| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 24.4% | 4 | 0 | +4 | 13 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 32.1% | 0 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 24.2% | 7 | 0 | +7 | 7 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 9.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 3.9% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 2 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Rotherham' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Richmond and Northallerton', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Rother Valley (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Bradford East (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 462 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 1.9 | 36.3 | 6.6 | 38.7 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 2.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 34 | 457 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 9.2 | 43.3 | 5.9 | 8.5 | 27.8 | 2.1 | 3.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 35 | 456 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 14.0 | 47.8 | 6.1 | 18.0 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 40 | 451 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 8.7 | 41.4 | 7.1 | 14.9 | 25.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 46 | 445 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 10.0 | 41.7 | 3.1 | 36.8 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 57 | 434 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 15.5 | 46.4 | 8.7 | 8.4 | 17.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 62 | 429 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 15.1 | 45.2 | 3.6 | 8.9 | 20.3 | 2.3 | 4.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 75 | 416 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 14.8 | 42.8 | 4.6 | 8.9 | 16.7 | 8.0 | 4.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 78 | 412 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 10.9 | 38.0 | 2.9 | 40.6 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 95 | 396 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 14.7 | 40.2 | 2.9 | 35.1 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 97 | 394 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 17.5 | 42.7 | 4.1 | 15.0 | 14.6 | 4.6 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 98 | 393 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 14.6 | 39.6 | 7.3 | 28.6 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 103 | 387 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 10.7 | 35.0 | 9.5 | 37.7 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 108 | 383 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 19.6 | 43.5 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 10.8 | 4.1 | 4.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 112 | 379 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 13.7 | 37.5 | 29.0 | 7.7 | 10.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 114 | 377 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 15.2 | 38.7 | 3.1 | 35.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 125 | 366 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 16.5 | 38.7 | 2.9 | 35.7 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 129 | 362 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 18.6 | 40.5 | 3.9 | 23.3 | 11.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 148 | 343 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 19.2 | 38.5 | 3.2 | 26.4 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 157 | 334 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 43.6 | 2.9 | 9.5 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 11.3 | LAB | LAB |
| 158 | 333 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 19.7 | 38.0 | 5.9 | 30.2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 161 | 330 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 11.2 | 29.1 | 4.4 | 21.8 | 8.7 | 21.3 | 3.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 174 | 317 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 19.7 | 34.9 | 6.9 | 28.2 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 181 | 310 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 22.5 | 37.4 | 2.7 | 27.8 | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 194 | 297 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 23.8 | 37.2 | 9.9 | 19.7 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 200 | 290 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 10.3 | 22.8 | 1.8 | 17.4 | 11.9 | 29.7 | 6.1 | LAB | MIN |
| 213 | 278 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 17.8 | 28.8 | 3.7 | 22.0 | 27.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 215 | 276 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 24.6 | 35.2 | 3.8 | 27.5 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 217 | 274 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 27.0 | 37.5 | 3.1 | 25.9 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 218 | 272 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 16.8 | 27.0 | 2.5 | 32.0 | 12.2 | 1.6 | 8.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 223 | 268 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 25.2 | 34.8 | 5.6 | 28.3 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 223 | 267 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 24.1 | 33.1 | 2.4 | 35.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 230 | 261 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 28.6 | 36.5 | 9.4 | 19.0 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 232 | 259 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 27.9 | 35.7 | 4.5 | 22.4 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | LAB |
| 233 | 258 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 28.7 | 36.2 | 2.4 | 22.0 | 8.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 245 | 245 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 21.3 | 26.4 | 5.0 | 27.2 | 11.9 | 6.3 | 1.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 250 | 240 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 25.7 | 30.4 | 3.0 | 31.7 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 269 | 222 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 29.5 | 31.4 | 3.7 | 29.0 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 271 | 219 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 12.4 | 14.1 | 3.0 | 22.6 | 6.7 | 41.1 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 283 | 208 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 31.8 | 32.3 | 3.7 | 22.7 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 286 | 205 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 30.5 | 30.5 | 3.5 | 28.1 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | CON |
| 300 | 191 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 32.2 | 30.9 | 2.1 | 28.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | CON |
| 322 | 169 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 34.2 | 29.9 | 2.6 | 28.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | LAB | CON |
| 343 | 148 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 37.5 | 29.7 | 2.4 | 24.9 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 367 | 124 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 36.2 | 25.5 | 6.5 | 25.7 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | CON |
| 385 | 106 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 36.9 | 23.4 | 6.8 | 23.6 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 1.3 | CON | CON |
| 386 | 105 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 42.0 | 27.9 | 1.8 | 18.3 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | CON | CON |
| 412 | 79 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 39.7 | 22.2 | 5.8 | 25.3 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | CON | CON |
| 415 | 76 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 36.3 | 18.5 | 6.2 | 31.9 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | CON | CON |
| 416 | 75 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 38.8 | 21.0 | 2.9 | 31.4 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 422 | 69 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 41.0 | 21.3 | 5.5 | 21.1 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | CON | CON |
| 454 | 37 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 40.9 | 15.3 | 9.4 | 25.7 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | CON | CON |
| 467 | 23 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 31.6 | 1.0 | 44.7 | 17.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | LIB | LIB |
| 483 | 8 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 49.2 | 13.6 | 7.7 | 22.3 | 5.8 | 0.2 | 1.1 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.