| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 21.5% | 0 | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 27.4% | 0 | 23 | -23 | 20 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 10.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 29.0% | 27 | 0 | +27 | 27 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 9.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 2.8% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Sheffield Central' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Richmond and Northallerton', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Richmond and Northallerton (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Sheffield Central (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 330 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 10.2 | 37.6 | 12.0 | 8.8 | 27.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 31 | 325 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 13.6 | 40.1 | 11.3 | 18.3 | 15.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 45 | 311 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 13.4 | 37.6 | 26.9 | 7.8 | 12.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 47 | 309 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 14.4 | 37.8 | 12.9 | 15.2 | 16.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 52 | 304 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 10.8 | 33.5 | 12.0 | 15.7 | 24.8 | 2.8 | 0.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 63 | 293 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 16.4 | 38.4 | 9.6 | 14.3 | 15.9 | 4.6 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 68 | 287 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 9.0 | 29.6 | 10.4 | 37.5 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 69 | 286 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 12.2 | 32.8 | 8.4 | 37.6 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 75 | 281 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 14.8 | 34.5 | 9.8 | 18.8 | 18.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 81 | 275 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 14.4 | 33.7 | 9.9 | 18.7 | 15.4 | 6.3 | 1.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 98 | 258 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 15.7 | 33.1 | 11.6 | 29.9 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 99 | 256 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 12.7 | 30.1 | 8.0 | 40.7 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 106 | 250 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 19.4 | 35.1 | 12.3 | 18.9 | 9.1 | 3.3 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 109 | 247 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 18.4 | 33.4 | 8.6 | 25.9 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 110 | 245 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 15.0 | 29.4 | 7.7 | 41.1 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 112 | 243 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 15.9 | 29.9 | 6.9 | 38.0 | 6.2 | 3.1 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 116 | 240 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 18.7 | 32.2 | 8.6 | 29.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 117 | 239 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 21.4 | 34.7 | 9.9 | 22.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 4.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 118 | 238 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 14.7 | 28.0 | 8.8 | 22.9 | 9.7 | 14.5 | 1.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 119 | 236 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 17.1 | 30.0 | 7.5 | 38.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 122 | 233 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 14.0 | 26.7 | 11.2 | 40.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 125 | 231 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 21.5 | 33.1 | 13.8 | 21.5 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 136 | 219 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 20.1 | 29.8 | 7.5 | 32.7 | 6.5 | 2.6 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 145 | 210 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 19.0 | 27.9 | 9.4 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 202 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 18.5 | 26.7 | 8.9 | 32.4 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 3.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 153 | 202 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 18.9 | 27.0 | 10.1 | 33.5 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 154 | 202 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 18.5 | 26.5 | 8.4 | 24.7 | 21.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 155 | 200 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 15.1 | 23.0 | 5.9 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 25.9 | 0.0 | LAB | MIN |
| 156 | 200 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 24.1 | 31.9 | 12.9 | 23.5 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 157 | 199 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 22.5 | 30.3 | 9.2 | 28.4 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 166 | 190 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 24.1 | 30.9 | 7.8 | 26.5 | 9.2 | 0.7 | 0.8 | LAB | LAB |
| 168 | 187 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 21.6 | 28.0 | 9.2 | 34.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 170 | 185 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 22.0 | 28.3 | 8.3 | 32.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 175 | 180 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 23.3 | 28.7 | 7.6 | 33.3 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 178 | 177 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 20.6 | 25.3 | 9.0 | 29.2 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 188 | 167 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 22.8 | 25.7 | 7.8 | 35.3 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 191 | 165 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 26.1 | 28.2 | 8.4 | 27.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 198 | 157 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 17.3 | 17.5 | 6.2 | 24.9 | 6.4 | 27.7 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 203 | 152 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 23.3 | 22.8 | 6.7 | 40.9 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 210 | 145 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 26.1 | 24.6 | 8.1 | 34.4 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 210 | 145 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 26.7 | 25.0 | 7.9 | 33.1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 225 | 130 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 27.3 | 23.2 | 6.7 | 36.6 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 225 | 130 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 28.3 | 24.2 | 6.5 | 34.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 230 | 125 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 27.6 | 22.7 | 6.6 | 37.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 246 | 110 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 33.0 | 25.7 | 7.4 | 25.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | CON |
| 248 | 108 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 29.9 | 22.3 | 10.5 | 29.1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | CON |
| 252 | 103 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 29.1 | 21.1 | 10.6 | 32.4 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | CON | Reform |
| 278 | 77 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 30.8 | 19.3 | 9.8 | 32.8 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | Reform |
| 283 | 73 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 31.8 | 19.9 | 10.6 | 27.6 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
| 283 | 72 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 9.8 | 38.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | CON | Reform |
| 296 | 59 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 30.6 | 17.2 | 6.9 | 38.9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | CON | Reform |
| 301 | 54 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 30.4 | 15.9 | 12.2 | 33.7 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | CON | Reform |
| 310 | 45 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 26.9 | 11.0 | 33.1 | 22.5 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 339 | 17 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 36.2 | 15.2 | 11.2 | 30.6 | 6.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.