| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 18.3% | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 29.6% | 0 | 25 | -25 | 18 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 10.3% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 31.6% | 31 | 0 | +31 | 31 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 8.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 2.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Sheffield Hallam' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Richmond and Northallerton', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Richmond and Northallerton (prediction: CON), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Sheffield Hallam (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 310 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 8.6 | 47.6 | 21.8 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 13 | 308 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 6.3 | 44.6 | 8.6 | 12.2 | 26.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 24 | 297 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 9.9 | 44.9 | 8.8 | 22.5 | 13.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 27 | 294 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 6.4 | 39.6 | 8.0 | 18.7 | 23.4 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 28 | 293 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 10.5 | 42.7 | 10.1 | 19.1 | 15.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 43 | 278 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 13.9 | 41.8 | 6.7 | 18.2 | 15.2 | 4.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 51 | 270 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 11.2 | 37.3 | 8.2 | 23.7 | 17.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 53 | 268 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 10.9 | 36.8 | 7.8 | 22.9 | 13.8 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 53 | 267 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 8.4 | 34.2 | 7.7 | 44.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 62 | 259 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 16.4 | 39.7 | 13.0 | 22.7 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 62 | 258 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 5.0 | 28.1 | 11.3 | 42.1 | 6.6 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 63 | 257 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 10.5 | 33.3 | 14.1 | 35.2 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 64 | 256 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 8.6 | 31.3 | 7.3 | 47.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 73 | 247 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 13.2 | 34.0 | 9.7 | 37.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 82 | 239 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 11.4 | 31.5 | 6.2 | 29.9 | 6.5 | 14.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 85 | 236 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 13.9 | 33.6 | 14.7 | 23.7 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 86 | 234 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 8.4 | 26.9 | 14.0 | 44.9 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 90 | 231 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 15.7 | 33.8 | 15.8 | 28.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 94 | 227 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 19.9 | 37.5 | 11.9 | 24.5 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 95 | 226 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 14.6 | 31.6 | 9.3 | 29.6 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 95 | 225 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 14.6 | 31.6 | 9.1 | 33.6 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 99 | 221 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 11.6 | 28.1 | 10.1 | 44.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 101 | 219 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 12.1 | 28.1 | 10.1 | 44.4 | 5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 103 | 217 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 14.6 | 30.5 | 10.8 | 35.1 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 104 | 216 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 16.8 | 32.6 | 8.6 | 34.2 | 7.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 105 | 216 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 19.3 | 34.8 | 8.8 | 28.2 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 110 | 210 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 11.2 | 26.3 | 6.7 | 41.8 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 112 | 208 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 17.3 | 32.3 | 9.1 | 35.3 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 123 | 198 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 14.0 | 27.9 | 5.8 | 25.7 | 8.6 | 18.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 127 | 194 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 21.4 | 34.5 | 7.1 | 26.8 | 8.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 136 | 184 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 15.8 | 27.3 | 8.5 | 38.1 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 136 | 184 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 18.1 | 29.4 | 8.2 | 37.7 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 139 | 181 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 13.7 | 24.7 | 11.3 | 40.1 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 140 | 180 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 14.9 | 25.8 | 8.6 | 28.9 | 21.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 143 | 178 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 22.4 | 32.4 | 8.0 | 28.5 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 161 | 159 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 22.1 | 29.4 | 9.7 | 32.3 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 161 | 159 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 17.9 | 25.1 | 9.8 | 42.8 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 165 | 155 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 17.0 | 22.9 | 9.0 | 34.3 | 8.9 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 167 | 153 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 23.6 | 27.7 | 7.1 | 36.2 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 169 | 151 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 23.1 | 25.9 | 10.4 | 35.5 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 171 | 149 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 24.0 | 25.8 | 10.2 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 172 | 148 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 14.0 | 15.5 | 4.9 | 27.8 | 4.9 | 33.1 | 0.0 | MIN | MIN |
| 177 | 143 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 24.2 | 24.5 | 9.6 | 37.2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 186 | 135 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 30.4 | 28.6 | 7.7 | 26.7 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 187 | 133 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 25.6 | 23.6 | 8.9 | 37.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 192 | 128 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 21.0 | 16.9 | 30.6 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 200 | 120 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 28.8 | 23.2 | 12.1 | 29.2 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 202 | 118 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 28.9 | 23.0 | 10.8 | 32.7 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 224 | 96 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 28.2 | 18.2 | 10.3 | 39.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 233 | 87 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 31.6 | 20.5 | 9.7 | 32.8 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 244 | 76 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 30.5 | 17.7 | 7.3 | 39.6 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 254 | 67 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 34.6 | 20.7 | 9.9 | 26.4 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 255 | 65 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 31.8 | 17.6 | 11.8 | 33.0 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 299 | 22 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 38.3 | 16.3 | 10.6 | 29.8 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.