Vulnerable Seats

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	24.4%	121	23.3%	68	33	+35	156
LAB	34.7%	412	24.6%	1	214	-213	199
LIB	12.6%	72	13.1%	0	18	-18	54
Reform	14.7%	5	24.0%	162	0	+162	167
Green	6.9%	4	9.1%	0	0	+0	4
SNP	2.6%	9	2.9%	34	0	+34	43
PlaidC	0.7%	4	0.8%	0	0	+0	4
Other	3.5%	5	2.4%	1	1	+0	5
SF		7		0	0	+0	7
DUP		5		0	0	+0	5
SDLP		2		0	0	+0	2
UUP		1		0	0	+0	1
Alliance		1		0	0	+0	1
TUV		1		0	0	+0	1
NI Other		1		0	0	+0	1

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2024
Airdrie and Shotts	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Kenneth Stevenson
Aldershot	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Baker
Alloa and Grangemouth	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Brian Leishman
Altrincham and Sale West	Central Manchester	CON	gain from	LAB	Connor Rand
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Linsey Farnsworth
Ashford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sojan Joseph
Ashton-under-Lyne	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Angela Rayner
Aylesbury	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Elizabeth Kyrke-Smith
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Elaine Stewart
Ayrshire Central	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alan Gemmell
Ayrshire North and Arran	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Irene Campbell
Bangor Aberconwy	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Claire Hughes
Barnsley North	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Dan Jarvis
Barnsley South	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Barrow and Furness	Cumbria	Reform	gain from	LAB	Michelle Scrogham
Basildon and Billericay	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Richard John Holden
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jo White
Bathgate and Linlithgow	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Kirsteen Sullivan
Beverley and Holderness	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	Graham Stuart
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Bexley	CON	gain from	LAB	Daniel Francis
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Birmingham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Liam Byrne
Birmingham Northfield	Birmingham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Laurence Turner
Birmingham Perry Barr	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	MIN	Ayoub Khan
Bishop Auckland	Durham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sam Rushworth
Blackpool North and Fleetwood	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lorraine Beavers
Blackpool South	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Chris Webb
Blyth and Ashington	Northumberland	Reform	gain from	LAB	Ian Lavery
Bolsover	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Natalie Fleet
Bolton North East	Western Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kirith Entwistle
Bolton South and Walkden	Western Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Yasmin Qureshi
Bolton West	Western Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Phil Brickell
Bournemouth West	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Jessica Toale
Bracknell	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Swallow
Bradford South	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Judith Cummins
Bradford West	West Yorkshire	MIN	gain from	LAB	Naz Shah
Braintree	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	James Cleverly
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Powys	CON	gain from	LIB	David Chadwick
Bridgwater	Somerset	Reform	gain from	CON	Ashley Fox
Bridlington and the Wolds	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	Charlie Dewhirst
Brigg and Immingham	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	Martin Vickers
Broadland and Fakenham	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	CON	Jerome Mayhew
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Juliet Campbell
Buckingham and Bletchley	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Callum Anderson
Burnley	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Oliver Ryan
Burton and Uttoxeter	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jacob Collier
Bury North	Western Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	James Frith
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Prinsley
Caerphilly	Gwent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Chris Evans
Cambridgeshire North East	Cambridgeshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Steve Barclay
Cambridgeshire North West	Cambridgeshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sam Carling
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh Newbury
Carlisle	Cumbria	Reform	gain from	LAB	Julie Minns
Castle Point	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Rebecca Harris
Chatham and Aylesford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tristan Osborne
Chelmsford	Essex	CON	gain from	LIB	Marie Goldman
Chelsea and Fulham	Hammersmith and Fulham	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Coleman
Chesham and Amersham	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Sarah Green
Cheshire Mid	Cheshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Andrew Graham Cooper
Clwyd East	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Becky Gittins
Clwyd North	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Gill German
Coatbridge and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank McNally
Congleton	Cheshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Sarah Alison Russell
Corby and East Northamptonshire	Northamptonshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lee Barron
Cornwall South East	Cornwall	Reform	gain from	LAB	Anna Gelderd
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Melanie Ward
Crawley	West Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Peter Lamb
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Connor Naismith
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Katrina Murray
Dagenham and Rainham	Barking and Dagenham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Margaret Mullane
Darlington	Durham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lola McEvoy
Dartford	Kent	CON	gain from	LAB	Jim Dickson
Daventry	Northamptonshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Stuart Andrew
Derby North	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Catherine Atkinson
Derby South	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Baggy Shanker
Derbyshire Dales	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	John Michael Whitby
Derbyshire Mid	Derbyshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Peter Tom Davies
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Louise Elizabeth Jones
Derbyshire South	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Samantha Niblett
Doncaster Central	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sally Jameson
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lee Pitcher
Dorset Mid and North Poole	Dorset	CON	gain from	LIB	Vikki Slade
Dorset South	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Lloyd Hatton
Dover and Deal	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Mike Tapp
Dudley	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sonia Kumar
Dunbartonshire West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Douglas McAllister
Dunfermline and Dollar	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Graeme Downie
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Bedfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex Mayer
Durham North	Durham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Luke Akehurst
Earley and Woodley	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Yuan Yang
Easington	Durham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Grahame Morris
East Kilbride and Strathaven	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Joani Reid
Eastleigh	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Liz Jarvis
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Murray
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tracy Gilbert
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Scott Arthur
Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Charlotte Cane
Epsom and Ewell	Surrey	CON	gain from	LIB	Helen Maguire
Erewash	Derbyshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Adam Thompson
Falkirk	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Euan Stainbank
Faversham and Mid Kent	Kent	Reform	gain from	CON	Helen Whately
Folkestone and Hythe	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tony Vaughan
Forest of Dean	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Matt Bishop
Gainsborough	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Sir Edward Leigh
Gillingham and Rainham	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Naushabah Khan
Glasgow East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	John Grady
Glasgow North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Rhodes
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Maureen Burke
Glasgow South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon McKee
Glasgow South West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Zubir Ahmed
Glasgow West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Patricia Ferguson
Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Richard Baker
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Alex McIntyre
Goole and Pocklington	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	David Davis
Gordon and Buchan	Grampian	SNP	gain from	CON	Harriet Cross
Grantham and Bourne	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Gareth Davies
Gravesham	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lauren Sullivan
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Halesowen	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alex Ballinger
Halifax	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kate Alexandra Dearden
Hampshire North East	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Alex Brewer
Harlow	Essex	Reform	gain from	LAB	Christopher John Vince
Hartlepool	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jonathan Brash
Havant	Hampshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Alan Mak
Hemel Hempstead	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	David Taylor
Hendon	Barnet	CON	gain from	LAB	David Pinto-Duschinsky
Hertford and Stortford	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Josh Dean
Hertfordshire North East	Hertfordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Chris Hinchliff
Hexham	Northumberland	CON	gain from	LAB	Joe Morris
Heywood and Middleton North	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Elsie Jane Blundell
Hinckley and Bosworth	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Luke Evans
Hornchurch and Upminster	Havering	Reform	gain from	CON	Julia Lopez
Horsham	West Sussex	CON	gain from	LIB	John Milne
Houghton and Sunderland South	Newcastle area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Bridget Phillipson
Hull East	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Karl Turner
Hull West and Haltemprice	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Emma Hardy
Hyndburn	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Smith
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin McCluskey
Isle of Wight East	Hampshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Joe Robertson
Isle of Wight West	Hampshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Richard Quigley
Jarrow and Gateshead East	Newcastle area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kate Osborne
Kettering	Northamptonshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Rosie Wrighting
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Lillian Jones
Lancaster and Wyre	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Cat Smith
Leeds South West and Morley	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Mark Sewards
Leicestershire North West	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Amanda Hack
Leicestershire South	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Alberto Costa
Leigh and Atherton	Western Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jo Platt
Lichfield	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Dave Robertson
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Hamish Falconer
Livingston	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gregor Poynton
Llanelli	Dyfed	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Loughborough	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jeevun Sandher
Louth and Horncastle	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Victoria Atkins
Lowestoft	Suffolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jessica Asato
Maidenhead	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Joshua Peter Reynolds
Makerfield	Western Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh Simons
Mansfield	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Steve Yemm
Melksham and Devizes	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Brian Mathew
Melton and Syston	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Edward Argar
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Andy McDonald
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	CON	gain from	LAB	Luke Myer
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Kirsty McNeill
Monmouthshire	Gwent	CON	gain from	LAB	Catherine Fookes
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Powys	Reform	gain from	LAB	Steve Witherden
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lizzi Collinge
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Pamela Nash
Neath and Swansea East	West Glamorgan	Reform	gain from	LAB	Carolyn Harris
Newbury	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Lee Raymond James Dillon
Newcastle-under-Lyme	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Adam Jogee
Newton Abbot	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Martin Wrigley
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Durham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alan Strickland
Norfolk Mid	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	CON	George Freeman
Norfolk North	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LIB	Steffan Aquarone
Norfolk North West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	CON	James Wild
Norfolk South	Norfolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Ben Goldsborough
Norfolk South West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Terry Jermy
Normanton and Hemsworth	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jon Trickett
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lucy Rigby
Northampton South	Northamptonshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Mike Reader
Northamptonshire South	Northamptonshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Sarah Bool
Northumberland North	Northumberland	Reform	gain from	LAB	David Smith
Nottingham North and Kimberley	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alex Norris
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jodie Gosling
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jim McMahon
Ossett and Denby Dale	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jade Botterill
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alison Suzanne Watt Taylor
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Johanna Baxter
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	CON	gain from	LAB	Henry Tufnell
Pendle and Clitheroe	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jonathan James Hinder
Penistone and Stocksbridge	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Marie Tidball
Penrith and Solway	Cumbria	Reform	gain from	LAB	Markus Campbell-Savours
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Andrew Pakes
Plymouth Moor View	Devon	Reform	gain from	LAB	Fred Thomas
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Yvette Cooper
Poole	Dorset	CON	gain from	LAB	Neil John Duncan-Jordan
Portsmouth North	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Amanda Martin
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	John Healey
Reading West and Mid Berkshire	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Olivia Bailey
Redcar	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Redditch	Hereford and Worcestershire	CON	gain from	LAB	Christopher James Bloore
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Blair McDougall
Rhondda and Ogmore	Mid Glamorgan	Reform	gain from	LAB	Chris Bryant
Ribble Valley	Lancashire	CON	gain from	LAB	Maya Ellis
Rochdale	Eastern Manchester	Reform	gain from	LAB	Paul Waugh
Rochester and Strood	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lauren Rae Edwards
Rossendale and Darwen	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Andy MacNae
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jake Richards
Rotherham	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Champion
Rugby	Warwickshire	CON	gain from	LAB	John Anthony Slinger
Rutherglen	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Michael Shanks
Scarborough and Whitby	North Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alison Hume
Scunthorpe	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nicholas Dakin
Selby	North Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Keir Mather
Sherwood Forest	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Michelle Welsh
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kevin McKenna
Sleaford and North Hykeham	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Caroline Johnson
Somerset North	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Sadik Al-Hassan
South Holland and The Deepings	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	John Hayes
South Ribble	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Paul Andrew Foster
South Shields	Newcastle area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Emma Lewell-Buck
Southend East and Rochford	Essex	CON	gain from	LAB	Bayo Alaba
Southend West and Leigh	Essex	CON	gain from	LAB	David Edmund Burton-Sampson
Southport	Merseyside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Patrick Brian Hurley
Spen Valley	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kim Leadbeater
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	Reform	gain from	LAB	Noah Law
Stafford	Staffordshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Leigh Ingham
Staffordshire Moorlands	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Karen Bradley
Stirling and Strathallan	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Kane
Stockton North	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Chris McDonald
Stoke-on-Trent Central	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Gareth Snell
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	David Williams
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Allison Gardner
Stourbridge	Black Country	CON	gain from	LAB	Cat Eccles
Suffolk Coastal	Suffolk	CON	gain from	LAB	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter
Suffolk South	Suffolk	Reform	gain from	CON	James Cartlidge
Suffolk West	Suffolk	Reform	gain from	CON	Nick Timothy
Sunderland Central	Newcastle area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lewis Atkinson
Surrey Heath	Surrey	CON	gain from	LIB	Al Pinkerton
Sutton and Cheam	Sutton	CON	gain from	LIB	Luke Taylor
Swindon North	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Will Stone
Tamworth	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Edwards
Telford	Shropshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Shaun Davies
Thanet East	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Polly Billington
Thirsk and Malton	North Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Kevin Hollinrake
Thornbury and Yate	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LIB	Claire Young
Thurrock	Essex	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jennifer Craft
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Antonia Bance
Torbay	Devon	CON	gain from	LIB	Steve Darling
Torfaen	Gwent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Torridge and Tavistock	Devon	Reform	gain from	CON	Geoffrey Cox
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Hillingdon	CON	gain from	LAB	Danny Boy Beales
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Kanishka Narayan
Wakefield and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Simon Lightwood
Walsall and Bloxwich	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Warrington North	Cheshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Charlotte Nichols
Warwickshire North and Bedworth	Warwickshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Rachel Margaret Taylor
Washington and Gateshead South	Newcastle area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sharon Hodgson
Wellingborough and Rushden	Northamptonshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Gen Kitchen
Weston-super-Mare	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Dan Aldridge
Whitehaven and Workington	Cumbria	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh MacAlister
Wolverhampton North East	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sureena Brackenridge
Wolverhampton South East	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Pat McFadden
Worthing West	West Sussex	CON	gain from	LAB	Beccy Cooper
Wrexham	Clwyd	CON	gain from	LAB	Andrew Steven Ranger
Wyre Forest	Hereford and Worcestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Mark Garnier

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

Vulnerable Seats

Current Prediction: Labour short 127 of majority

List of predicted seat changes