Vulnerable Seats

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	24.4%	121	19.3%	39	37	+2	123
LAB	34.7%	412	26.6%	11	110	-99	313
LIB	12.6%	72	10.0%	1	12	-11	61
Reform	14.7%	5	23.2%	91	1	+90	95
Green	6.9%	4	10.2%	0	2	-2	2
SNP	2.6%	9	2.8%	24	1	+23	32
PlaidC	0.7%	4	0.8%	1	0	+1	5
Other	3.5%	5	7.2%	1	5	-4	1
SF		7		0	0	+0	7
DUP		5		0	0	+0	5
SDLP		2		0	0	+0	2
UUP		1		0	0	+0	1
Alliance		1		0	0	+0	1
TUV		1		0	0	+0	1
NI Other		1		0	0	+0	1

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2024
Aberdeen South	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Stephen Flynn
Aldridge-Brownhills	Black Country	Reform	gain from	CON	Wendy Morton
Alloa and Grangemouth	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Brian Leishman
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	Reform	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Linsey Farnsworth
Ashford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sojan Joseph
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Elaine Stewart
Ayrshire Central	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alan Gemmell
Ayrshire North and Arran	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Irene Campbell
Banbury	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sean Woodcock
Bangor Aberconwy	Clwyd	Plaid	gain from	LAB	Claire Hughes
Barnsley South	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Basildon and Billericay	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Richard John Holden
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jo White
Beverley and Holderness	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	Graham Stuart
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Bexley	Reform	gain from	LAB	Daniel Francis
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Birmingham	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Liam Byrne
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Laurence Turner
Birmingham Perry Barr	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	MIN	Ayoub Khan
Bishop Auckland	Durham	Reform	gain from (TV)	LAB	Sam Rushworth
Blackburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	MIN	Adnan Hussain
Blackpool North and Fleetwood	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lorraine Beavers
Bolsover	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Natalie Fleet
Bracknell	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Swallow
Braintree	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	James Cleverly
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Powys	CON	gain from	LIB	David Chadwick
Brentwood and Ongar	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Alex Burghart
Bridgwater	Somerset	Reform	gain from	CON	Ashley Fox
Bridlington and the Wolds	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	Charlie Dewhirst
Brigg and Immingham	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	Martin Vickers
Broxbourne	Hertfordshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Lewis Christopher Cocking
Buckingham and Bletchley	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Callum Anderson
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Oliver Ryan
Burton and Uttoxeter	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jacob Collier
Cambridgeshire North East	Cambridgeshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Steve Barclay
Cambridgeshire North West	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from (TV)	LAB	Sam Carling
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh Newbury
Castle Point	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Rebecca Harris
Chatham and Aylesford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tristan Osborne
Chester South and Eddisbury	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aphra Brandreth
Christchurch	Dorset	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Christopher Chope
Clwyd East	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Becky Gittins
Clwyd North	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Gill German
Coatbridge and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank McNally
Cornwall South East	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna Gelderd
Cotswolds South	Gloucestershire	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Roz Savage
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Fife	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Melanie Ward
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Katrina Murray
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Margaret Mullane
Dartford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jim Dickson
Derby South	Derbyshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Baggy Shanker
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Louise Elizabeth Jones
Devon South	Devon	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Caroline Voaden
Dewsbury and Batley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from (TV)	MIN	Iqbal Hussain Mohamed
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lee Pitcher
Dorking and Horley	Surrey	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Chris Coghlan
Dorset Mid and North Poole	Dorset	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Vikki Slade
Dover and Deal	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Mike Tapp
Dudley	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sonia Kumar
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	John Cooper
Dunbartonshire West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Douglas McAllister
Dunfermline and Dollar	Fife	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Graeme Downie
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Mayer
Earley and Woodley	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Yuan Yang
Eastleigh	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Liz Jarvis
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Murray
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tracy Gilbert
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Scott Arthur
Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Charlotte Cane
Epsom and Ewell	Surrey	CON	gain from	LIB	Helen Maguire
Falkirk	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Euan Stainbank
Fareham and Waterlooville	Hampshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Suella Braverman
Forest of Dean	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Bishop
Fylde	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	CON	Andrew Snowden
Gainsborough	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Sir Edward Leigh
Gillingham and Rainham	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Naushabah Khan
Glasgow East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	John Grady
Glasgow North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Rhodes
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Maureen Burke
Glasgow South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon McKee
Glasgow South West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Zubir Ahmed
Glasgow West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Patricia Ferguson
Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Richard Baker
Godalming and Ash	Surrey	LIB	gain from (TV)	CON	Jeremy Hunt
Goole and Pocklington	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	David Davis
Gordon and Buchan	Grampian	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Harriet Cross
Grantham and Bourne	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Gareth Davies
Gravesham	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lauren Sullivan
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Great Yarmouth	Norfolk	MIN	gain from	Reform	Rupert Lowe
Halesowen	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alex Ballinger
Hampshire North East	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Alex Brewer
Harborough, Oadby and Wigston	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil O'Brien
Harlow	Essex	Reform	gain from	LAB	Christopher John Vince
Hartlepool	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Brash
Henley and Thame	Oxfordshire	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Freddie Van Mierlo
Herefordshire North	Hereford and Worcestershire	CON	gain from	Green	Ellie Chowns
Herne Bay and Sandwich	Kent	Reform	gain from	CON	Roger Gale
Hertfordshire North East	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Hinchliff
Hinckley and Bosworth	Leicestershire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Luke Evans
Honiton and Sidmouth	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Richard Foord
Hornchurch and Upminster	Havering	Reform	gain from	CON	Julia Lopez
Horsham	West Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	John Milne
Hull East	Humber area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Karl Turner
Hyndburn	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Smith
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	Glasgow area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Martin McCluskey
Isle of Wight East	Hampshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Joe Robertson
Isle of Wight West	Hampshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Richard Quigley
Islington North	Islington	LAB	gain from	MIN	Jeremy Corbyn
Keighley and Ilkley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Lillian Jones
Leicester East	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Shivani Raja
Leicester South	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	MIN	Shockat Adam
Leicestershire Mid	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Peter Bedford
Leicestershire North West	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Amanda Hack
Leicestershire South	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Alberto Costa
Lichfield	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dave Robertson
Livingston	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gregor Poynton
Llanelli	Dyfed	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Louth and Horncastle	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Victoria Atkins
Lowestoft	Suffolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jessica Asato
Maidenhead	Berkshire	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Joshua Peter Reynolds
Maldon	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	John Whittingdale
Mansfield	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Steve Yemm
Melksham and Devizes	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Brian Mathew
Melton and Syston	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Edward Argar
Meriden and Solihull East	Coventry and Solihull	Reform	gain from	CON	Saqib Bhatti
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Luke Myer
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Kirsty McNeill
Monmouthshire	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine Fookes
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Powys	Reform	gain from	LAB	Steve Witherden
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	Glasgow area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Pamela Nash
Neath and Swansea East	West Glamorgan	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Carolyn Harris
Newark	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Robert Jenrick
Newbury	Berkshire	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Lee Raymond James Dillon
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Adam Jogee
Norfolk Mid	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	CON	George Freeman
Norfolk North West	Norfolk	CON	hold (TV)	CON	James Wild
Norfolk South West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Terry Jermy
Normanton and Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jodie Gosling
Old Bexley and Sidcup	Bexley	Reform	gain from	CON	Louie French
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alison Suzanne Watt Taylor
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Johanna Baxter
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	CON	gain from	LAB	Henry Tufnell
Pendle and Clitheroe	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jonathan James Hinder
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Andrew Pakes
Plymouth Moor View	Devon	Reform	gain from	LAB	Fred Thomas
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Poole	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Neil John Duncan-Jordan
Portsmouth North	Hampshire	CON	gain from (TV)	LAB	Amanda Martin
Rayleigh and Wickford	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Mark Francois
Reading West and Mid Berkshire	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Olivia Bailey
Redcar	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Redditch	Hereford and Worcestershire	CON	gain from (TV)	LAB	Christopher James Bloore
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Blair McDougall
Ribble Valley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Maya Ellis
Rochester and Strood	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lauren Rae Edwards
Romford	Havering	Reform	gain from	CON	Andrew Rosindell
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jake Richards
Rotherham	South Yorkshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Sarah Champion
Scarborough and Whitby	North Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alison Hume
Scunthorpe	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nicholas Dakin
Sherwood Forest	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Michelle Welsh
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kevin McKenna
Skipton and Ripon	North Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Julian Smith
Sleaford and North Hykeham	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Caroline Johnson
Somerset North	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Sadik Al-Hassan
South Holland and The Deepings	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	John Hayes
Southend East and Rochford	Essex	Reform	gain from	LAB	Bayo Alaba
Southend West and Leigh	Essex	CON	gain from	LAB	David Edmund Burton-Sampson
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LAB	Noah Law
Staffordshire Moorlands	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Karen Bradley
Stirling and Strathallan	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Kane
Stockton West	Teesside	Reform	gain from	CON	Matt Vickers
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Gareth Snell
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	David Williams
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Allison Gardner
Stourbridge	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Cat Eccles
Stratford-on-Avon	Warwickshire	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Manuela Perteghella
Suffolk West	Suffolk	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Nick Timothy
Surrey Heath	Surrey	CON	gain from	LIB	Al Pinkerton
Swindon North	Wiltshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Will Stone
Tamworth	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Edwards
Tatton	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Esther McVey
Telford	Shropshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Shaun Davies
Thirsk and Malton	North Yorkshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Kevin Hollinrake
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Claire Young
Thurrock	Essex	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jennifer Craft
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Antonia Bance
Tiverton and Minehead	Somerset	CON	gain from	LIB	Rachel Gilmour
Torfaen	Gwent	Reform	gain from (TV)	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Walsall and Bloxwich	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Warwickshire North and Bedworth	Warwickshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Rachel Margaret Taylor
Waveney Valley	Suffolk	CON	gain from	Green	Adrian Ramsay
Welwyn Hatfield	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Andrew Lewin
West Bromwich	Black Country	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Sarah Coombes
Witham	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Priti Patel
Witney	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Charlie Maynard
Wokingham	Berkshire	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	Clive Jones
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sureena Brackenridge
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Pat McFadden
Worthing West	West Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Beccy Cooper
Wrexham	Clwyd	Reform	gain from	LAB	Andrew Steven Ranger
Wyre Forest	Hereford and Worcestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Mark Garnier

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

Vulnerable Seats

Current Prediction: Labour short 13 of majority

List of predicted seat changes