The predicted results in the country and in North East, given the National levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 44.7% | 365 | 31.9% | 1 | 166 | -165 | 200 |
| LAB | 33.0% | 203 | 44.9% | 163 | 1 | +162 | 365 |
| LIB | 11.8% | 11 | 8.0% | 4 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| Reform | 2.1% | 0 | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 2.8% | 1 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP | 4.0% | 48 | 4.4% | 7 | 7 | +0 | 48 |
| PlaidC | 0.5% | 4 | 0.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
| Other | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| N.Ire | 18 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
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| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 38.3% | 10 | 28.2% | 1 | 9 | -8 | 2 |
| LAB | 42.6% | 19 | 55.9% | 9 | 1 | +8 | 27 |
| LIB | 6.8% | 0 | 3.7% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Reform | 8.1% | 0 | 6.1% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green | 2.4% | 0 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in North East sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Conservative votes. The seat 'Newcastle upon Tyne East' where the LAB−CON difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Berwick-upon-Tweed', where the CON−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'CON Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Hexham (prediction: LAB), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to Darlington (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | CON Seats | Seat | MP at 2019 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2019 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 517 | Newcastle upon Tyne East | Nick Brown | 63,796 | 68.0 | 17.0 | 69.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 57 | 509 | Newcastle upon Tyne Central | Chi Onwurah | 57,845 | 64.8 | 18.5 | 68.0 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 81 | 485 | Middlesbrough | Andy McDonald | 60,764 | 56.1 | 21.4 | 65.4 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 84 | 482 | Gateshead | Ian Mearns | 64,449 | 59.2 | 21.2 | 64.7 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 97 | 469 | Easington | Grahame Morris | 61,182 | 56.5 | 21.8 | 62.3 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 101 | 465 | Tyneside North | Mary Glindon | 78,902 | 63.9 | 22.6 | 62.6 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 121 | 445 | Jarrow | Kate Osborne | 65,103 | 62.6 | 23.6 | 60.7 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 133 | 433 | Washington and Sunderland West | Sharon Hodgson | 66,278 | 56.6 | 24.5 | 60.3 | 2.3 | 6.9 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 141 | 425 | South Shields | Emma Lewell-Buck | 62,793 | 60.3 | 22.5 | 56.7 | 2.4 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 145 | 421 | Durham North | Kevan Jones | 66,796 | 63.2 | 25.0 | 58.8 | 3.1 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 154 | 412 | Tynemouth | Alan Campbell | 77,261 | 72.5 | 27.1 | 59.6 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 157 | 409 | Houghton and Sunderland South | Bridget Phillipson | 68,835 | 57.8 | 25.9 | 57.9 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 159 | 407 | Durham, City of | Mary Foy | 71,271 | 68.6 | 23.3 | 54.6 | 9.8 | 4.9 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 167 | 399 | Newcastle upon Tyne North | Catherine McKinnell | 68,486 | 68.6 | 26.5 | 56.9 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 168 | 398 | Blaydon | Liz Twist | 67,853 | 67.3 | 26.3 | 56.6 | 3.7 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 171 | 395 | Sunderland Central | Julie Elliott | 72,680 | 59.8 | 27.4 | 57.5 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 180 | 386 | Stockton North | Alex Cunningham | 66,649 | 61.8 | 28.7 | 58.1 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 198 | 368 | Blyth Valley | Ian Levy | 64,429 | 63.4 | 29.1 | 55.8 | 2.9 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 202 | 364 | Wansbeck | Ian Lavery | 63,339 | 64.0 | 29.2 | 55.5 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 204 | 362 | Durham North West | Richard Holden | 72,166 | 66.0 | 28.9 | 54.7 | 3.8 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 228 | 338 | Sedgefield | Paul Howell | 64,325 | 64.6 | 30.9 | 52.7 | 3.6 | 7.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 232 | 334 | Darlington | Peter Gibson | 66,397 | 65.5 | 32.0 | 53.0 | 2.6 | 5.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 252 | 314 | Stockton South | Matt Vickers | 76,870 | 71.3 | 34.3 | 53.2 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 259 | 307 | Redcar | Jacob Young | 65,864 | 62.0 | 32.7 | 50.7 | 3.9 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 268 | 298 | Bishop Auckland | Dehenna Davison | 68,170 | 65.7 | 34.2 | 51.6 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 298 | 268 | Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | Simon Clarke | 72,348 | 66.1 | 38.9 | 51.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 6.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 358 | 208 | Hexham | Guy Opperman | 61,324 | 75.3 | 42.5 | 43.7 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 387 | 179 | Hartlepool | Mike Hill | 70,855 | 57.9 | 44.3 | 41.2 | 1.6 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 421 | 145 | Berwick-upon-Tweed | Anne-Marie Trevelyan | 59,939 | 70.3 | 40.5 | 34.2 | 13.9 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2019. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.
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