| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 15.7% | 0 | 7 | -7 | 2 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 26.3% | 0 | 31 | -31 | 12 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 10.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 34.3% | 39 | 0 | +39 | 39 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 9.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 3.7% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'York Central' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Richmond and Northallerton', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Richmond and Northallerton (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to York Central (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 165 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 8.6 | 37.9 | 10.9 | 26.1 | 15.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 33 | 154 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 5.8 | 32.8 | 11.8 | 14.8 | 29.7 | 1.9 | 3.1 | LAB | LAB |
| 38 | 149 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 9.0 | 34.7 | 28.8 | 13.3 | 12.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 40 | 147 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 6.0 | 30.7 | 11.7 | 21.6 | 26.4 | 2.8 | 0.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 49 | 138 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 8.0 | 32.0 | 13.1 | 25.3 | 17.4 | 1.6 | 2.6 | LAB | LAB |
| 52 | 135 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 10.4 | 34.2 | 11.5 | 22.2 | 16.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 55 | 131 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 3.2 | 26.6 | 8.8 | 45.9 | 8.5 | 4.2 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 65 | 121 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 5.5 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 50.4 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 72 | 115 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 15.9 | 36.1 | 14.1 | 23.6 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | LAB |
| 73 | 113 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 9.9 | 30.0 | 9.9 | 38.5 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 74 | 113 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 12.5 | 32.5 | 11.4 | 26.0 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 3.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 74 | 112 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 7.8 | 27.6 | 9.6 | 29.1 | 19.9 | 2.0 | 4.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 77 | 109 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 6.8 | 26.0 | 9.8 | 30.4 | 16.7 | 6.6 | 3.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 77 | 109 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 11.4 | 30.5 | 9.2 | 40.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 77 | 109 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 9.8 | 28.9 | 6.0 | 46.5 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 77 | 109 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 13.1 | 32.1 | 8.0 | 32.5 | 11.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 83 | 103 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 11.4 | 29.7 | 10.4 | 37.3 | 8.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 84 | 102 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 5.5 | 23.7 | 6.3 | 54.9 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 85 | 101 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 10.3 | 28.4 | 6.4 | 46.9 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 89 | 97 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 10.8 | 28.5 | 6.1 | 47.1 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 92 | 94 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 7.3 | 24.4 | 9.4 | 50.3 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 92 | 94 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 12.8 | 29.8 | 7.8 | 36.5 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 2.8 | LAB | Reform |
| 95 | 92 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 18.8 | 35.5 | 13.4 | 24.5 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 103 | 83 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 14.3 | 30.3 | 8.2 | 37.0 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 104 | 83 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 16.6 | 32.4 | 9.1 | 31.2 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | LAB | LAB |
| 104 | 82 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 15.1 | 30.9 | 9.2 | 37.4 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 106 | 81 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 15.2 | 30.7 | 7.4 | 29.7 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 8.9 | LAB | LAB |
| 107 | 80 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 17.9 | 33.1 | 7.9 | 29.5 | 9.7 | 0.6 | 1.4 | LAB | LAB |
| 108 | 78 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 5.6 | 20.6 | 9.5 | 35.5 | 10.8 | 15.3 | 2.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 115 | 71 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 14.5 | 28.0 | 6.5 | 40.5 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 118 | 68 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 14.6 | 26.9 | 7.5 | 41.0 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | LAB | Reform |
| 118 | 68 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 12.1 | 24.0 | 8.6 | 32.1 | 22.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 120 | 66 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 5.0 | 16.7 | 8.5 | 30.7 | 13.9 | 20.8 | 4.4 | LAB | Reform |
| 121 | 65 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 19.5 | 30.1 | 8.7 | 31.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 121 | 65 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 10.1 | 20.6 | 7.2 | 43.6 | 10.9 | 1.3 | 6.3 | LAB | Reform |
| 123 | 63 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 20.3 | 30.3 | 8.1 | 32.1 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 127 | 59 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 14.0 | 22.5 | 8.4 | 37.7 | 10.4 | 5.4 | 1.7 | LAB | Reform |
| 133 | 53 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 15.6 | 22.6 | 6.6 | 46.0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 133 | 53 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 8.5 | 14.6 | 7.0 | 32.8 | 7.1 | 30.0 | 0.0 | MIN | Reform |
| 135 | 51 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 21.0 | 26.3 | 6.6 | 39.4 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | LAB | Reform |
| 137 | 49 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 20.7 | 25.0 | 8.2 | 36.7 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | LAB | Reform |
| 141 | 45 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 22.2 | 25.3 | 8.5 | 34.0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 145 | 41 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 21.1 | 22.5 | 6.8 | 39.8 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | LAB | Reform |
| 145 | 41 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 24.7 | 25.9 | 7.7 | 31.0 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 2.7 | CON | Reform |
| 145 | 41 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 23.7 | 23.4 | 7.0 | 38.0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | LAB | Reform |
| 146 | 40 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 23.9 | 21.9 | 11.3 | 34.7 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | Reform |
| 153 | 33 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 27.8 | 22.5 | 11.0 | 28.3 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | CON | Reform |
| 157 | 29 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 26.5 | 19.9 | 10.6 | 34.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | CON | Reform |
| 157 | 29 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 23.1 | 16.3 | 10.0 | 42.2 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 2.4 | CON | Reform |
| 157 | 29 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 24.6 | 17.7 | 7.6 | 42.6 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | CON | Reform |
| 162 | 25 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 30.2 | 21.1 | 11.5 | 26.5 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | CON | CON |
| 164 | 22 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 27.4 | 16.0 | 12.8 | 34.7 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | CON | Reform |
| 164 | 22 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 21.7 | 10.3 | 35.7 | 25.8 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | LIB | LIB |
| 178 | 9 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 33.0 | 14.8 | 11.8 | 32.2 | 6.2 | 0.3 | 1.7 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.