| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 27.6% | 15 | 18.4% | 0 | 10 | -10 | 5 |
| LAB | 34.0% | 38 | 19.1% | 0 | 31 | -31 | 7 |
| LIB | 8.8% | 2 | 11.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| Reform | 18.1% | 0 | 36.1% | 41 | 0 | +41 | 41 |
| Green | 6.6% | 1 | 9.8% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Other | 4.9% | 1 | 4.8% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in West Midlands sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Shrewsbury' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Droitwich and Evesham', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Droitwich and Evesham (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Shrewsbury (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 166 | Shrewsbury | Julia Buckley | 76,633 | 67.3 | 5.2 | 46.8 | 3.8 | 40.1 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 46 | 159 | Birmingham Selly Oak | Alistair Carns | 75,678 | 50.8 | 4.0 | 44.7 | 2.6 | 37.6 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 6.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 51 | 154 | Warwick and Leamington | Matt Western | 76,294 | 64.5 | 8.0 | 48.2 | 5.1 | 31.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 52 | 153 | Coventry South | Zarah Sultana | 76,262 | 56.0 | 5.4 | 45.6 | 2.8 | 39.2 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 61 | 144 | Coventry North West | Taiwo Owatemi | 75,057 | 56.0 | 4.5 | 44.1 | 2.3 | 43.7 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 70 | 135 | Worcester | Tom Collins | 74,931 | 61.4 | 5.8 | 44.4 | 2.9 | 41.4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 73 | 132 | Birmingham Edgbaston | Preet Kaur Gill | 71,787 | 52.1 | 5.6 | 42.4 | 2.7 | 38.4 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 7.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 77 | 127 | Coventry East | Mary Creagh | 75,801 | 48.8 | 4.1 | 40.2 | 2.0 | 45.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 79 | 125 | Smethwick | Gurinder Singh Josan | 72,863 | 48.2 | 3.1 | 38.8 | 2.0 | 42.8 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 4.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 80 | 124 | Wolverhampton West | Warinder Juss | 77,851 | 56.1 | 5.5 | 40.2 | 2.2 | 43.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 4.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 81 | 123 | West Bromwich | Sarah Coombes | 74,026 | 49.3 | 3.7 | 38.0 | 2.2 | 48.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 81 | 123 | Wolverhampton South East | Pat McFadden | 77,473 | 43.1 | 2.9 | 37.0 | 1.8 | 52.1 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 87 | 117 | Birmingham Northfield | Laurence Turner | 74,048 | 50.8 | 5.1 | 37.9 | 2.2 | 49.1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 92 | 112 | Birmingham Erdington | Paulette Hamilton | 77,463 | 43.6 | 3.8 | 35.3 | 2.0 | 49.4 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 6.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 97 | 107 | Stoke-on-Trent Central | Gareth Snell | 73,693 | 47.9 | 3.3 | 33.6 | 1.8 | 52.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 6.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 110 | 94 | Telford | Shaun Davies | 73,808 | 55.2 | 7.8 | 34.1 | 3.5 | 47.9 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 137 | 67 | Birmingham Ladywood | Shabana Mahmood | 83,693 | 43.7 | 3.9 | 19.3 | 11.4 | 23.4 | 17.6 | 24.5 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 140 | 64 | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | Tahir Ali | 76,936 | 54.1 | 5.7 | 16.9 | 15.8 | 24.0 | 14.2 | 23.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 140 | 64 | Tipton and Wednesbury | Antonia Bance | 74,100 | 43.0 | 10.1 | 20.9 | 5.0 | 53.2 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 4.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 140 | 64 | Birmingham Yardley | Jess Phillips | 73,203 | 49.4 | 7.1 | 17.2 | 12.1 | 32.9 | 9.0 | 21.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 141 | 63 | Birmingham Perry Barr | Ayoub Khan | 76,350 | 49.1 | 5.6 | 15.4 | 9.7 | 30.2 | 12.1 | 25.2 | 1.7 | MIN | Reform |
| 142 | 62 | Walsall and Bloxwich | Valerie Vaz | 75,968 | 49.0 | 9.2 | 17.7 | 7.0 | 42.0 | 9.7 | 14.5 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 144 | 60 | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | Liam Byrne | 77,737 | 43.9 | 8.8 | 15.7 | 7.2 | 39.2 | 9.4 | 19.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 148 | 56 | Wolverhampton North East | Sureena Brackenridge | 70,715 | 47.1 | 17.0 | 20.2 | 7.5 | 43.8 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 150 | 54 | Stoke-on-Trent North | David Williams | 69,790 | 51.8 | 16.8 | 19.5 | 6.7 | 44.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 150 | 54 | Halesowen | Alex Ballinger | 68,549 | 56.3 | 17.5 | 20.1 | 10.1 | 41.1 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 150 | 54 | Newcastle-under-Lyme | Adam Jogee | 67,839 | 58.4 | 19.7 | 22.1 | 8.7 | 38.4 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Stafford | Leigh Ingham | 70,608 | 65.2 | 22.6 | 23.7 | 8.3 | 32.9 | 10.4 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Rugby | John Anthony Slinger | 74,901 | 65.4 | 22.9 | 23.7 | 10.3 | 31.5 | 9.8 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Cannock Chase | Josh Newbury | 76,974 | 55.8 | 18.3 | 18.9 | 7.1 | 45.8 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Nuneaton | Jodie Gosling | 71,662 | 57.5 | 18.5 | 19.1 | 8.1 | 40.4 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Stourbridge | Cat Eccles | 68,311 | 58.4 | 20.0 | 20.3 | 9.0 | 38.6 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | Rachel Margaret Taylor | 69,752 | 58.7 | 19.8 | 18.9 | 7.7 | 44.2 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Dudley | Sonia Kumar | 70,151 | 51.0 | 17.0 | 15.6 | 7.6 | 47.3 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Burton and Uttoxeter | Jacob Collier | 77,994 | 58.5 | 20.1 | 18.7 | 8.4 | 39.2 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Tamworth | Sarah Edwards | 75,059 | 58.3 | 20.9 | 18.9 | 8.0 | 42.3 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 51 | Stoke-on-Trent South | Allison Gardner | 68,263 | 60.0 | 20.9 | 17.8 | 8.5 | 41.4 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 4.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 154 | 50 | Lichfield | Dave Robertson | 76,118 | 64.5 | 23.5 | 20.4 | 11.2 | 35.5 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 154 | 50 | Redditch | Christopher James Bloore | 71,038 | 59.7 | 22.2 | 18.9 | 9.4 | 38.0 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 154 | 50 | Shropshire North | Helen Morgan | 77,594 | 63.9 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 49.9 | 40.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LIB | LIB |
| 155 | 49 | Wyre Forest | Mark Garnier | 77,394 | 58.3 | 21.0 | 16.5 | 9.7 | 39.7 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 4.9 | CON | Reform |
| 157 | 47 | Hereford and South Herefordshire | Jesse Norman | 72,203 | 63.1 | 23.1 | 16.4 | 12.8 | 36.5 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 | CON | Reform |
| 157 | 47 | Wrekin, The | Mark Pritchard | 78,942 | 63.4 | 23.4 | 16.3 | 12.0 | 36.9 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | CON | Reform |
| 159 | 45 | Staffordshire Moorlands | Karen Bradley | 69,892 | 62.0 | 24.6 | 16.6 | 7.5 | 42.1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | CON | Reform |
| 166 | 39 | Kenilworth and Southam | Jeremy Wright | 74,923 | 71.2 | 29.4 | 15.9 | 19.1 | 24.6 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 2.1 | CON | CON |
| 169 | 36 | Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge | Gavin Williamson | 71,561 | 59.8 | 32.4 | 17.9 | 10.1 | 24.7 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 7.0 | CON | CON |
| 171 | 33 | Shropshire South | Stuart Anderson | 76,723 | 67.3 | 23.9 | 8.4 | 25.3 | 34.6 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | Reform |
| 174 | 30 | Solihull West and Shirley | Neil Shastri-Hurst | 71,813 | 65.3 | 29.6 | 13.2 | 15.9 | 30.4 | 8.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 174 | 30 | Worcestershire West | Harriett Baldwin | 79,242 | 69.0 | 26.1 | 9.3 | 22.1 | 30.2 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | CON | Reform |
| 175 | 29 | Stratford-on-Avon | Manuela Perteghella | 75,714 | 69.9 | 23.3 | 5.8 | 35.5 | 28.2 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LIB | LIB |
| 175 | 29 | Herefordshire North | Ellie Chowns | 72,797 | 69.2 | 22.8 | 4.5 | 7.1 | 31.1 | 32.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | Green | Green |
| 175 | 29 | Bromsgrove | Bradley Anthony Thomas | 76,468 | 65.9 | 31.0 | 12.6 | 12.1 | 34.8 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 3.6 | CON | Reform |
| 176 | 29 | Sutton Coldfield | Andrew Mitchell | 74,080 | 65.2 | 34.7 | 15.8 | 8.1 | 32.1 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 184 | 20 | Aldridge-Brownhills | Wendy Morton | 70,871 | 57.7 | 36.1 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 45.2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | Reform |
| 186 | 18 | Kingswinford and South Staffordshire | Mike Wood | 71,662 | 63.0 | 38.4 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 41.8 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | Reform |
| 190 | 15 | Meriden and Solihull East | Saqib Bhatti | 73,659 | 59.8 | 40.6 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 37.9 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | CON |
| 193 | 12 | Droitwich and Evesham | Nigel Huddleston | 76,624 | 64.7 | 40.8 | 7.1 | 6.0 | 38.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.