Vulnerable Seats

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	24.4%	121	24.5%	57	2	+55	176
LAB	34.7%	412	26.7%	0	102	-102	310
LIB	12.6%	72	11.8%	0	1	-1	71
Reform	14.7%	5	21.9%	31	0	+31	36
Green	6.9%	4	8.5%	0	0	+0	4
SNP	2.6%	9	2.7%	11	0	+11	20
PlaidC	0.7%	4	0.7%	0	0	+0	4
Other	3.5%	5	3.2%	6	0	+6	11
SF		7		0	0	+0	7
DUP		5		0	0	+0	5
SDLP		2		0	0	+0	2
UUP		1		0	0	+0	1
Alliance		1		0	0	+0	1
TUV		1		0	0	+0	1
NI Other		1		0	0	+0	1

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2024
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Linsey Farnsworth
Ashford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sojan Joseph
Aylesbury	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Elizabeth Kyrke-Smith
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Elaine Stewart
Ayrshire North and Arran	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Irene Campbell
Banbury	Oxfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sean Woodcock
Barnsley South	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Basildon and Billericay	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Richard John Holden
Bethnal Green and Stepney	Tower Hamlets	MIN	gain from	LAB	Rushanara Ali
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Bexley	CON	gain from	LAB	Daniel Francis
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Birmingham	MIN	gain from	LAB	Liam Byrne
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	MIN	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Bournemouth West	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Jessica Toale
Bracknell	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Swallow
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bradford West	West Yorkshire	MIN	gain from	LAB	Naz Shah
Buckingham and Bletchley	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Callum Anderson
Burnley	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Oliver Ryan
Burton and Uttoxeter	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jacob Collier
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Prinsley
Cambridgeshire North West	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sam Carling
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh Newbury
Chatham and Aylesford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tristan Osborne
Chelsea and Fulham	Hammersmith and Fulham	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Coleman
Chipping Barnet	Barnet	CON	gain from	LAB	Dan Tomlinson
Cities of London and Westminster	City of Westminster	CON	gain from	LAB	Rachel Blake
Clwyd North	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Gill German
Congleton	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Alison Russell
Cornwall South East	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LAB	Anna Gelderd
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Katrina Murray
Darlington	Durham	CON	gain from	LAB	Lola McEvoy
Dartford	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Jim Dickson
Derbyshire Dales	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Michael Whitby
Derbyshire Mid	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Peter Tom Davies
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Louise Elizabeth Jones
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Lee Pitcher
Dorset South	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Lloyd Hatton
Dover and Deal	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Mike Tapp
Dudley	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sonia Kumar
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Mayer
Durham North	Durham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Luke Akehurst
Earley and Woodley	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Yuan Yang
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Murray
Folkestone and Hythe	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tony Vaughan
Forest of Dean	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Bishop
Glasgow North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Rhodes
Glasgow South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon McKee
Glasgow South West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Zubir Ahmed
Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Richard Baker
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex McIntyre
Gravesham	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Lauren Sullivan
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Harlow	Essex	CON	gain from	LAB	Christopher John Vince
Hendon	Barnet	CON	gain from	LAB	David Pinto-Duschinsky
Hertfordshire North East	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Hinchliff
Hexham	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Joe Morris
Heywood and Middleton North	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Elsie Jane Blundell
Hornchurch and Upminster	Havering	Reform	gain from	CON	Julia Lopez
Hull East	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hyndburn	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Smith
Ilford North	Redbridge	MIN	gain from	LAB	Wes Streeting
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire	Highland	SNP	gain from	LIB	Angus MacDonald
Kensington and Bayswater	Kensington and Chelsea	CON	gain from	LAB	Joe Powell
Kettering	Northamptonshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Rosie Wrighting
Leicestershire North West	Leicestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Amanda Hack
Lichfield	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dave Robertson
Livingston	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gregor Poynton
Llanelli	Dyfed	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Lowestoft	Suffolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jessica Asato
Makerfield	Western Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh Simons
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Luke Myer
Monmouthshire	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine Fookes
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Powys	Reform	gain from	LAB	Steve Witherden
Norfolk South	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Goldsborough
Norfolk South West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Terry Jermy
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jim McMahon
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	CON	gain from	LAB	Henry Tufnell
Pendle and Clitheroe	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan James Hinder
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Andrew Pakes
Poole	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Neil John Duncan-Jordan
Portsmouth North	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Amanda Martin
Reading West and Mid Berkshire	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Olivia Bailey
Redditch	Hereford and Worcestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Christopher James Bloore
Ribble Valley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Maya Ellis
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	MIN	gain from	LAB	Paul Waugh
Rochester and Strood	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lauren Rae Edwards
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jake Richards
Rotherham	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Champion
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kevin McKenna
Somerset North	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Sadik Al-Hassan
Southend West and Leigh	Essex	CON	gain from	LAB	David Edmund Burton-Sampson
Spen Valley	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kim Leadbeater
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	CON	gain from	LAB	Noah Law
Stirling and Strathallan	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Kane
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Allison Gardner
Stourbridge	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Cat Eccles
Suffolk Coastal	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter
Tamworth	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Edwards
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Antonia Bance
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Hillingdon	CON	gain from	LAB	Danny Boy Beales
Walsall and Bloxwich	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Warwickshire North and Bedworth	Warwickshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Rachel Margaret Taylor
Welwyn Hatfield	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Andrew Lewin
Worthing West	West Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Beccy Cooper

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

Vulnerable Seats

Current Prediction: Labour short 16 of majority

List of predicted seat changes