179	Wolverhampton West	Warinder Juss	77,851	56.1	26.6	31.6	7.8	23.3	8.2	1.1	1.3	LAB	LAB
183	172	Birmingham Northfield	Laurence Turner	74,048	50.8	23.4	27.4	8.1	31.2	9.0	0.0	0.9	LAB	Reform
184	171	Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Liam Byrne	77,737	43.9	19.1	22.6	5.9	27.1	7.6	17.7	0.0	LAB	Reform
196	159	Walsall and Bloxwich	Valerie Vaz	75,968	49.0	21.3	22.1	5.6	30.4	7.8	12.8	0.0	LAB	Reform
200	156	Stafford	Leigh Ingham	70,608	65.2	28.6	28.6	7.5	26.7	8.3	0.0	0.4	LAB	CON
200	155	Newcastle-under-Lyme	Adam Jogee	67,839	58.4	27.2	27.1	8.0	30.4	7.0	0.0	0.3	LAB	Reform
205	150	Stoke-on-Trent North	David Williams	69,790	51.8	26.8	25.9	6.5	34.0	6.0	0.0	0.8	LAB	Reform
206	149	Tipton and Wednesbury	Antonia Bance	74,100	43.0	24.7	23.7	6.4	37.6	6.2	0.0	1.3	LAB	Reform
209	147	Rugby	John Anthony Slinger	74,901	65.4	29.5	28.2	9.0	25.1	7.8	0.0	0.4	LAB	CON
210	145	Wolverhampton North East	Sureena Brackenridge	70,715	47.1	27.1	25.6	6.4	34.0	6.6	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
221	134	Halesowen	Alex Ballinger	68,549	56.3	27.6	24.3	8.7	30.5	8.5	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
228	127	Cannock Chase	Josh Newbury	76,974	55.8	27.4	22.8	6.5	35.5	7.5	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
232	123	Nuneaton	Jodie Gosling	71,662	57.5	28.0	22.9	6.8	30.2	9.4	2.7	0.0	LAB	Reform
233	122	Warwickshire North and Bedworth	Rachel Margaret Taylor	69,752	58.7	27.9	22.7	6.9	35.5	6.7	0.0	0.4	LAB	Reform
236	120	Stourbridge	Cat Eccles	68,311	58.4	29.7	23.7	7.5	28.6	7.6	2.9	0.0	LAB	CON
240	116	Lichfield	Dave Robertson	76,118	64.5	30.4	23.8	10.3	28.4	6.6	0.0	0.5	LAB	CON
240	115	Burton and Uttoxeter	Jacob Collier	77,994	58.5	29.0	22.2	7.1	30.2	7.7	3.9	0.0	LAB	Reform
243	112	Tamworth	Sarah Edwards	75,059	58.3	29.6	22.4	7.1	33.2	6.6	0.7	0.4	LAB	Reform
246	109	Dudley	Sonia Kumar	70,151	51.0	28.2	20.8	6.9	35.7	6.2	1.5	0.7	LAB	Reform
247	108	Stoke-on-Trent South	Allison Gardner	68,263	60.0	30.7	23.3	8.0	31.0	6.0	0.0	1.0	LAB	Reform
256	100	Wrekin, The	Mark Pritchard	78,942	63.4	29.5	21.2	11.5	28.9	8.5	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
257	99	Redditch	Christopher James Bloore	71,038	59.7	30.4	22.0	8.0	29.5	7.7	2.3	0.0	LAB	CON
258	98	Hereford and South Herefordshire	Jesse Norman	72,203	63.1	29.0	20.5	12.6	28.4	9.1	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
258	97	Wyre Forest	Mark Garnier	77,394	58.3	29.7	21.2	9.6	30.8	7.6	0.0	1.2	CON	Reform
266	89	Staffordshire Moorlands	Karen Bradley	69,892	62.0	31.4	21.5	7.2	32.3	7.2	0.0	0.4	CON	Reform
273	83	Bromsgrove	Bradley Anthony Thomas	76,468	65.9	31.0	20.2	15.0	26.3	6.4	0.3	0.9	CON	CON
279	77	Kenilworth and Southam	Jeremy Wright	74,923	71.2	32.0	20.5	17.8	21.8	7.5	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
286	69	Shropshire North	Helen Morgan	77,594	63.9	21.8	9.4	37.0	26.2	5.3	0.0	0.3	LIB	LIB
297	59	Sutton Coldfield	Andrew Mitchell	74,080	65.2	35.9	22.5	8.5	22.9	8.0	2.1	0.0	CON	CON
299	57	Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge	Gavin Williamson	71,561	59.8	38.3	24.1	10.8	17.8	7.4	0.0	1.6	CON	CON
307	49	Meriden and Solihull East	Saqib Bhatti	73,659	59.8	34.3	19.0	10.1	27.7	8.6	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
308	48	Solihull West and Shirley	Neil Shastri-Hurst	71,813	65.3	33.7	18.2	15.5	21.3	9.3	1.9	0.0	CON	CON
313	43	Aldridge-Brownhills	Wendy Morton	70,871	57.7	35.1	18.7	7.2	32.2	6.4	0.0	0.5	CON	CON
316	40	Kingswinford and South Staffordshire	Mike Wood	71,662	63.0	35.7	18.7	8.0	30.3	6.5	0.0	0.8	CON	CON
317	39	Shropshire South	Stuart Anderson	76,723	67.3	29.4	12.3	24.2	28.0	5.8	0.0	0.3	CON	CON
319	37	Worcestershire West	Harriett Baldwin	79,242	69.0	31.0	13.4	20.9	24.3	10.0	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
321	35	Droitwich and Evesham	Nigel Huddleston	76,624	64.7	34.0	16.4	11.6	28.8	8.9	0.0	0.4	CON	CON
323	32	Herefordshire North	Ellie Chowns	72,797	69.2	26.0	7.8	6.5	25.5	33.8	0.0	0.3	Green	Green
324	31	Stratford-on-Avon	Manuela Perteghella	75,714	69.9	28.0	9.5	33.6	23.4	5.1	0.0	0.4	LIB	LIB

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.