Read the headline prediction, and also see the full details about which seats would be won and lost if there were a general election tomorrow.
UK Prediction
Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Pred Seats |
---|---|---|---|---|
CON | 24.4% | 121 | 25.1% | 170 |
LAB | 34.7% | 412 | 29.1% | 345 |
LIB | 12.6% | 72 | 13.2% | 72 |
Reform | 14.7% | 5 | 19.5% | 16 |
Green | 6.9% | 4 | 7.3% | 4 |
SNP | 2.6% | 9 | 2.7% | 10 |
PlaidC | 0.7% | 4 | 0.7% | 4 |
Our current headline prediction for what would happen if there were a UK General Election tomorrow.
USER-DEFINED POLL
Make your own predictions both for the entire country and for any particular Westminster constituency in England, Scotland and Wales.
Make your predictionLOCAL PREDICTIONS
See predictions for your own seat, including ward-level predictions, an interactive map, and political and demographic characteristics.
Find your own seat, or just enter your postcode:
Prediction List
List of all new GB seats in order from most Labour to most Conservative. The key seats which both big parties need to win a majority are clearly identified.
Regional Predictions
Click on an area's name to see that region's ordered seat list:
Scotland
Visit our Scotland home page for polls, predictions, and the chance to make your own predictions for the next Westminster election in Scotland.
Photo: Christian Bickel
Northern Ireland
Visit our Northern Ireland home page for polls, predictions, and the chance to make your own predictions for the next Westminster election in the province.
Gains and Losses
List of all seats which
are predicted to change hands, showing county, old and new party winners, and the MP as at 2019
Photo: David Spender
Scenarios
The traditional two-dimensional lookup table showing how many old seats each of three big parties will win for different Conservative and Labour support levels.
Election Night
Archive of our traditional election night slidesheets for Decemeber 2019.